Sunday, July 13, 2025

The Iran Ceasefire: A Dicey Intermission - Amir Taheri

 

by Amir Taheri

Tehran's fourth demand may be the hardest for any American administration to even contemplate accepting: Accepting the Islamic Republic's right to "export" its model of governance, its Islamic values and its campaign for "global justice" just as the US does by propagating its values.

 

  • [T]he recent flare-up has deeper reason than a concern about Iran building a nuclear arsenal, something which all directors general of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) from Hans Blix to Muhammad Al-Baradei and Rafael Grossi have repeatedly said they cannot confirm.

  • Tehran's fourth demand may be the hardest for any American administration to even contemplate accepting: Accepting the Islamic Republic's right to "export" its model of governance, its Islamic values and its campaign for "global justice" just as the US does by propagating its values. In other words, Tehran says: Let us do what we please and we promise not to make the bomb that we have always said we never intended to build.

  • [M]id-term election in the US... could transform Trump into a lame-duck president if Elon Musk's new political Tesla manages to rob the Republicans of just six seats in the Congress and two or three in the Senate. At the same time, Israeli Prim Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's numerous political enemies may eventually manage to bring him down.

  • Thus, regime insiders believe it is imperative to prolong the current ceasefire, even through negotiations, until the two big clouds shaped like Trump and Netanyahu disappear like morning mist.

  • The current political situation doesn't have only two sides: steadfastness and surrender. The third side is change, of course. which means giving the enemy a victory it didn't win with war.

With varying degrees of intensity and a diversity of locations, the war of Iran vs Israel and the US started more than four decades ago. Pictured: Iran's President Masoud Pezeshkian watches a military parade during a ceremony marking the country's annual Army Day on April 18, 2025 in Tehran, Iran. (Photo by Majid Saeedi/Getty Images)

The recent attack by Israel and the US on parts of Iran's nuclear project has already been dubbed by some commentators as the Twelve Day War.

However, that cut-off time was chosen by Tehran to back a claim that Iran managed to fight twice as long as Arab states led by Egypt did in the Six Days War of 1967.

In fact, with varying degrees of intensity and a diversity of locations, this war started more than four decades ago when the new revolutionary authorities raided the Israeli diplomatic mission in Tehran and handed it over to PLO leader Yasser Arafat on a visit as special guest of Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini. A few months later, the new revolutionary regime repeated the exercise by raiding the US Embassy and seizing its diplomats as hostages.

Under international law, a nation's diplomatic mission or embassy is part of its sovereign territory, and an armed attack on it regarded as causus belli (a cause of war). A year later, the US retaliated when President Jimmy Carter ordered a badly planned violation of Iranian territory, confirming the existence of a state of war between the two countries.

Iran's eight-year war with Iraq provided a parenthesis in which both Israel and the US shipped arms and intelligence to Tehran against Saddam Hussein's regime in Baghdad.

The war with Israel was resumed when Tehran started creating proxy mini-armies in Lebanon and to fish for potential mercenaries among various Palestinian armed groups.

By the early 1980s, Tehran, allied with the Assad regime in Damascus, had turned Lebanon into a battleground against the US and Israel.

In the 2000's, Tehran started a low intensity war against US forces in Iraq while through proxies pursuing a war of attrition against Israel, wars that continue to this day.

All that needs to be re-stated to show that the recent flare-up has deeper reason than a concern about Iran building a nuclear arsenal, something which all directors general of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) from Hans Blix to Muhammad Al-Baradei and Rafael Grossi have repeatedly said they cannot confirm.

To be sure, the famous "one percent in risk" theory requires taking the possibility of a dangerous foe acquiring the ultimate weapon very seriously, something that all US presidents since Bill Clinton have done with various attempts at "containing" Iran, all to no avail.

Does that mean that the current regime in Tehran is totally unlikely to temporarily give up the potentially military dimension (PMD) of its nuclear project?

Judging by remarks by many figures within the Iranian regime, most recently by President Masoud Pezeshkian and in an oblique way by "Supreme Guide" Ali Khamenei, the answer could be a cautious: no.

The regime has hinted that it is ready to consider freezing the PMD of the project, something which it denies exists, in exchange for four concessions from the US and its allies, including Israel.

The first is to let the regime keep a straight face and proclaim a magnificent victory against the Great Satan and its little companion.

