Thursday, November 14, 2024

Restoring Deterrence Will Prevent Endless Wars - Victor Davis Hanson

 

​ by Victor Davis Hanson

Trump must remind Americans only by deterring enemies can he prevent endless wars.

 

 

On January 3, 2020, the Trump administration conducted a drone strike near Baghdad International Airport, killing Iranian Major General Qassem Soleimani.

Soleimani had a long record of waging surrogate wars against Americans, especially during the Iraq conflict and its aftermath.

After the Trump cancellation of the Iran Deal, followed by U.S. sanctions, Soleimani reportedly stepped up violence against regional American bases—most of which Trump himself ironically wished to remove.

A few days later, Iran staged a performance-art retaliatory strike against Americans in Iraq and Syria, assuming Trump had no desire for a wider Middle East war.

So, Iran launched 12 missiles that hit two U.S. airbases in Iraq. Supposedly, Tehran had warned the Trump administration of the impending attacks that killed no Americans. Later reports, however, suggested that some Americans suffered concussions, while more damage was done to the bases than was initially disclosed.

Nonetheless, this Iranian interlude seemed to reflect Trump’s agenda of avoiding “endless wars” in the Middle East while restoring deterrence that prevented, not prompted, full-scale conflicts.

Yet in a second Trump administration, rethreading the deterrence needle without getting into major wars may become far more challenging. The world of today is far more dangerous than when Trump left in 2021.

An inept Biden administration has utterly destroyed U.S. deterrence abroad through both actual and symbolic disasters: the Chinese dressing down of U.S. diplomats in Anchorage; the humiliating skedaddle from Afghanistan; the brazen flight of a Chinese spy balloon across the U.S.; the invasion of Ukraine by Russia; the October 7, 2023 massacre of 1200 Israelis; the serial Houthi attacks on international shipping in the Red Sea; the visible restraint of Israeli from fully replying to Iranian missile attacks on its homeland; and renewed bellicosity on the part of both North Korea and China toward American allies such as Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan.

Of course, a second-term Trump must radically reform the Pentagon and beef up the military while warning enemies of the consequences to follow from any unwise aggression.

But if opponents believe such admonitions remain only vocal threats, then empty verbiage surely will erode deterrence further—such as Joe Biden’s serial and empty braggadocio, “Don’t!”

Biden’s past theatrical finger-shaking translated into aggressors like Putin going into Ukraine, Iran sending missiles into Israel, and the Houthis serially hitting shipping in the Red Sea.

Given the past messes of the Iraqi, Libyan, and Syrian interventions, and the catastrophic Biden humiliation in Afghanistan, Trump in 2024 is much more emphatic about the need to avoid such overseas dead-end entanglements or even the gratuitous use of force that historically can sometimes lead to tit-for-tat entanglements.

Still, Trump’s selection of J.D. Vance as vice president, along with Tulsi Gabbard, RFK, Jr., and Tucker Carlson as close advisors, coupled with the announcements that former Secretary of State Mike Pompeo and prior UN Ambassador Nikki Haley will not be in the administration, may be misinterpreted by scheming foreign adversaries as proof of Trump neo-isolationism.

Moreover, the U.S. is battered by an unsustainable $37 trillion national debt and a nonexistent southern border that saw 12 million illegal aliens enter with impunity.

So, the use of force abroad is now often seen in a zero-sum fashion as coming at the expense of unaddressed American needs at home.

Moreover, a woke, manpower-short military has not achieved strategic advantages from wars abroad, while disparaging and alienating the very working-class recruits who disproportionately fight and die in them.

Recently, even as President-elect Trump’s inner circle emphasized an end to endless conflicts, Trump warned Russian Federation President Vladimir Putin not to escalate his attacks against Ukraine. Yet that advice was followed by a Russian massive drone onslaught against civilian Ukrainian targets.

Putin no doubt wishes to encourage American enemies to test Trump’s deterrent rhetoric against his campaign’s domestic promises to mind America’s own business at home.

Is there a way to square the deterrence circle?

Trump will have to speak clearly and softly while carrying a club. And for the first few months of his administration, he will be tested as never before to make it clear to Iran and its terrorist surrogates, China, North Korea, and Russia that aggression against US interests will be swiftly and quietly met with disproportionate and overwhelming repercussions.

Yet Trump will likely have to rely on drones, missiles, and air strikes and not on major engagements, to deter enemies from aggression—and his domestic critics from claiming he turned into a globalist interventionist.

He is not.

Trump remains a Jacksonian. But such deterrence entails warning from time to time the reckless and adventurous abroad that our allies have no better friend than America and our adversaries no worse enemy.

In other words, Trump must remind Americans only by periodically deterring enemies can he prevent endless wars.


Victor Davis Hanson

Source: https://amgreatness.com/2024/11/14/restoring-deterrence-will-prevent-endless-wars/

Follow Middle East and Terrorism on Twitter

Hamas tied to Amsterdam pogrom, Israeli officials say - Nissan Shtrauchler and Neta Bar

 

​ by Nissan Shtrauchler and Neta Bar

A Dutch Palestinian group is the primary organization behind the coordinated attack on sports fans, among others associated with PFLP, according to Israel's Diaspora Affairs Ministry.

 

Anti-Israel protesters demonstrate on Dam Square in Amsterdam, the Netherlands on May 2, 2021. Photo by Canaan Lidor.
Anti-Israel protesters demonstrate on Dam Square in Amsterdam, the Netherlands on May 2, 2021. Photo by Canaan Lidor.

Israeli intelligence officials have identified Dutch organizations with Hamas ties as the primary instigators of last week’s disturbances in Amsterdam, according to a report released Wednesday by Israel’s Diaspora Affairs Ministry.

The report details how several local organizations allegedly utilized social media platforms to heighten tensions and orchestrate attacks against Maccabi Tel Aviv soccer fans following their match against a Dutch team. Evidence includes screenshots from that evening showing explicit calls for violence and coordinated sharing of locations and tactical information.

The report identifies the Palestinian Community in the Netherlands (PGNL) as the primary organization behind the violence, claiming it maintains direct connections to Hamas. The document provides detailed evidence of these connections, including specific individuals reportedly serving as intermediaries.

Additional organizations and individuals involved in escalating tensions were allegedly linked to the Popular Front for the Liberation of Palestine, a terror organization that maintains significant support and presence across Europe.

In a related development, Geert Wilders, leader of the largest party in the Dutch Parliament, demanded the resignation of Amsterdam Mayor Femke Halsema over her handling of the violent incidents. “Her incompetence is unprecedented,” Wilders stated.

Originally published by Israel Hayom.


Nissan Shtrauchler and Neta Bar

Source: https://www.jns.org/hamas-tied-to-amsterdam-pogrom-israeli-officials-say/

Follow Middle East and Terrorism on Twitter

Judge greenlights 'Save Women's Sports' Title IX suit amid more forfeits over alleged trans player - Greg Piper

 

​ by Greg Piper

Connecticut high school conference plausibly conveyed "the dispiriting message that [females'] interests and aspirations as student athletes were less worthy of protection than those of their male counterparts on the boys’ team."

