by Barry Rubin
Would
 you ever imagine that the leading American newspaper would openly 
advocate siding with Islamist forces in the Middle East against all of 
America’s allies and friends, and I mean with eyes wide open and with 
full awareness that it sought to overthrow them? Well, the day has come.
How has the argument for this strategy, which the Obama Administration, is already pursuing, being made?
A New York Times July 30th editorial entitled
 “Egypt’s Dangerous Slide” shows a real catastrophe for the United 
States. What is amazing is that it takes less than five minutes to 
deconstruct Obama Administration’s Middle East policy.
But be wary since if you do this—even once—you will be barred from 95 percent of mass media and academic jobs. [Note: What’s amazing about the previous sentence is that it is fact accurate. That’s why the public debate is so bad.]
After
 all, we are at a moment when Israel-Palestinian talks haven’t even 
agreed on pre-conditions (a point which is usually reached before the 
two sides even begin talks) yet Secretary of State John Kerry predicts 
success within nine months (and the mass media quotes him without 
snickering).
“Deadly blundering by Egypt’s military rulers is making a bad situation much worse,” starts the editorial.
One
 of the most blatant, arrogant views of the American foreign policy 
establishment today is the frequency with which its members insist that 
leaders know nothing about their own countries. Thus, Obama, a man who 
has spent a few hours in Israel and has no empathy with it, can dare to 
say that he knows better what the country needs than does Prime Minister
 Benjamin Netanyahu.
“Last
 weekend’s massacre of marchers supporting the deposed president, 
Mohamed Morsi, will make national reconciliation and a return to 
democracy far more difficult.”
No
 kidding. First of all, there was never going to be conciliation. 
Second, the Muslim Brotherhood isn’t exactly eager to get national 
conciliation, a point  the editorial and the Obama Administration never 
mention.
Third, the military wants massacres
 because it seeks to intimidate the Brotherhood. That’s how things work 
in Egypt. In fact, that’s what happened last time, when the Brotherhood 
was crushed in the 1950s and 1960s, with its leaders sent to 
concentration camps, tortured, and hung. And that’s what the Brotherhood
 would be doing to its opposition if its regime had survived.The Brotherhood is portrayed simply as the victim.
In other words it is not Egypt’s leaders who don’t understand Egypt but rather America’s current leaders.
“The stakes are too high for any country to give up on the search for a peaceful resolution.”
No! Egyptians know that the stakes are too high not to give
 up on the search for a peaceful resolution. This is the Middle East. 
And this is true just like as with the Syrian civil war, the 
Israel-Palestinian conflict, and every 
secular/nationalist/traditionalist versus give up on the search for a 
peaceful resolution Islamist battle in the region.But fourth the 
Brotherhood is also provoking a lot of violence which is neither 
reported or protested by the U.S. government
“Washington’s
 leverage has been limited, despite…its good intentions undermined by 
years of inconsistent American policies. President Obama urgently needs 
to rebuild that trust. And he cannot hope to do so by maintaining a 
cautious diplomatic silence while the Arab world’s most populous and 
most important country unravels.”
Where
 to begin! First, American policies have not been undermined by 
inconsistent policies. Doesn’t anyone know Egyptian history?
1952-1956:
 America supported the Egyptian military coup and even saved the regime!
 Only when President Gamal Abdel Nasser behave aggressively—not so much 
toward Israel but by conservative Arab states–and allied with the USSR, 
did America turn against him.
1956-1973: An anti-American regime allied with the Soviet Union and aggressive against America’s friends was opposed.
1974-2011: The United States was allied with a moderate regime.
Get it? It must be hard for the current establishment to understand so let me capitalize it and put in bold:
IT WASN’T AMERICA’S FAULT U.S. POLICY WAS ‘INCONSISTENT”; IT WAS EGYPT’S.
 As for “good intentions” may I remind you that Obama did not have good intentions at all. Just
 like any British or American imperialist he sought to overthrow the 
regime and replace it with a Muslim Brotherhood and thus inevitably 
Sharia regime.