This is what Tehran is already doing both at home and, with help from anti-US and anti-Israel circles, across the globe.

The second demand is to abolish, not merely suspend or lift, all sanctions imposed on Iran.

The third demand is for the US and allies to commit themselves to never devise or support a regime change scheme against Iran. That means severing relations with dozens of Iranian opposition outfits.

Tehran's fourth demand may be the hardest for any American administration to even contemplate accepting: Accepting the Islamic Republic's right to "export" its model of governance, its Islamic values and its campaign for "global justice" just as the US does by propagating its values. In other words, Tehran says: Let us do what we please and we promise not to make the bomb that we have always said we never intended to build.

That message was obliquely transmitted through Tucker Carlson's exclusive interview with President Pezeshkian: Let us boast about a great military victory and we shall let you claim a great diplomatic victory by returning to negotiations.

The ceasefire declared by President Donald Trump has injected an intermission into a deadly drama that started almost half a century ago. During the intermission, three clocks will be ticking.

The first is that of Khamenei's physical and political life, both of which, though shaken, still appear tenable.

The second clock is that of mid-term elections in the US that could transform Trump into a lame-duck president if Elon Musk's new political Tesla manages to rob the Republicans of just six seats in the Congress and two or three in the Senate. At the same time, Israeli Prim Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's numerous political enemies may eventually manage to bring him down.

Thus, regime insiders believe it is imperative to prolong the current ceasefire, even through negotiations, until the two big clouds shaped like Trump and Netanyahu disappear like morning mist.

Finally, the third clock that is ticking is that of swelling anger among the Iranian people at what more and more of them see as an historic failure combined with unprecedented humiliation and hardship.

The current ceasefire is a dicey intermission in a war that started almost half a century ago and seems nowhere near coming to an end.

To sum up, this was the message in Tasnim, organ of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, last Tuesday: The current political situation doesn't have only two sides: steadfastness and surrender. The third side is change, of course. which means giving the enemy a victory it didn't win with war.

Gatestone Institute would like to thank the author for his kind permission to reprint this article in slightly different form from Asharq Al-Awsat. He graciously serves as Chairman of Gatestone Europe. 


Amir Taheri was the executive editor-in-chief of the daily Kayhan in Iran from 1972 to 1979. He has worked at or written for innumerable publications, published eleven books, and has been a columnist for Asharq Al-Awsat since 1987.

Source: https://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/21748/iran-ceasefire-dicey-intermission

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New report shows Secret Service had threat intelligence 10 days before Trump assassination attempt - Nicholas Ballasy

 

by Nicholas Ballasy

A Senate report calls for stronger punishment for the failures leading up to the assassination attempt on Trump in Butler, Pa. on July 13, 2024: 'Not a single person has been fired'

 

A new report shows Secret Service had threat intelligence 10 days before the assassination attempt on President Trump last year and a separate Senate report recommends stronger disciplinary action for the failures on and before the day of the incident.

“Prior to the July 13 rally, senior-level Secret Service officials became aware of a threat to then-former President Trump,” read the Government Accountability Office (GAO) report requested by Sen. Chuck Grassley (R-Iowa), Chairman of the Senate Judiciary Committee. “This information was not specific to the July 13 rally or gunman. Nonetheless, due to the Secret Service’s siloed practice for sharing classified threat information, Secret Service and local law enforcement personnel central to developing site security plans for the rally were unaware of the threat.”

The report, released on Saturday, confirmed that the Secret Service "had no process to share classified threat information with partners when the information was not considered an imminent threat to life."

A new Senate Homeland Security Committee report concluded that the assassination attempt at the outdoor rally in Butler was not the result of a single error. 

"It was a cascade of preventable failures that nearly cost President Trump his life," read the report, released on Sunday. “The American people deserve better."

The final report chided the federal government for “insufficient accountability” after the attack occurred.

“Not a single person has been fired,” it said. “The Committee believes more than six individuals should have received disciplinary action as a result of their action (or inaction) on July 13. 2024. Those who were disciplined received penalties far too weak to match the severity of the failures.”


Nicholas Ballasy

Source: https://justthenews.com/government/congress/new-report-shows-secret-service-had-threat-intelligence-10-days-trump

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Durham passed on prosecuting John Brennan — will Bondi do the same? - Jerry Dunleavy

 

by Jerry Dunleavy

John Brennan has thus far escaped any criminal charges related to his role in Russiagate.