 

Years before University of Pennsylvania swimmer Lia Thomas drew national attention to males who identify as women dominating girls' sports through eligibility via gender identity, male sprinters who identify as girls took first and second in Connecticut high school track championships, prompting a go-nowhere Trump administration investigation and lawsuit by parents of the female athletes they defeated.

Following a circuitous route through the federal courts, with the full 2nd U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals reinstating the case nearly a year ago by overruling the three-judge panel that upheld U.S. District Judge Robert Chatigny's 2021 ruling, the amended lawsuit by now-adults Selina Soule, Chelsea Mitchell, Alanna Smith and Jennifer Nicoletti cleared a crucial hurdle last week.

The chastened President Clinton nominee Chatigny denied the motion to dismiss by the Connecticut Interscholastic Athletic Conference and member school districts, ruling the amended suit plausibly alleges disparate treatment based on the female athletes' sex.

He said defendants are potentially liable for discrimination under Title IX and plaintiffs may be able to recover "nominal damages, attorneys’ fees and costs" depending on legal discovery. A docket entry shows the parties will next meet with the judge Dec. 3 in a telephone conference.

The full appeals court disagreed with Chatigny's original finding that the case was moot after transgender champions Andraya Yearwood and Terry Miller graduated and that failure to correct "past athletic records," to remove male winners in girls' sports, was not a legal injury.

It said the girls "adequately pled a concrete, particularized, and actual injury in fact … denial of equal athletic opportunity and concomitant loss of publicly recognized titles and placements" – the plaintiffs want dozens of records corrected – by finishing behind Yearwood and Miller. 

It's an embarrassing reversal for Chatigny, whose removal the girls unsuccessfully sought for "unfair bias" when they appealed his ruling. They cited his order to stop "bullying" Yearwood and Miller by calling them "male" and for allegedly making up his own science on biological sex. 

Unlike in 2021, Chatigny's ruling last week is replete with references to biological sex. He even twice used the phrase "biological males," which three years earlier he had deemed "needlessly provocative" when applied to Yearwood and Miller.

Lawyers for CIAC and the districts did not respond to queries from Just the News.

Plaintiffs' lawyer Rachel Rouleau of the Alliance Defending Freedom said CIAC's transgender policy "degraded each of their accomplishments and scarred their athletic records, irreparably harming each female athlete’s interest in accurate recognition of her athletic achievements," alluding to the full 2nd Circuit's rebuke of Chatigny for dismissing the relevance of the records.

"This ruling creates one fewer obstacle for high school girls to face as they pursue their athletic dreams," Rouleau said in ADF's statement on the ruling, which comes as the NCAA's two-year-old transgender eligibility policy – currently under review – faces its biggest test yet.

Several NCAA Mountain West women's volleyball teams have forfeited matches this season against San Jose State University, with the University of Wyoming recently joining Boise State in forfeiting a second match

The forfeitures appear to be over SJSU player Blaire Fleming, who can spike a ball with potentially dangerous power and is widely reported to be transgender, though neither Fleming nor SJSU has made an official statement about the player's gender identity. The forfeiture notices by the Wyoming and Boise colleges do not provide an explanation. 

Proponents of sex-based sports including San Diego State University's Turning Point USA chapter swamped SDSU's Saturday match with SJSU, chanting "no men in women's sports" and holding a banner that read "Woman = Adult Human Female," OutKick reported

An attendee unsuccessfully asked security to remove the protesters, while video shows SDSU Associate Athletic Director of Operations Dave Noll accusing one of the chanters of violating Mountain West guidelines, the Fox-owned sports site said.

SJSU suspended coach Melissa Batie-Smoose, allegedly for protesting Fleming's inclusion, and team co-captain Brooke Slusser joined a putative class-action lawsuit against the NCAA policy by female athletes, sponsored by the Independent Council on Women's Sports

SJSU has not provided an explanation for the suspension, saying only the associate head coach is "not with the team at this time." 

ICONS warned every conference school president in September that playing SJSU with Fleming on the squad would violate Title IX and the 14th Amendment equal protection clause by denying female athletes "equal athletic opportunities and fair and safe competition," according to a document obtained by the San Francisco Chronicle.

Redacted documents released under the Wyoming Public Records Act show the Wyoming athletes initially voted to play SJSU Oct. 5 but then deadlocked, while OutKick's report that Southern Utah forfeited a Sept. 14 game due to Fleming led Wyoming assistant coach Becky Baker to conclude "no way [Fleming] gets to continue playing in the MW."

Wyoming athletic director Tom Burman nonetheless told a supporter Sept. 27 that "our student-athletes felt safe in previous matches" with Fleming over the past two seasons, and that Fleming – who played women's volleyball for Coastal Carolina University before South Carolina's "Save Women's Sports" law banned males on women's teams – was "not the best or most dominant hitter" for SJSU.

ICONS is sponsoring another suit filed Wednesday against the Mountain West and SJSU officials by SJSU coach Batie-Smoose and co-captain Slusser and several other female athletes from four other universities. They allege violations of Title IX and the First Amendment and seek an injunction against the trans policy ahead of the Mountain West  volleyball tournament Nov. 27.

The basis of Judge Chatigny's ruling last week was CIAC's allegedly "dismissive" responses to parents who complained about the transgender policy, which dates to "before 2017," as Yearwood and then Miller began competing in and dominating girls' track. 

Their first- and second-place finishes in 2019, for example, took a championship from Mitchell and prevented Soule from advancing to "the next stage of competition," the ruling summarizes.

A CIAC rep told Mitchell's mother that "further complaints on her part would receive no response and school officials admonished Chelsea herself to stop complaining," Chatigny wrote.

Defendants conveyed "the dispiriting message that [females'] interests and aspirations as student athletes were less worthy of protection than those of their male counterparts on the boys’ team," in the context of "a long history of systematic discrimination against women and girls in high school athletics in Connecticut," as Chatigny paraphrased the allegations.

The now-adult women plausibly alleged the CIAC policy under which Yearwood and Miller competed denied them "high-quality competitive opportunities," the judge wrote.

Chatigny noted that the Clinton administration, which nominated him, deemed these opportunities relevant to Title IX compliance, and the 2nd Circuit further specified in a 20-year-old New York precedent that equal access to postseason games is relevant.

"The treatment disparity at issue here might well have negatively impacted more girls and teams than did the disparity in McCormick," that 2004 precedent, through alleged "lost opportunities to participate in postseason competition," he wrote. The girls may even be able to prove the required "systemic effect" of denying equal opportunity "program-wide."

Supreme Court and 2nd Circuit precedents, further complicated by Connecticut law protecting trans participation, are each pulling Chatigny in opposite directions, the judge said.

"A strong case can be made" that Congress intended the word "sex" in 1972's Title IX to mean "the biological division of organisms into either male or female," but SCOTUS also ruled that transgender employment discrimination is on the basis of sex, he said.

Thomas switched from Penn's men's to women's swim team after hormone therapy. 

