by Barry Rubin
The Schoolmarms Tell the Terrorists to Play Nice
“You’ve been with the professors
And they’ve all liked your looks
With great lawyers you have
Discussed lepers and crooks….
You’re very well read
It’s well known
With great lawyers you have
Discussed lepers and crooks….
You’re very well read
It’s well known
Yet something is happening here
But you don’t know what it is
Do you, Mister Jones?
But you don’t know what it is
Do you, Mister Jones?
--Bob Dylan, “Ballad of a Thin Man”
By Barry Rubin
The entertainment director on the ship of fools that constitutes so much
mainstream analysis of the Middle East—I refer, of course, to Thomas
Friedman—has produced a wonderful paragraph that beautifully
characterizes the problem, exquisitely expressing a Western mentality
that not only makes it impossible to understand the Middle East but even
to set up the question in a way people that could help people even
begin to confront the truth. So perhaps it is worth disassembling. Sound
like fun? Let’s go!
The paragraph is from an article entitled, “Egypt - The next India or the next Pakistan?”
And that’s the first problem. Analogies are no substitute to
understanding the specific reality of a country and culture, its history
and balance of forces that shape the local political culture. You don’t
understand Egypt by comparing it to India or Pakistan—very different
places indeed—but by examining Egypt itself.
Let me first quote the entire paragraph and then deal with it a bit at a time. Here’s the whole thing:
“Yes, democracy matters. But the ruling Muslim Brotherhood needs to
understand that democracy is so much more than just winning an election.
It is nurturing a culture of inclusion, and of peaceful dialogue, where
respect for leaders is earned by surprising opponents with compromises
rather than dictates….More than anything, Egypt now needs to develop
that kind of culture of dialogue, of peaceful and respectful arguing —
it was totally suppressed under Mubarak — rather than rock-throwing,
boycotting, conspiracy-mongering and waiting for America to denounce one
side or the other, which has characterized too much of the
postrevolutionary political scene. Elections without that culture are
like a computer without software. It just doesn’t work.”
I will now go a sentence at a time.
“Yes, democracy matters.” It is strangely ironic that suddenly democracy
has become the main issue shaping the American debate over the Middle
East. When President Jimmy Carter in 1978 called for democracy in the
shah’s Iran that call might have played some role in setting off a
revolution that didn’t turn out too well. After a hiatus—due in part to
that debacle—the democracy issue returned under President George W.
Bush. The people who pushed that idea became known as “neoconservatives”
and were absolutely loathed, even demonized, by liberals and the left.
Now this idea that democracy would solve the region’s problems was
indeed a bad one, having failed in Iran, been (perhaps unfairly)
ridiculed in Iraq, and become a deadly joke in Afghanistan. Yet suddenly
the left adapted the conception of the man they most hated in the
world! And nobody in the mainstream debate even remarked on that rather
obvious point! Thus, we get the Obama policy based on a Bush idea.
Except while Bush’s approach worked acceptably in Iraq because the
extremists were defeated militarily, Obama’s approach helped put the
radicals into power in Egypt and will soon do so in Syria.
One would think Friedman would continue by explaining that strategic
interests are more important for U.S. policy than formal democracy.
Nope. Instead, he assumes that democracy is or should be everyone’s
goal:
“But the ruling Muslim Brotherhood needs to understand that democracy is so much more than just winning an election.”
Whenever an article or editorial contains the words “needs to
understand” you know that's trouble. For one thing this phrase often
means that some Western pipsqueak whose most strenuous activity is
hailing a taxi is lecturing men ready to commit mass murder and crush
their opponents under a hobnailed boot. By the way, the Muslim
Brotherhood is unlikely to heed the advice and will be no worse off for
doing so.
Yet this also raises
another intriguing issue: Why “must” they do so? Suppose staying in
power, establishing a dictatorship, and chopping off various body parts
of those who don’t live the way they decree is their goal? Suppose they
already know that “democracy is so much more than just wining an
election” but couldn’t care less? And what will the columnist, op-ed
writer, or editorial scribe do to them if the Muslim Brotherhood doesn't
heed his advice? Experience shows these people won't even use mean
words in response. What a joke.
Doesn’t Friedman know that Obama’s hero and guru, Turkish Prime Minister
Mehdi Erdogan, has said that democracy is like a streetcar and you just
have to decide where you want to get off? Hint: You get off as soon as
possible after you’ve won the election.
“It [democracy] is nurturing a culture of inclusion, and of peaceful
dialogue, where respect for leaders is earned by surprising opponents
with compromises rather than dictates.”
At this point I must tell a story I once heard from a former member of a
motorcycle gang, though I cannot attest to whether or not it actually
happened. There was a really dangerous criminal motorcycle gang (it made
Hell’s Angels look like Obama’s Ostriches) and the local police decided
something must be done. They picked a young policeman to infiltrate the
gang and dressed him accordingly.