 

John Durham’s investigation as Special Counsel passed on prosecuting ex-CIA chief John Brennan as well as a host of other key Russiagate figures, but there's a new sheriff in town.

Following a criminal referral by CIA Director John Ratcliffe last week, the decision on potentially charging the Obama spy chief will now rest with Attorney General Pam Bondi and the Justice Department that she oversees.

Ratcliffe's referral to FBI Director Kash Patel is related to possible criminality by Brennan, sources familiar with Ratcliffe's actions who declined to be named told Just the News this week, following a review by the CIA released last week. That report critiqued the actions taken by Brennan related to the baseless Trump-Russia collusion investigation, and it will likely be up to Bondi to decide if a criminal investigation — and prosecution — is warranted.

The CIA’s “lessons learned" review of the December 2016 Intelligence Community Assessment sharply criticized Brennan for joining with anti-Trump forces in the FBI in pushing to include British ex-spy Christopher Steele’s baseless anti-Trump dossier in the assessment. In Ratcliffe's review, the CIA also critiqued the “high confidence” assessment by the FBI and the CIA that Russian leader Vladimir Putin had “aspired” to help President Donald Trump win in 2016.

Brennan's potentially false statements

While the specifics of Ratcliffe’s criminal referral of Brennan to the FBI were not immediately made public, it is likely that it has to do with Brennan’s potentially false statements to Congress about the ICA and the Steele dossier. Brennan spoke with Special Counsel John Durham in August 2020 and testified before the House Judiciary Committee in May 2023. Given a five-year statute of limitations, he could be in the crosshairs of law enforcement action until August of this year or until May 2028, respectively.

Lying to Congress -- whether under oath or not -- can be a federal crime under 18 U.S.C. §1001, which forbids making false statements to any branch of the federal government. The statute of limitations of five years starts to run when the crime is completed, which is when the false statement is made or the false document is submitted. Thus, any false statements Brennan allegedly made five years ago or more would not be prosecutable.

Brennan told MSNBC on Wednesday that “I know nothing about this reported investigation or referral to the DOJ” and that “nobody from the FBI or Department of Justice or CIA has reached out to me at all.” He said that "I am clueless about what it is exactly that they may be investigating me for." He currently serves as a senior national security and intelligence analyst for NBC and MSNBC, but did not respond to the network's request for comment.

Brennan told Reuters that he "knows nothing" about the DOJ investigation, and added that the episode is "unfortunately a very sad and tragic example of the continued politicization of the intelligence community."

A spokesperson for the DOJ told Just the News that “we do not comment on ongoing investigations.”

Brennan calls Trump's denial "hogwash" but backtracks behind closed doors

It is unclear what exactly Brennan may have told Durham about his role with the ICA and the Steele dossier, because the transcript of Brennan’s August 2020 interview with Durham's team has not been made public. It is apparent from statements made by Brennan's spokesman and his lawyer that the ICA and Steele dossier came up during Brennan’s interview with Durham, despite quotes from that portion of Brennan’s interview not making it into the Durham report. Brennan’s testimony could be key in Bondi’s decision making.

Then-Attorney General William Barr told The New York Times in a June 2020 interview that Durham was looking into the ICA.

“There was definitely Russian, uh, interference. I think Durham is looking at the intelligence community’s ICA — the report that they did in December [2016],” Barr said. “And he’s sort of examining all the information that was … the basis for their conclusions. So to that extent, I still have an open mind, depending on what he finds.”

Nick Shapiro, Brennan’s former deputy chief of staff and senior adviser, said shortly after Brennan spoke with Durham in August 2020 that Durham had informed Brennan that “he is not a subject or a target of a criminal investigation, and that he is only a witness to events that are under review.”

Brennan also went on MSNBC in September 2020 where he said of the Durham team that “I think they were testing various theories that they had heard and were asking for my views as well as my recollections on things. But it was handled in a very professional manner."

Most of the references to Brennan in the Durham report are in reference to what Durham dubbed the “Clinton Plan intelligence” although there are exceptions. Durham noted that, when interviewing Brennan about special counsel Robert Mueller declaring a lack of evidence of collusion between the Trump campaign and the Russian government, Brennan offered that "they found no conspiracy."