Chatigny cited rulings on "athletic inclusion" in track competition under the Americans with Disabilities Act, which considers "competitive, administrative, financial, or safety-related" needs as well as "the emotional impact on individual athletes of exclusion or differential treatment."

Since he must "engage in a fact-specific analysis that balances the interests of the parties and the public" based on a full record, Chatigny ruled the women's claims are enough at this stage "to support a prima facie case of sex discrimination under Title IX."

Even if the defendants didn't show "animus" toward females and the CIAC policy was "facially neutral," a 2nd Circuit precedent on discrimination in sexual misconduct proceedings does not require animus and the SCOTUS transgender precedent reaffirms it, he said.

"As a result of the defendants’ conduct, the plaintiffs reasonably perceived that the defendants regarded girls’ sports as less worthy of consideration and support than boys’ sports" – a "mindset" the judge called "plausible." 

He also questioned why CIAC didn't consult with the Trump administration's Department of Education, which rescinded its predecessor's transgender guidance, when the girls' parents complained. They could be monetarily liable if they "deliberately refrained on the assumption" the administration would side with the girls, the judge said.

 
Greg Piper

Source: https://justthenews.com/government/courts-law/judge-greenlights-save-womens-sports-title-ix-lawsuit-forfeits-mount-against

Follow Middle East and Terrorism on Twitter

Trump nominations ‘a big middle finger’ to anti-Israel progressives - Andrew Bernard

 

​ by Andrew Bernard

The president-elect’s picks suggest that his administration will “take the region, the Middle East, the threats confronting Israel seriously,” Blaise Misztal, of JINSA, told JNS.

 

U.S. President Donald Trump visits the Kotel in Jerusalem's Old City on May 22, 2017. Photo by Mandel Ngan/AFP via Getty Images.
U.S. President Donald Trump visits the Kotel in Jerusalem's Old City on May 22, 2017. Photo by Mandel Ngan/AFP via Getty Images.

President-elect Donald Trump officially named Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Fla.) as his choice to be secretary of state on Wednesday.

Rubio joins a slew of pro-Israel officials Trump has tapped in recent days, including former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee as U.S. ambassador to Israel and Rep. Elise Stefanik (R-N.Y.) as his U.N. ambassador with a seat in the cabinet.

Brian Katulis, a senior fellow for U.S. foreign policy at the Middle East Institute, told JNS that the picks signal a strong departure from how the Biden administration handled foreign policy in the Middle East and the U.S.-Israel relationship.

“It’s a big middle finger to those on the so-called progressive left and others in the Biden camp, who essentially had a different theory of the case that failed in the election,” Katulis said.

Blaise Misztal, vice president for policy at the Jewish Institute for National Security of America, told JNS that Trump’s focus so early in the transition process on Israel-related foreign policy picks is a mark of how his second administration will approach the region.

“That, in and of itself, signals that President Trump and his administration are going to take the region, the Middle East, the threats confronting Israel, seriously and take the U.S. friendship with Israel seriously,” Misztal said. “The people that we’ve seen are known to be tremendously strong friends of Israel, first and foremost, but also very clear-eyed about the threats that the United States and Israel face together in the region.”

The Trump team has reportedly chosen Brian Hook, the former U.S. special representative for Iran and one of the architects of the “maximum pressure” sanctions policy against the Islamic Republic, to lead the transition at the U.S. State Department. 

Misztal told JNS that Hook, who is one of several former Trump administration officials who has a permanent security detail because of Iranian death threats, will understand the dangers that Tehran poses.

“The involvement of anyone that is on Iran’s hit list in our foreign policy is a signal of taking the threat seriously and knowing what they’re up against, and bringing a focus and a seriousness to dealing with that threat that is much needed,” Misztal said.

Controversial appointments

The nomination of Rubio drew congratulations on Wednesday from Republicans and even some Democrats like Sen. John Fetterman (D-Pa.), who called the pick a “strong choice.”

Other Trump nominations have raised concerns from Republicans about their viability to make it through the confirmation process and their effect on the Republican majority in the House.

Speaker of the House Mike Johnson (R-La.) announced on Wednesday that Rep. Matt Gaetz (R-Fla.) had resigned his seat in Congress “effective immediately” after Trump nominated him to be attorney general earlier that day.

“That caught us by surprise a little bit,” Johnson said of the resignation.

The nomination of Gaetz and former Democratic congresswoman Tulsi Gabbard to be director of national intelligence elicited reactions ranging from confusion to laughter to shock in some corners of the Republican Party.

“I don’t think it’s a serious nomination for the attorney general,” said Sen. Lisa Murkowski (R-Alaska).

Gaetz cannot afford many defections in his nomination vote since Republicans will likely hold a 53-47 majority in the Senate. His resignation, following the picks of Stefanik and of Rep. Mike Waltz (R-Fla.) to be national security advisor, will also dig into the razor-thin Republican majority in the House.

Johnson said that Gaetz resigned in part to allow Florida to initiate a special election that could fill his seat as early as Jan. 3, when the incoming Congress is sworn in.

Trump has also suggested that he wants his nominations to be made as recess appointments, bypassing the Senate approval process, though it’s not clear that Senate Majority Leader-elect John Thune (R-S.D.) is willing to take that approach, or if it would pass constitutional muster if challenged in court.

Gaetz is widely reviled within the Republican caucus for his role in ousting former House speaker Kevin McCarthy in 2023, his chaotic persona and politics and his sexual scandals.

In 2023, the U.S. Department of Justice informed Gaetz that it would not bring charges against him following a years-long investigation into whether he was involved in the sex trafficking of a 17-year-old girl. He was under investigation by the House ethics committee for sexual misconduct, drug use and accepting improper gifts until his nomination, but Johnson said Wednesday that his resignation terminated that investigation and the ethics committee would not issue a report. Gaetz has long denied any wrongdoing.

Fetterman mocked the choice of Gaetz, calling it “God-tier level trolling” to “own the libs in perpetuity,” but that it would ultimately harm Republicans.

“Dem opinions on Gaetz aren’t that interesting,” he wrote. “The good ones will come from my GOP colleagues to justify a vote for that jerkoff.”

Both Gaetz and Gabbard have also faced controversy related to Israel and Jew-hatred.

Gaetz was one of just 21 Republicans who voted against the Antisemitism Awareness Act in May, saying that he could not support a definition of antisemitism that labeled claims of “Jews killing Jesus” as antisemitic.

“The Gospel itself would meet the definition of antisemitism under the terms of this bill,” he wrote.

In 2021, he called the Anti-Defamation League “racist” after the group criticized former Fox News host Tucker Carlson.

The ADL condemned the nomination of Gaetz on Wednesday evening, citing his invitation of former political activist Charles Johnson, who once denied the Holocaust in a since-deleted Reddit post, to the State of the Union in 2018.

“Gaetz has a long history of trafficking in antisemitism—from explaining his vote against the bipartisan Antisemitism Awareness Act by invoking the centuries-old trope that Jews killed Jesus to defending the Great Replacement Theory and inviting a Holocaust denier as his 2018 State of the Union guest,” wrote Jonathan Greenblatt, CEO and national director of the ADL. “He should not be appointed to any high office, much less one overseeing the impartial execution of our nation’s laws.”