The undercover cop met the gang and tried to join. Suspicious, they
asked him a question: What is the meaning of these ribbons we wear? The
symbolism involved various kinds of murder, rape, and various acts I
won’t describe for a family audience but each one had a very specific
significance. Unfortunately, the policeman hadn’t been briefed on this
and after a long pause he answered, “I thought they were just
decorations.” I won’t describe his fate.
That is sort of like Friedman and various others thinking they can teach
revolutionaries willing to commit genocide how to play nice. They
don't understand the significance of what these radicals say and do.
Indeed, they don't understand that what they say--especially in
Arabic--is significant at all.
These tough guys aren’t interested in inclusion, political dialogue, or
“surprising” opponents by giving them presents under their tree. No.
They are interested in seizing state power and exercising total power.
They are ready to order others to martyrdom and in some cases to be
martyrs themselves. They are ready to deliberately and coolly order what
happened in that Connecticut elementary school many times over. The
only limitation on that behavior is a consideration of whether or not it
will help their cause.
They don't care whether the New York Times or some other American
newspaper they don't read is going to scold them. In fact, if they do
know what's in this mass media they understand that no matter what they
do they are more likely to have it explained away more than criticized.
Shouldn’t we recognize that reality rather than lecture them on playground comportment?
“More than anything, Egypt now needs to develop that kind of culture of
dialogue, of peaceful and respectful arguing — it was totally suppressed
under Mubarak — rather than rock-throwing, boycotting,
conspiracy-mongering and waiting for America to denounce one side or the
other, which has characterized too much of the post-revolutionary
political scene.”
Why does Egypt “need” that? One might argue that it needs such a system
to be most effective at being a truly democratic society whose supposed
top priority at home is increasing living standards and abroad is living
in peace with its neighbors. The full answer to that question lies
beyond my space limits but briefly: that might not work in Egypt; the
people who think it would work lose all of the elections; if you try to
implement such a system you are far more likely to be overthrown or face
chaos.
Suppose you have no way to solve your country's social and economic
problems. It then makes more sense to stir up passionate hatred of "the
other"; distract attention from your own failings by blaming foreigners
for the problems; and engage in aggression abroad so the masses can blow
off steam and get some loot. Ironically, this is the kind of thing that
Western radicals claim leaders of their own countries have done. It is
amazing that they never seem to notice this is how Arab dictators have
repeatedly felt a "need" to do in the past.
Also, whatever Mubarak’s shortcomings, there was a lot more dialogue and
peaceful arguing under his reign then in any Islamist state or in Syria
and Iraq under radical nationalist regimes. This line of argument that
is all too familiar from the left in assuming that pro-American
dictators are more brutally repressive than anti-American dictators.
Usually, the truth is the opposite.
And then at the end, Friedman admits that the post-revolutionary
political scene has not been so great. Should this have been a surprise
or wasn’t it painfully obvious back in January 2011 what was going to
happen? It was obvious to me and a few others but scarcely anyone in the
mainstream media pointed out the consequences. And those who dared to
be right are practically blacklisted from those places despite having
been correct.
The main Western accomplishment of the last two years has been to move
from step one to step two in the mainstream interpretation of what’s
going on in the Middle East:
Step one: The Islamists will be moderated by gaining power through elections.
Step two: The Islamists should make themselves become moderate after gaining power through elections because they need to do so.
What is needed is an altogether different approach:
Extremist revolutionaries whose goal is to set up regimes that are
supposedly implementing the will of Allah—a will no human can question
or alter—and who loathe the West, despise Christians, and want to commit
genocide on Jews are not going to be moderated. Nor are they going to
follow Western instructions on how they should behave. Nor is democracy
their ideal, since they don’t believe at all in governance on the basis
of the majority unless the majority agrees with them.
These points are all rather obvious, aren’t they? Yet what we have seen
for the last two years is not an attempt to understand these realities
but rather a series of obfuscations and rationalizations designed to
shore up a mythical world that is increasingly diverging from the
situation on the ground.
Lewis Carroll wrote the following dialogue for “Alice in Wonderland”:
Alice: “Do you think I've gone round the bend?"
Charles: "I'm afraid so. You're mad, bonkers, completely off your head. But I'll tell you a secret. All the best people are.”
The problem nowadays is that an insane interpretation of international
affairs seems to be a quality defining who “the best people are.” A man
has just been appointed secretary of state for exhibiting a particularly
virulent case of this malady.
Barry Rubin of the Global Research in International Affairs (GLORIA) Center and editor of the Middle East Review of International Affairs (MERIA) Journal. His latest book, Israel: An Introduction, has just been published by Yale University Press. Other recent books include The Israel-Arab Reader (seventh edition), The Long War for Freedom: The Arab Struggle for Democracy in the Middle East (Wiley), and The Truth About Syria (Palgrave-Macmillan). The website of the GLORIA Center and of his blog, Rubin Reports. His original articles are published at PJMedia.
Source: http://rubinreports.blogspot.co.il/2012/12/the-schoolmarms-tell-terrorists-to-play.html
Copyright - Original materials copyright (c) by the authors.
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