Despite this admission, the Durham report then noted Brennan's contrary public statements, published less than a week before his interview with Durham. Brennan had written a New York Times opinion piece titled “John Brennan: President Trump’s Claims of No Collusion Are Hogwash” where Brennan wrote that “Russian denials are, in a word, hogwash. … Mr. Trump’s claims of no collusion are, in a word, hogwash.”

Jim Jordan, others, seek access to Brennan transcript

Republicans in Congress continue to seek access to classified information on the Trump-Russia saga — including material related to Durham’s inquiry.

Last month, the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Court quietly approved a Justice Department request to review information tied to the FISA warrants that targeted Carter Page as FBI Director Kash Patel seeks to hand over more Russiagate evidence to Congress.

The GOP-led House Judiciary Committee sent a letter to Patel earlier this year asking him to provide a host of information tied to Russiagate and special counsel John Durham’s inquiry.

The letter by Rep. Jim ​​Jordan, R-Ohio, also asked for any and all documents and transcripts in possession of the FBI which were cited or used by Durham’s inquiry and all transcripts of interviews which Durham’s team conducted — which would include the Brennan interview.

Jordan told Just the News last Monday night he believes a Justice Department review of Brennan's testimony is possible. "It looks like he may have said something that wasn't accurate … when we deposed him in 2023," Jordan said.

"We want to take a look at this, and we'll see what else Mr. Ratcliffe may do, or what, if anything, the Department of Justice may do, what Attorney General Bondi may do with this information as well," he added.

Brennan’s lawyer doubled down to Durham in 2022

Brennan’s lawyer, Kenneth Wainstein, doubled down on Brennan’s claims in a lengthy 2022 letter sent on behalf of his client to Durham — information which could be of value to Bondi. The letter was first reported by The Atlantic this week, and Wainstein confirmed to Just the News that “yes, that is the letter I submitted to John Durham in 2022.”

Wainstein had personally represented Brennan for years, and went on to be confirmed as the Under Secretary for Intelligence and Analysis at Biden’s Department of Homeland Security later in 2022. The lawyer had been a partner at the law firm of Davis Polk & Wardwell when he sent the letter to Durham, but he is now at the Mayer Brown law firm. 

Wainstein told Durham at the time that his client had done an “eight-hour interview” with Durham in August 2020. Wainstein also noted he had represented former Director of National Intelligence James Clapper and an unnamed “CIA Supervisor” as well, both of whom were also interviewed by Durham, according to the letter.

Wainstein told Durham that “the Intelligence Community's work on the 2016 election interference threat became the target of factual distortions and baseless accusations from many pundits, political operatives, and even government leaders who sought to demonize the Intelligence Community and discredit its analytical assessments about the Russian interference.”

Lawyer: Brennan had "minimal" involvement, but admits pushing Steele Dossier 

Brennan’s lawyer claimed that his client’s “involvement in the production of the ICA was minimal” and that “prior to the publication of the ICA, Director Brennan met with the participating CIA analysts on one occasion, for approximately an hour and a half, to discuss the ICA draft. During that meeting, Director Brennan discussed the analysts' findings and some of the specific intelligence they relied upon, but made no changes to their analysis or findings.”

Brennan “did actively engage in the preparation of the report in one aspect — in response to the FBI's desire that the ICA include a discussion of the Steele Dossier,” his lawyer told Durham.

“In the years since this episode, the Steele Dossier has taken on an almost mythic significance in the minds of those who believe that the Intelligence Community was intent on using the ICA process to undermine Donald Trump's reputation and presidency,” Brennan’s lawyer wrote. "That conspiracy theory is inconsistent with the facts, and the irony is that” Brennan and Clapper “prevented the Steele dossier from playing any role in the ICA analysis.”

Wainstein claimed that Brennan “objected to including the Steele dossier in the ICA, citing the absence of corroboration for the information it contained” and that he and his staff “expressed the concern that combining the dossier's unvetted information with the rest of the vetted intelligence would undermine the legitimacy of the report and compromise the credibility of its findings.”

“This situation resulted in a brief interagency standoff,” Brennan’s lawyer wrote. “The directors and their staffs reached a compromise by which they agreed to include a brief summary of the dossier in an appendix to the ICA — physically and formally distinct from the analytical work product — and to attach that appendix only to the highest classification version of the report, ensuring that it would only be seen by a relatively small number of highly cleared government officials. There was no mention of it in the report, and none of the report's text or its over 400 footnotes relied in any way on information from the Steele Dossier.”