In his 2020 memoir Firebrand: Dispatches from the Front Lines of the MAGA Revolution, Gaetz defended the invitation. “I can look past the worst some have (falsely or fairly) been accused of doing,” he wrote. “I know no one bats a thousand. I sure don’t.”

Gaetz bills himself as a supporter of Israel and has supported previous Israel aid legislation, but he also was in the small minority of Republicans who opposed the bipartisan Israel aid package in April.

Gabbard, who has undergone a political transformation that saw her shift from endorsing Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) in 2016 to endorsing Trump in 2024, has a mixed record on Israel and Jewish issues. 

In 2019, she defended Rep. Ilhan Omar (D-Minn.) from charges of antisemitism after the House voted to condemn Omar for Jew-hating bigotry. In 2018, she criticized Israel for using live ammunition at the Gaza border fence, but she has come out as a strong supporter of the Jewish state since the Hamas terrorist attacks in Israel on Oct. 7, 2023.

As she seeks to head the U.S. intelligence community, the former Hawaiian congresswoman is also likely to face scrutiny from lawmakers about her 2017 meeting with Syrian dictator Bashar Assad and her views on Russia, which she said had “legitimate security concerns” in Ukraine shortly after the start of Russia’s February 2022 invasion.

“Dear Presidents Putin, Zelensky and Biden. It’s time to put geopolitics aside and embrace the spirit of aloha, respect and love, for the Ukrainian people by coming to an agreement that Ukraine will be a neutral country,” she wrote three days after the start of the invasion.

Another Trump nominee likely to face hurdles in the Senate is Pete Hegseth, a Fox News anchor whom Trump has tapped to be the defense secretary. Hegseth is a retired U.S. Army major, who served in Iraq and Afghanistan but lacks the experience leading large bureaucracies in government or the private sector that has typified most of the men who have been chosen to oversee the Pentagon.

Unpredictable moves

Experts told JNS that a second Trump would likely overturn Biden administration policies but that it might not be possible to return to some of the approaches Trump took in his first term, like the “maximum pressure” Iran policy.

“It’s a much more complicated region,” Katulis, of the Middle East Institute, told JNS. “It’s one where the demands for a two-state solution on the Palestinian front are now being voiced more strongly by the Saudi Arabias of the region. That was not the case in the first term of Trump, and I think that’s one thing his team will have to reconcile.”

“What I heard across Arab Gulf states is that we don’t want escalation with Iran,” he added. “A lot of these countries may not be as aligned with the attempted restart of maximum pressure, in part because they’ve hedged their bets with Iran and also with China. China is a major consumer of Iranian oil and Arab Gulf oil.”

One area where Trump might act swiftly would be to lift the Biden administration’s sanctions on Israelis, whom the White House accuses of being engaged in “extremist settler violence” in Judea and Samaria, and to green light arms sales to Israel that some Republican senators allege the Biden administration has slow-rolled through the bureaucratic U.S. approval process. 

“This idea that the United States would try to hamstring or restrain Israeli operations by controlling the flow of weapons is not going to be a concern in the Trump administration,” JINSA’s Misztal told JNS. 

Trump has reportedly told Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu that he wants Israel’s war against Hamas to be concluded by the time he takes office.

During the campaign, Israel and the Middle East played a relatively small role in Trump’s messaging compared to domestic issues, immigration and U.S. competition with China.

But Katulis warned that Trump, like his recent predecessors, is unlikely to succeed in extricating America from the Middle East to focus on those more pressing challenges.

“In the last 25 years, almost every president has had his Michael Corleone moment on the Middle East, which is, ‘Just when I thought I was out, I get pulled back in,’” Katulis said. 

“Even if Trump goes in and doesn’t prioritize the Middle East relative to these other files, things will happen,” he said. “Something will force his hand.”


Andrew Bernard

Source: https://www.jns.org/trump-nominations-a-big-middle-finger-to-anti-israel-progressives/

Follow Middle East and Terrorism on Twitter

J6 Shocker: Phone companies dispute FBI testimony on pipe bombs suspect, key lawmaker reveals - Steven Richards and John Solomon

 

​ by Steven Richards and John Solomon

The new revelations heighten the mystery—and scrutiny of the FBI—surrounding one of the most disturbing security failures on the day of the Capitol riot.

 

Cellular carriers have told Congress they possess intact phone usage data from the vicinity where two pipe bombs were planted during the Jan. 6 incident, directly disputing FBI testimony that agents couldn't identify a suspect because the phone data was corrupted, a key House chairman tells Just the News.

The revelations from Rep. Barry Loudermilk, R-Ga., the chairman of the House Administration oversight subcommittee, adds new intrigue to a debate that has gripped Washington for nearly four years: Why can't the FBI with so much evidence and manpower identify the suspect who planted the explosive devices at the Democrat and Republican Party headquarters hours before the Capitol was breached.

“In the days and weeks following January 6, 2021, the FBI opened an investigation into the pipe bomber and attempted to identify the suspect by analyzing cell phone data linked to the area surrounding the RNC and DNC,” Loudermilk told Just the News

“In June 2023, the former Assistant Director in Charge of the FBI’s Washington Field Office, Steve D’Antuono, who oversaw the pipe bomb investigation, said that the FBI received corrupted data from one of the cell carriers and that it most likely contained the identity of the pipe bomber. Given the significance of this information, my Subcommittee sent letters to the three major cell carriers, asking them to respond to Mr. D’Antuono’s claim of corrupted data,” he said. 

“Every major cell carrier responded and confirmed that they did not provide the FBI corrupted data,” Loudermilk said. 

“Additionally every major cell carrier confirmed they were never notified that the FBI had any issues accessing the data. This contradictory testimony raises some serious questions about the status of the investigation into the pipe bomber and about why the case remains unsolved nearly four years later,” he added. 

Last year, D’Antuono told the House Judiciary Committee that the FBI did not a receive complete phone data from telephone carriers because some of it had been corrupted.

“We did a complete geofence. We have complete data. Not complete, because there's some data that was corrupted by one of the providers, not purposely by them, right. It just -- unusual circumstance that we have corrupt data from one of the providers,” D’Antuono testified in a transcribed interview. 

“But for that day, which is awful because we don't have that information to search. So could it have been that provider? Yeah, with our luck, you know, with this investigation it probably was, right,” he said. 

D’Antuono served as the Assistant Director in Charge of the FBI’s Washington Field Office until he stepped down in late 2022. A lawyer for the retired agent did not immediately return an email Wednesday seeking comment.

The concerns about the unsolved Jan. 6 pipe bombs have been heightened by evidence Loudermilk disclosed in the last year showing that then-Vice President-elect Kamala Harris was taken within 10 yards of one of the live bombs on the morning of Jan. 6 because the Secret Service did not do a thorough security sweep.

In addition, Loudermilk also provided security camera video footage and still photos of the suspect holding a device that lawmakers believe was a cell phone, further making the phone data a potential case-solving piece of evidence.