How’s that for “good intentions?”
And
 if Obama wanted to rebuild trust–as opposed to protecting the 
Br0therhood’s interests–he would rebuild trust with the Egyptian army 
and people by supporting the  new government rather than seek to empower
 an anti-Christian, anti-Western, antisemitic, anti-American, 
homophobic, genocidal, anti-woman totalitarian-destined regime.
The editorial continued:
“Whatever
 Egypt’s new military strongman, Gen. Abdul-Fattah el-Sisi, thought he 
was doing by summoning people to Tahrir Square last Friday to demand a 
`mandate’ to fight terrorism, the result was to undermine Egypt’s 
prospects for stability even further. Whatever self-described 
pro-democracy groups thought they were doing by endorsing his call, the 
result was to strengthen the military and inflame raw divisions between 
civilian parties.”
He
 knew exactly what he was doing. He wanted to build and mobilize a 
civilian support base. And the civilian parties weren’t “inflamed,” they
 hate each other and know they are engaged in a life-and-death struggle.
“And
 whatever the Muslim Brotherhood leaders thought they were doing by 
urging followers to challenge security forces, the result was to add to 
the bloodshed and give the military new excuses for repression.”
Same patronizing tone. The Brotherhood knows what it is doing, too: it doesn’t want conciliation; it wants revolution.
“And things are likely to get worse until the military can be persuaded to hand over power and return to the barracks.”
Wrong
 again. They will get worse if the military does hand over power. For 
every day—except a few disastrous weeks under Mursi—during the last 61 
years the army basically held power even if it was in the barracks.
“Other
 Arab states, particularly Saudi Arabia and its allied Persian Gulf 
emirates, are unlikely to help. They are more concerned with stamping 
out any potential political threat to their own autocratic rule at home 
than in encouraging democracy in Egypt.”
Of
 course because they understand Arab politics! And are they wrong? 
Listen to them. A Brotherhood takeover of Egypt would increase the 
political threat to them! Now you want to overthrow Saudi Arabia and any
 other remaining American friends in the Arab world?
“Israel
 has its own legitimate security concerns, mostly centered on preventing
 threats from Egypt’s restive Sinai Peninsula and Hamas-ruled Gaza.”
And in parallel you want to further undermine Israel’s security?
“That leaves the United States and the European Union.”
Right.
 If Egypt, the Arab states, and Israel don’t undermine their own 
security the United States and the EU will. People, think what you are 
saying here! Consider what insanity you are advocating!
In
 other words, the pro-Islamist forces are the Muslim Brotherhood and 
Salafists (and in a sense the Taliban and al-Qaida) backed by the EU and
 United States, ([plus Turkey and Qatar along with Iran, Syria,  and 
Hizballah); while the anti-Islamist forces are the Arab countries and 
Israel?
Does that seem strange?
“But
 Washington has been doing less than its share. Excessive concerns with 
maintaining good relations with Egypt’s generals and fears that a 
loosened military grip on Sinai and the Gaza border might throw off 
nascent Israeli-Palestinian peace talks have wrongly muffled America’s 
public voice.”
I’m
 not believing this stuff. Let’s get tough with the generals, not the 
Islamists? And the best way to help peace talks is to return an Islamist
 regime in Egypt? That will surely quiet Hamas and the jihadists in 
Sinai and make Israel feel real secure. Oh by the way, the main threat 
to even the Palestinian Authority (PA) is Hamas! No doubt the PA will 
thank you, too.
“Most of all, President Obama needs to clarify what America stands for as Egypt struggles over its future.”
He sure does. By changing sides away from the Islamists and toward others, including Israel.
Posted originally via RubinReports http://rubinreports.blogspot.com/2013/08/americas-real-dangerous-slide-is-to-be.html
Barry Rubin
Source: http://www.gloria-center.org/2013/08/americas-real-dangerous-slide-is-to-be-on-the-wrong-side-in-the-world
Copyright - Original materials copyright (c) by the authors.

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