Wainstein said that “the CIA and ODNI opposed the FBI request to include the Steele Dossier in the ICA. They recognized that it was unvetted and therefore not appropriate for an Intelligence Community product like the ICA. They successfully held that line, excluding the substance of the Steele Dossier from the analysis contained in the ICA and relegating it to a brief summary that was attached as an appendix to only the most highly classified version of the ICA to avoid its public disclosure.”

The lawyer said that Brennan and Clapper “could have easily agreed to the FBI's request and allowed the dossier to be included or referenced in the body of the ICA, thereby publicly highlighting its contents, which were highly critical of Trump” but that their “refusal to do so is a credit to their professionalism and evidence of their politically evenhanded approach.”

Brennan — among the 51 “Spies Who Lied” — spoke to House about ICA

Brennan testified before the House Judiciary Committee in May 2023, where he was mostly questioned about his role as one of the 51 former intelligence officials who signed the infamous Hunter Biden laptop letter in October 2020. But during the questioning, Brennan was also forced to talk about the ICA and the Steele Dossier. That testimony is likely to be scrutinized by Bondi’s team, and fall inside the reach of criminal law's limitation period.

Brennan signed onto the October 2020 letter attempting to discredit New York Post stories about Hunter Biden’s laptop, with the ex-spies baselessly arguing that the Russians were involved with the laptop. 

It was later revealed by the GOP-led House Judiciary Committee that former acting CIA Director Michael Morell wrote the laptop letter after being “prompted” by future Secretary of State Antony Blinken to put the letter together, and that the debunked laptop letter was written to give Joe Biden a “talking point” in his debate with Trump ahead of the November 2020 election.

Brennan had claimed to Congress that “I was not involved in analyzing the dossier at all. I said the first time I actually saw it, it was after the election. And the CIA was not involved at all with the dossier. You can direct that to the FBI and to others.” Brennan said he was aware of the FBI’s involvement with the Steele Dossier “because there's an annex in the ICA, the Intelligence Community Assessment, that the Bureau asked to be included in there. It was their purview, their area, not ours at all.”

“I received a copy of it from the FBI when they were wanting to have a summary of that document put into the — or, attached to the Intelligence Community Assessment that was done. … And the CIA was very much opposed to having any reference or inclusion of the Steele Dossier in the Intelligence Community Assessment,” Brennan said. “And so they sent over a copy of the dossier to say that this was going to be separate from the rest of that assessment. And that's when the CIA was given formal access to it.”

The former CIA director said “no” when asked if he edited the ICA, and said “yes” when asked if he was aware of dissenting opinions about the conclusions of the ICA.

“There were individuals who had read the document within CIA who were not involved in the drafting or the analysis [who disagreed with the ICA conclusions],” Brennan said. “And so I listened to some of their concerns, but I deferred to the experts: the Russian, the counterintelligence, the cyber experts, and the analysts who actually drafted this. And so I did not overturn or change any of the judgments and language in that document.”

Durham testifies about his report

Durham appeared before the House Judiciary Committee in June 2023 to testify about his report — and at no point was he asked about Brennan’s role with the ICA, nor about the Steele dossier’s inclusion in that 2016 assessment.

Rep. Jim Jordan, R-Ohio, brought up the Clinton Plan intelligence, with Durham agreeing that Hillary Clinton had approved a plan to tie Trump to Russia, that the intelligence was important enough for Brennan to brief a host of top Obama administration officials including Comey, and that the CIA eventually sent a referral memo to the FBI about it. Durham said he did not believe Comey had shared the information in the referral memo with the FISA Court, with the lawyers preparing FISA applications, nor with agents on the Crossfire Hurricane team.

“We interviewed the first supervisor of the Crossfire investigation — the operational person. We showed him the intelligence information. He indicated he’d never seen it before. He immediately became emotional, got up and left the room with his lawyer, spent some time in the hallway, came back and—” Durham said, and Jordan asked if the FBI supervisor was “ticked off.” Durham said he was, because “the information was kept from him.”

Rep. Chip Roy, R-Texas, asked the special counsel if it was correct that “the FISA application relied, according to your report, at least in part on the Clinton Plan intelligence.” Durham said “yes.”

Senate Intel vs. House Intel on the ICA

The Durham report’s only direct mention of the ICA was to praise prior “careful examinations” such as the Senate Intelligence Committee’s 2020 report on Russia, which included examining the 2016 ICA.