Loudermilk sent a letter to FBI Director Christopher Wray this fall demanding to know whether D'Antuono's testimony was accurate and whether the bureau ever went back to the cell phone carriers to get a fresh set of uncorrupted data. Just the News obtained a copy of the letter.

"The Subcommittee requests that the FBI provide a response to Mr. D’Antuono’s claim that the FBI received corrupted data," loudermilk wrote Wray.

The letter specifically demands that the FBI chief answer whether the bureau ever "inform the cell carrier(s) that provided corrupted data that the data they provided was corrupted or otherwise unusable."

You can read the letter here.

The bureau was able to obtain photographic and video evidence of the prime suspect, but have so far been unable to locate the individual, to the consternation of congressional investigators. A $500,000 reward for information about the suspect remains in effect, according to the FBI’s Washington Field Office. 

The FBI declined to comment on the investigation. 

House Republicans previously raised several concerns about the FBI’s handling of the investigation born from D’Antuono’s testimony. 

D’Antuono told Congress his investigators were not able to determine the whether the pipe bombs were placed as a diversionary tactic for the riot at the Capitol and was unable to recall if they had interviewed a key witness—the individual who discovered the pipe bombs. Additionally, D’Antuono gave testimony that the pipe bombs were deemed inoperable, despite the Quantico laboratory coming to a different conclusion. 

At a hearing earlier this year about assessing the law enforcement response to the pipe bombs, Loudermilk reiterated concerns about the FBI’s investigation. 

"Despite the suspect’s appearance on numerous USCP CCTV cameras, and the FBI’s efforts interviewing over 800 individuals and assessing more than 300 tips, the suspect remains at large,” Loudermilk said. 

“Unfortunately, FBI has failed to provide substantive updates on the investigation despite numerous requests from congressional committees. Today, they have declined to participate in our hearing,” he added. 

The pipe bombs, which were planted at the Democratic National Committee headquarters and Republican National Committee headquarters relatively undetected, are one of the most prominent security failures that took place on January 6. 

In one episode that represents the extent of the security lapse which left experts disturbed, Vice President-elect Kamala Harris was brought within yards of where the pipe bomb had earlier been planted, according to security footage reviewed by Just the News last year and released publicly by the House Administration Subcommittee on Oversight. 

The footage shows that the suspect calmly sitting at a park bench near the DNC's garage entrance the night before, taking out the explosive device and planting it between the bench and a bush about 10 yards from the driveway before walking off. A photo of the device as it was found while Harris was still visiting the DNC shows it clearly visible to the human eye. 

Despite the bomb's proximity to the garage entrance where Harris arrived, the footage shows the Secret Service motorcade bringing the future vice president into the driveway and into the building the next day, seemingly unaware that an explosive device was in the immediate vicinity. Harris was only evacuated after a passerby notified the Secret Service detail of a suspicious object, which turned out to be one of the pipe bombs. 


Steven Richards and John Solomon

Source: https://justthenews.com/government/security/hldcell-companies-refute-fbi-testimony-j6-pipe-bomber-investigation-loudermilk

Follow Middle East and Terrorism on Twitter

Protesters take to Paris streets against IDF gala - JNS Staff

 

​ by JNS Staff

The protests come on the eve of a France-Israel soccer match near Paris, which Jerusalem has warned Israelis to avoid.

 

Rioters clash with gendarmes during a rally in Paris organized by the France Unbowed, Ecologists—EELV and New Anticapitalist parties against the "Israel is Forever" gala, on Nov. 13, 2024. Photo by Dimitar Dilkoff/AFP via Getty Images.
Rioters clash with gendarmes during a rally in Paris organized by the France Unbowed, Ecologists—EELV and New Anticapitalist parties against the "Israel is Forever" gala, on Nov. 13, 2024. Photo by Dimitar Dilkoff/AFP via Getty Images.

Anti-Israel demonstrators erupted in Paris on Wednesday against a gala in support of Israel. The event, held in an undisclosed location in the city and organized by the pro-Israel group “Israel is Forever,” raised funds for the Israel Defense Forces.

Israeli Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich was to attend. The Religious Zionism Party leader is a strong proponent of expanding Israeli communities in Judea and Samaria.

The planned invitation of Smotrich sparked criticism from “local associations, unions and left-wing political parties, prompting two protests in the French capital,” the Associated Press reported.

Smotrich canceled his appearance in light of the growing criticism.

The demonstrations, which according to Euronews was organized by BDS groups and the far-left France Unbowed Party, came on the eve of a soccer match near Paris between the national teams of France and Israel.

The protesters expressed anger that the gala was not canceled by the authorities, who said it posed no threat to public order.

“We’re really angry,” France Unbowed MP Thomas Portes told Euronews. “We’ve got people who, once again, in the comfort of a gilded ballroom are going to raise money to fund the Israeli army.”

A few stores, including a McDonald’s and a Carrefour grocery, were vandalized.

French authorities announced that 4,000 officers and 1,600 stadium staff will be deployed in and around Stade de France, the national stadium just north of Paris in the commune of Saint-Denis, and on public transportation.

While the stadium capacity is 80,000, only 20,000 fans will be allowed in, creating a ratio of one police officer for every five attendees.

President Emmanuel Macron will attend the game “to show his full support for the French national team, but also to send a message of fraternity and solidarity after the unbearable antisemitic attacks following the football game in Amsterdam this week.”

The high security precautions for the match are a result of those riots, when Muslim mobs attacked visiting Israeli soccer fans in what has been described as a “pogrom” by Israeli and Dutch leaders.

It was the largest-scale series of antisemitic incidents in the Netherlands since the Holocaust and one of the largest events of its kind in Europe in decades.

On Wednesday, Israeli intelligence officials identified Dutch organizations with Hamas ties as the primary instigators.

Israel’s National Security Council (NSC) on Sunday issued an alert warning Israeli travelers to avoid sporting and cultural events in Europe, with an emphasis on the Israeli national team game near Paris.

Despite the NSC warning, thousands of French Jews are planning to attend the match.

“I don’t want to gift an empty stadium to haters and antisemites,” Yonathan Arfi, president of France’s Representative Council of French Jewish Institutions (CRIF), told Ynet. “The worst thing we can do is abandon the field and leave it to antisemites.

“We understand the NSC’s position, but this game has important symbolic significance: The stands must be full, including with French people who reject antisemitism,” Arfi said.

On Nov. 4, scores of anti-Israel protesters burst into the French Football Federation offices in Paris and demanded the cancellation of the game.

In video footage posted on social media, the protesters, wearing red gloves and “blood” bags, are seen lying on the floor of the headquarters or holding placards with political slogans and PLO flags.

Some can be heard chanting: “No, no, no to the France-Israel game at Stade de France.”

Security is also being increased ahead of other sporting events in Europe involving Israeli teams in the wake of the attacks in Amsterdam, which followed a game against Ajax in the Europa League. Ten Israeli citizens were injured in the attacks.

Greece heightened security measures for a EuroLeague basketball game between Panathinaikos and Maccabi Tel Aviv in Athens on Tuesday.