The Senate committee released a bipartisan report in 2020 defending the 2016 ICA. The panel said congressional investigators found no evidence of political pressure and determined the assessment “presents a coherent and well-constructed intelligence basis for the case of unprecedented Russian interference” and the Senate committee “did not discover any significant analytic tradecraft issues in the preparation or final presentation of the ICA.” The Senate committee also said it “found that the information provided by Christopher Steele to the FBI was not used in the body of the ICA or to support any of its analytic judgments.”

The Senate committee's findings clashed with a 2018 report from the House Intelligence Committee, led at the time by former Rep. Devin Nunes, R-Calif., which concluded that “the majority of the Intelligence Community Assessment judgments on Russia’s election activities employed proper analytic tradecraft” but the “judgments on Putin’s strategic intentions did not.” 

The House report said it “identified significant intelligence tradecraft failings that undermine confidence in the ICA judgments regarding Putin’s strategic objectives.” That report was not bipartisan – and many of its findings remain classified.

Rep. Rick Crawford, R-Ark., the current chairman of the House Intelligence Committee, sent Trump a letter last week telling him that a still-classified 2018 report by the committee “exposes the truth about the politically driven Obama-era assessment.” 

Crawford urged Trump to read the classified report and argued in his letter that “public interest declassification is merited.”

The Clinton Plan intelligence

Most of the 2023 Durham report’s mentions of Brennan largely centered on the “Clinton Plan intelligence.” Durham wrote that, when interviewed, “Brennan generally recalled reviewing the materials but stated he did not recall focusing specifically on its assertions regarding the Clinton campaign's purported plan. Brennan recalled instead focusing on Russia's role in hacking the DNC.”

Durham said Brennan's handwritten notes — declassified by Ratcliffe when he was the director of national intelligence in 2020 — reflect that Brennan briefed Comey, then-President Barack Obama, then-Vice President Joe Biden, and others in early August 2016 regarding the "alleged approval by Hillary Clinton on 26 July of a proposal from one of her [campaign] advisors to vilify Donald Trump by stirring up a scandal claiming interference by the Russian security services."

Durham’s report said that the still-classified appendix to it “provides further information” about the Clinton Plan intelligence, “facts that heightened the potential relevance of this intelligence” to his special counsel investigation, and the Durham team’s “efforts to verify or refute the key claims found in this intelligence.”

Durham’s report pointed to a double standard in how the FBI handled baseless allegations of Trump-Russia collusion as compared to how the FBI handled alleged foreign influence efforts aimed at the Clinton campaign.

“These examples are also markedly different from the FBI's actions with respect to other highly significant intelligence it received from a trusted foreign source pointing to a Clinton campaign plan to vilify Trump by tying him to Vladimir Putin so as to divert attention from her own concerns relating to her use of a private email server,” Durham wrote. 

The CIA referral memo sent to the FBI — which Durham said was completed on September 7, 2016 — was addressed to Comey and later-disgraced FBI special agent Peter Strzok, according to Durham, and stated in part: “Per FBI verbal request, CIA provides the below examples of information the CROSSFIRE HURRICANE fusion cell has gleaned to date [Source revealing information redacted]: … An exchange ... discussing U.S. presidential candidate Hillary Clinton's approval of a plan concerning U.S. presidential candidate Donald Trump and Russian hackers hampering U.S. elections as a means of distracting the public from her use of a private email server.”

Brennan’s lawyer, Kenneth Wainstein, had told Durham in 2022 that “Director Brennan became aware of intelligence that Hillary Clinton had allegedly approved a plan to generate a narrative associating Donald Trump with Russian security services' efforts to interfere with the election. Director Brennan shared this information at a National Security Council meeting, and the CIA shared it with the FBI via a transmittal memo.”

CIA review blasts Brennan

The largely declassified CIA review released this month focused on the ICA about Russia and the November 2016 election. It was put together by the CIA's Directorate of Analysis (DA) at Ratcliffe’s direction and concluded that “the decision by agency heads to include the Steele Dossier in the ICA ran counter to fundamental tradecraft principles and ultimately undermined the credibility of a key judgment.”

The agency review memo also stated that the CIA’s Deputy Director for Analysis warned in a December 29, 2016, email to Brennan that including the dossier in any form risked “the credibility of the entire paper.”