JNS Staff

Source: https://www.jns.org/protesters-take-to-paris-streets-against-idf-gala/

Follow Middle East and Terrorism on Twitter

The Draghi Report 'To Save Europe': Late, Confused but with Important Findings - Drieu Godefridi

 

​ by Drieu Godefridi

On the whole, Draghi's report seems worth more for the accuracy of its findings than for the practicality of its recommendations.

 

  • European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen... postponed publication of [Mario] Draghi's report until the day after her reappointment -- yet another illustration of the intractably anti-democratic nature of the unelected, untransparent, unaccountable and unable-to-be-removed European institutions.

  • The remedies proposed by Draghi are... a "targeted" industrial policy, tax cuts here and administrative simplification there. And extra EU spending of "only" €800 billion ($857 billion) a year!

  • European businesses are regressing because they are being slashed by taxes, tormented by a thousand constantly changing regulations, and are paying between two and ten times more for energy than their global competitors -- fatal for 100% of European industry...

  • [F]orcing businesses and families to opt for more expensive energy sources... does not create any "opportunities", apart from... "windfall effects" for the recipients of public subsidies. They only create a further worsening of the overall economic situation.

  • [I]n another report published recently under the aegis of the same European Commission, it was acknowledged that the EU's starry-eyed energy transition objectives -- "zero carbon" by 2050 -- would require a whopping €1.5 trillion a year for 20 years. Whatever the verbal packaging, this bagatelle has a cost that will put a strain on European businesses and impoverish European households.

  • If we stick to the findings of Draghi's report, however, getting the EU out of its rut is possible, but presupposes the following measures: 1) a drastic reduction in the overall tax burden on businesses (and households), 2) a drastic simplification of European law, which ultimately paralyses and kills initiative, 3) abandoning the authoritarian energy transition in favor of voluntary diversification of the energy mix, and 4) giving innovative entrepreneurs enticing incentives: fighting not their national neighbors but their global competitors.

  • Draghi's report proposes an initiative which, while not new, should be implemented without delay: the creation of a European legal vehicle enabling European entrepreneurs to tackle the entire European market head-on, such as introducing a new EU-wide statute for innovative ventures... This simple measure, coupled with administrative simplification, would be consistent with the founding spirit of the European Economic Community, which is the EU common market.

  • On the whole, Draghi's report seems worth more for the accuracy of its findings than for the practicality of its recommendations.

European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen postponed publication of Mario Draghi's report until the day after her reappointment -- yet another illustration of the intractably anti-democratic nature of the unelected, untransparent, unaccountable and unable-to-be-removed European institutions. Pictured: Draghi and von der Leyen hold a press conference to promote Draghi's report on the future of European competitiveness at EU headquarters in Brussels, Belgium on September 9, 2024. (Photo by Nicolas Tucat/AFP via Getty Images)

"The future of European competitiveness," a report by former Italian Prime Minister Mario Draghi published by the European Commission on September 9 "to save the European economy," has been unanimously welcomed by the European media, as likely to propel the European Union out of the nasty rut it has been in for 20 years.

Let us humbly offer a dissenting opinion: it does not seem that Draghi's report, even if implemented -- which is doubtful -- will solve anything on a European macroeconomic scale. The problem seems that Draghi refuses to take leave of the Germano-environmentalist myth of a zero-carbon Europe.

Let us start by pointing out that here was a set of objective diagnoses and figures on the European economic disaster, which was typically likely to fuel the democratic debate preceding the European elections on June 6-9, 2024, but also the reappointment of one of the main architects of this European economic catastrophe: European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen.

Energy prices in Europe have exploded since 2022 due to the end of cheap Russian gas, but first and foremost due to the "energy transition"-- wanted by... von der Leyen. According to Prof. Samuele Furfari:

"Wind and solar power are inherently intermittent and variable sources of energy -- two words absent from the [Draghi] report -- which heavily penalize the cost of electricity due to the need for sub-optimal operation of the power system. Far from providing 'safe and inexpensive' energy, a power system dominated by renewables requires costly infrastructure for back-up generation, storage and transmission, which in turn increases system costs."

"De-industrialization is happening as we speak," Marco Mensink, the director general of the European Chemical Industry Council, remarked last month. "The clock is ticking; we have roughly until 2030 before it becomes irreversible." The European Union was built on the backbone of heavy industry, stemming from the European Coal and Steel Community formed in 1951. The notable downturn in this sector observed since Ursula von der Leyen took the helm of the European Commission has impacted its core symbolic and economic underpinnings. One EU diplomat, speaking under the condition of anonymity to Politico, expressed concern:

"Budget shortfalls are skyrocketing across various economies. If we fail to lower energy costs, the welfare system, as well as our military and defense strengths, could be compromised."

Instead, von der Leyen postponed publication of Draghi's report until the day after her reappointment -- yet another illustration of the intractably anti-democratic nature of the unelected, untransparent, unaccountable and unable-to-be-removed European institutions.

We should be delighted that the economic and ultimately social backwardness of the EU is finally being recognized by those who are responsible for it, namely the EU's "elites", of whom Draghi is one of the most accomplished figures. Draghi's findings are implacable: the average income of Europeans is falling behind that of Americans, European industry is collapsing, and Europe's share of the economy of tomorrow -- the technology sector -- is derisory.

The remedies proposed by Draghi are not a surprise: a "targeted" industrial policy, tax cuts here and administrative simplification there. And extra EU spending of "only" €800 billion ($857 billion) a year!

None of this is new; it has already been the subject of numerous "white papers", recommendations and reports -- including those of the European Court of Auditors. Above all, Draghi takes no account of the failure of comparable measures, such as the post-COVID European borrowing and spending, which was a massive fiasco.

Yet, Draghi repeatedly and quite rightly points out that European businesses are regressing because they are being slashed by taxes, tormented by a thousand constantly changing regulations, and are paying between two and ten times more for energy than their global competitors -- fatal for 100% of European industry, starting with chemicals.

His recommendations, however, are hardly convincing. What, in essence, is Draghi proposing? A massive new round of borrowing and spending, which is nothing more than a new tax -- the repayment of which will contribute to a further deterioration in the competitive position of European businesses.

Next, Draghi suggests forcing the pace of the energy transition. Here again, let us go back to basics: forcing businesses and families to opt for more expensive energy sources -- more expensive in themselves, or in their distribution and intermittency -- does not create any "opportunities", apart from what are known in economics as "windfall effects" for the recipients of public subsidies. They only create a further worsening of the overall economic situation.

Draghi is aware of the problem: "there is a risk that decarbonisation could run contrary to competitiveness and growth," he acknowledges on page 2 of his report's Foreword. Indeed, in another report published recently under the aegis of the same European Commission, it was acknowledged that the EU's starry-eyed energy transition objectives -- "zero carbon" by 2050 -- would require a whopping €1.5 trillion a year for 20 years. Whatever the verbal packaging, this bagatelle has a cost that will put a strain on European businesses and impoverish European households.

If we stick to the findings of Draghi's report, however, getting the EU out of its rut is possible, but presupposes the following measures: 1) a drastic reduction in the overall tax burden on businesses (and households), 2) a drastic simplification of European law, which ultimately paralyses and kills initiative, 3) abandoning the authoritarian energy transition in favor of voluntary diversification of the energy mix, and 4) giving innovative entrepreneurs enticing incentives: fighting not their national neighbors but their global competitors.

From this point of view, Draghi's report proposes an initiative which, while not new, should be implemented without delay: the creation of a European legal vehicle enabling European entrepreneurs to tackle the entire European market head-on, such as introducing a new EU-wide statute for innovative ventures ("Innovative European Company", page 247, part B of the report). This simple measure, coupled with administrative simplification, would be consistent with the founding spirit of the European Economic Community, which is the EU common market.

On the whole, Draghi's report seems worth more for the accuracy of its findings than for the practicality of its recommendations.


Drieu Godefridi is a jurist (University Saint-Louis, University of Louvain), philosopher (University Saint-Louis, University of Louvain) and PhD in legal theory (Paris IV-Sorbonne). He is an entrepreneur, CEO of a European private education group and director of PAN Medias Group. He is the author of The Green Reich (2020).

Source: https://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/21115/draghi-report

Follow Middle East and Terrorism on Twitter

Barack Obama: The Political Genius That Wasn’t - Richard Truesdell and Keith Lehmann

 

​ by Richard Truesdell and Keith Lehmann

The presidential election was as much about Barack Obama as it was about Kamala Harris and the Democrats, revealing that the former president holds little sway over voters eager to "turn the page."

 

 

Every few months, a sanitized report appears on the post-presidency activities of Barack Obama’s public advocacy. It’s a narrative that conveniently ignores the inherent problems in having a person with no constitutional role or congressional oversight take an active role in executive decision-making.

Over the summer of 2024, Obama emerged as a central figure in government censorship of the internet while launching a new campaign against gun ownership. In earlier times, the spectacle of an ex-president leading simultaneous campaigns against the First and Second Amendments might have generated some interest in the legacy media. But as last week’s election coverage proved, the press is no longer interested in reporting hard facts or maintaining transparency. The mockingbird media are now servants of those holding power and will do anything to advance their interests.

Yet there is another interpretation of Obama’s peculiar involvement with Democrat operatives during the Trump and Biden administrations. It is that Obama was never the leader of anything, neither then nor now.

Post-presidency, Obama was fixated on collecting laundered wealth from intermediaries such as Spotify and Netflix, buying luxury properties, and hanging out on private yachts with celebrities. His stratospheric levels of egotism and absence of self-awareness motivated him to occasionally appear in public next to Biden as a larger, more popular figure, signaling that he was “The One” who was calling the shots. We know this to be completely false.

Obama has proven to be a celebrity-obsessed, pretend billionaire with the lazy pretense of having any positive influence whatsoever on the inner workings of the American government. He has presented himself as a self-consumed lightweight who was breathtakingly narcissistic even by Washington, D.C., standards.

Floating to the Top on a Cloud of Projection

Obama’s lack of managerial experience and his thin understanding of important issues did not matter—Democrats wanted a malleable figure as the leader of the Free World who could speak decisively, travel the world repeating leftist platitudes convincingly off a teleprompter, and sign anything put in front of him.

What Democrats failed to comprehend was that the projection of their beliefs onto a relatively unknown, singular person was to create a figure that would ultimately destroy their party in ways they did not anticipate. Obama’s far-left beliefs, his antipathy toward America, and his racial divisiveness were somewhat hidden at first, yet became quite obvious as he was put on a pedestal by Democrats who were blinded by his charm.

Nowhere was this more evident than after Kamala Harris was installed as the candidate. The failure of his vice presidential understudy, Joe Biden, was pushed aside after the disastrous first presidential debate where he seemed dazed and confused. Democrat power brokers, specifically Obama along with Nancy Pelosi, knew there was no way that Biden could defeat Donald Trump in November.

What they didn’t count on was Biden immediately endorsing his vice president. Obama and Pelosi didn’t see that move coming. As a result, politically, they got caught completely flat-footed. It was wonderful for all of us on the right to watch and as much as any political move in 2024, it ensured Harris’s and the Democrats’ stunning defeat.

This should come as no surprise to anyone who has observed presidential politics from the moment Obama was sworn in on January 20, 2009, to last week’s election. The cult of personality surrounding Obama prevented the damage from being seen in its entirety until well after Obama’s second term. His radicalism, hatred of America and Israel, and his tendency to be attracted to wealth and fame compromised his presidency and explained how the Democrat Party lurched so far to the left and alienated a large portion of its moderate base.

Obama’s fascination with billionaires led to an emerging oligarchy, especially in the tech sector, tightening its grip on the government at large. His penchant for “settling scores” resulted in the weaponization of nearly every government agency against American citizens. Race relations were set back to the 1950s. Inequality skyrocketed. The Tea Party emerged. Donald Trump was elected. “Russiagate” was born. The Democrat-supporting legacy media began its sudden decline in viewership and readership. It all started with Obama in the White House, continued through Trump’s first presidency, and the sham of what was the Biden-Harris administration. Biden’s cognitive decline was hidden from America until it was too late.

Looking back through the prism of history, the Obama years didn’t end well for Democrats. When Obama took office in 2008, Democrats held 55 Senate seats and 256 seats in the House. After Obama’s second term ended in 2016, Democrats had lost nine seats in the Senate and 62 seats in the House. There were twelve fewer Democrat governors, with Democrats overall holding fewer elected offices nationwide at any time since the 1920s.

For all the platitudes of his political intellect and savvy manner of operation, Obama has been a down-ballot disaster for Democrats. But it has been a goldmine for Obama, who is now in his fourth mansion. We have to wonder how anyone in the Democrat Party thinks they got their money’s worth with Obama.

It’s not hard to see how rewarding this was for Obama. He knew that division and racial strife were the path to electoral victory for the left. By reigniting animosities and weaponizing the federal government against his political opponents, a process that intensified during the Biden administration, Obama took extreme, unprecedented measures to achieve short-term gains and position himself as the central figure in Democrat political circles.

He wanted fame, fortune, adulation, worship, and no accountability. He achieved all of that and more, becoming the de facto “kingmaker” of the Democrat Party.

What exactly were the motives of Democrats when they elevated a junior senator from Illinois to be the central figure of their party? To answer that question, one must understand the criminal enterprise that Washington, D.C., has become over six decades and the need for an effective frontman to charm the population. Bill Clinton served that purpose quite well for two terms after being elevated similarly.

But Obama was an unknown entity with far fewer accomplishments than Clinton. Obama was the DEI-approved face of the Democrat machine that could operate with near impunity, reflexively branding any attempt to resist or criticize him as racist. A political and racial arsonist to his core, Obama scorched the earth at every opportunity and dared anyone to challenge him. It was the most destructive and divisive presidential period in modern history.

Obama utilized the radicalism that was honed during his time as a “community organizer” in Chicago and applied it to the nation. He engineered conflict, caused chaos, and pitted people against each other. It was the classic Marxist notion of “oppressor versus oppressed,” where winners and losers, villains and heroes, innocence and guilt, are unilaterally determined. People were labeled, vilified, categorized, and ostracized from society simply by their beliefs. Violence against them was justified and even celebrated.

Democrats were genuinely “riding the tiger” with Obama and were unsure exactly where he would lead them. Well, here we are—a nation completely divided, at each other’s throats, leveling hyperbolic charges against strangers, all because we had to have the equivalent of a DEI hire in the White House to assuage our “racial strife.” And how is that “racial strife” going today?

More to the point, “How are the Democrats doing today with Obama as their de facto leader?” Horribly, as the 2024 election has proven.

The ironic aspect of this will be missed by many. Obama rose to power in 2008 because the 18- to 25-year-old Millennials believed in his stature as the Black Jesus. In 2024, the 18- to 25-year-old Gen-Zs abandoned him because they don’t.

With the electoral drubbing Democrats took last week, with recriminations on who to blame being spread across Democrat circles, Obama’s political “brilliance” has been revealed as pure fiction. You can say that the mask has been ripped off with the presidency and both Houses of Congress now in Republican hands.

Trump is moving at lightning speed to fill his cabinet with people who hold dear his populist message. Trump went through this game eight years ago and has a clearer picture of how the sausage is made in the D.C. swamp. And with a clear mandate from voters, he knows he has at least two years to fix the mess with the economy and at the border that he’s inherited from Biden (with plenty of help from the puppet master pulling his strings from the shadows in what has turned out to be the third term of Obama’s presidency).

Key to Trump’s success—and if he can retain control of the House and Senate in the 2026 midterms—will be to bring the warring parties in Ukraine and Russia as well as the Middle East to the negotiating tables, and at the same time fix the damage to the economy wrought by Biden, Harris, and Democrats in Congress. If he does, it will cement his legacy while at the same time, likely ending Obama’s influence and interference in American politics once and for all.


Richard Truesdell and Keith Lehmann 

Source: https://amgreatness.com/2024/11/14/barack-obama-the-political-genius-that-wasnt/

Follow Middle East and Terrorism on Twitter

Dermer talks Hezbollah truce amid pressure in Israel to keep fighting - Joshua Marks

 

​ by Joshua Marks

Sunday's discussions at Mar-a-Lago reportedly centered on an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon that involves Western and Russian cooperation.

 

Israeli soldiers near a public shelter in Nahariya, northern Israel. Nov. 12, 2024. Photo by David Cohen/Flash90.

Israel’s Strategic Affairs Minister Ron Dermer met with President-elect Trump during a visit to his Florida estate on Sunday, The Washington Post reported on Wednesday.

Sunday’s discussions at Mar-a-Lago centered on an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon that involves Western and Russian cooperation, according to the Post. Dermer secretly visited Russia last week for follow-up discussions, after Russian officials visited Israel on Oct. 27 to discuss the plan.

The proposal calls for Moscow to prevent Hezbollah from resupplying via Syrian land routes.

According to Israeli officials, other details of the plan include moving the Hezbollah terrorist group north of the Litani River. The Lebanese military would then take control of the border area for a period of 60 days, overseen by the United States and Britain.

Ron Dermer
Israeli Minister of Strategic Affairs Ron Dermer at the president’s residence in Jerusalem, Dec. 29, 2022. Photo by Yonatan Sindel/Flash90.

A source close to the Iranian terror proxy told the Post that Hezbollah would be willing to withdraw its forces north of the Litani as part of a temporary ceasefire deal. The terrorist group has yet to receive a formal proposal to end the fighting, according to the source.

Citing three current and former Israeli officials briefed on the meeting, the newspaper reported that Jerusalem is rushing to advance a ceasefire plan in Lebanon as a “welcome gift” to Trump. This would hand the Republican an early diplomatic victory upon his return to the White House.

“There is an understanding that Israel would gift something to Trump … that in January there will be an understanding about Lebanon,” an Israeli official said.

Hezbollah began launching thousands of rockets, missiles and drones at Israel the day after Hamas launched its Oct. 7, 2023, massacre. Over 60,000 Israeli citizens remain internally displaced from their homes in the north due to the ongoing Hezbollah attacks.

People take cover as a siren warns of incoming missiles from Lebanon in the northern Israeli city of Tzfat, Nov. 13, 2024. Photo by David Cohen/Flash90.

Israel is closer to reaching a deal to stop the fighting with Hezbollah than it has been since the start of the war, but it must retain the freedom to act in Lebanon should any deal be violated, Israeli Energy Minister Eli Cohen, a member of Jerusalem’s security Cabinet, said on Thursday.

“We will be less forgiving than in the past over attempts to create strongholds in territory near Israel,” Cohen told the Reuters wire agency.

A senior Israeli diplomatic official confirmed to Israel Hayom on Saturday that there has been a significant breakthrough in efforts to achieve a diplomatic settlement.

One potential sticking point, however, is the ability of Israeli forces to reenter Lebanese territory if Hezbollah attempts to rearm and reestablish itself.

The official emphasized that the Israel Defense Forces will retain operational freedom to respond to any security threats from across the northern border, regardless of any diplomatic arrangements or paper agreements.

However, the source close to Hezbollah told the Post that the group’s “condition for progress remains clear: Israel must be prohibited from conducting operations within Lebanese territory.”

Following his meetings in Florida with Trump and his son-in-law and former senior adviser Jared Kushner, Dermer headed to Washington to meet Monday and Tuesday with Biden administration officials,  including Amos Hochstein, the president’s special envoy to Lebanon.

If the ceasefire efforts fail, an Israeli military official told the Post that there are plans in the works to expand ground operations in Lebanon.

Israeli soldiers in northern Israel. November 11, 2024. Photo by David Cohen/Flash90.

Meanwhile, Israel is continuing ground activities in Southern Lebanon and conducting aerial strikes on Hezbollah targets in Beirut and across the country.

Voices in Netanyahu’s coalition are also calling for the continuation of military pressure, including new Defense Minister Israel Katz, who said on Tuesday that “In Lebanon, there will be no ceasefire and no pause. We will continue to strike Hezbollah with full force until our war objectives are achieved.”

The Israeli public also supports the continuation of military operations against Hezbollah in Lebanon.

A majority of Jewish Israelis back the continuation of IDF operations in Southern Lebanon, a survey published by the Israel Democracy Institute on Sunday shows.

A majority of Jewish Israeli respondents (54%) said they support a continuation of the fighting, while a minority (38%) expressed support for ceasefire negotiations with the Lebanese state.

A Trump official told the Post that Kushner is expected to play an advisory role in any future negotiations with Saudi Arabia on normalization with Israel, even if he isn’t appointed to a formal White House position. Kushner helped broker the Abraham Accords during Trump’s first term in office, which established diplomatic relations between Israel and the United Arab Emirates (UAE), Bahrain, Sudan, and Morocco.


Joshua Marks

Source: https://www.jns.org/israel-advances-lebanon-ceasefire-plan-as-gift-to-trump/

Follow Middle East and Terrorism on Twitter