The review by the CIA also revealed that “despite these objections, Brennan showed a preference for narrative consistency over analytical soundness” and that “when confronted with specific flaws in the [Steele] Dossier by the two mission center leaders – one with extensive operational experience and the other with a strong analytic background – he appeared more swayed by the Dossier's general conformity with existing theories than by legitimate tradecraft concerns.” 

The CIA review memo stated that Brennan ultimately formalized his position in writing, arguing that “my bottomline is that I believe that the information warrants inclusion in the report.”

Durham's prosecutions skipped Brennan

Durham carried out three prosecutions — but Brennan dodged all three criminal law actions.

FBI lawyer Kevin Clinesmith, who worked on both the FBI’s Hillary Clinton email investigation and on the Trump-Russia collusion inquiry, pleaded guilty to falsifying a document during the bureau’s efforts to renew FISA authority to wiretap Carter Page. The ex-FBI lawyer confessed in August 2020 that he had manipulated a CIA email in 2017 to state that Carter Page was “not a source” for the CIA when that agency had actually told the bureau on multiple occasions that Page was in fact an “operational contact” for the CIA.

FBI notes of a January 2017 interview with Steele Dossier source Igor Danchenko showed he told the bureau he “did not know the origins” of some Steele claims and “did not recall” other dossier information. Danchenko also noted much of what he gave to Steele was “word of mouth and hearsay,” some of which stemmed from a “conversation that [he] had with friends over beers,” and the most salacious allegations may have been made in “jest.”

Danchenko was on the FBI’s payroll as a confidential human source from March 2017 to October 2020 before he was charged in November 2021 with five counts of making false statements to the bureau. The FBI agent assigned to be the handler for Danchenko testified that he sought to have the bureau pay Danchenko more than $500,000. 

According to Durham, Danchenko had anonymously sourced a fabricated claim about Trump campaign manager Paul Manafort to Hillary Clinton ally Chuck Dolan, who spent years, including 2016, doing work for Russian businesses and the Russian government. Danchenko denied this, and the judge tossed that charge out before the jury could decide on it. He was acquitted of all remaining charges.

Marc Elias, a former Perkins Coie lawyer who served as general counsel for Hillary Clinton’s 2016 presidential campaign, played a key role in the funding and spreading Steele’s discredited anti-Trump dossier. That work resulted in the Federal Elections Commission fining both the Democratic National Committee and the Clinton campaign for not properly disclosing the more than $1 million  they spent on pushing the Steele Dossier.

Durham filed charges against Elias’s former Perkins Coie law partner, Michael Sussmann, with whom Elias worked closely in 2016. Sussmann had pushed debunked allegations to the FBI claiming there was a secret back channel between Russia’s Alfa Bank and the Trump Organization. Durham charged Sussmann, and he was also found not guilty.

It remains to be seen if the Justice Department — undergoing its own drama about Jeffrey Epstein  — will launch what could be a sprawling criminal conspiracy investigation related to the 2016 election and beyond. Brennan may find himself at the very center of that investigation.


Jerry Dunleavy

Source: https://justthenews.com/government/federal-agencies/durham-passed-prosecuting-john-brennan-will-bondi-do-same

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Houthis now becoming more emboldened after sinking two ships in Red Sea - analysis - Seth J. Frantzman

 

by Seth J. Frantzman

The fact that so many countries in the region did not assist the ships quickly in order to deter the Houthis shows that it is not a priority.

 

 A VESSEL said to be the Greek-operated, Liberia-flagged ‘Eternity C’ sinks in the Red Sea last week. The Houthis have been transformed into Iran’s most potent and aggressive non-state actor in the Arab world, says the writer.
A VESSEL said to be the Greek-operated, Liberia-flagged ‘Eternity C’ sinks in the Red Sea last week. The Houthis have been transformed into Iran’s most potent and aggressive non-state actor in the Arab world, says the writer.
(photo credit: Houthi Media Center/Reuters) 

The Iranian-backed Houthis are emboldened after sinking two ships last week in the Red Sea. They also killed several members of one ship’s crew. Now the question is, why did the Houthis suddenly target these ships, and will they attack more?

The Houthis claim they target ships linked to Israel or those that have docked in Israel’s ports or will do so in the future. However, the terrorist organization has also targeted more than 70 ships since they began their attacks in November 2023, many of which have nothing to do with Israel.

The first ship targeted, the Magic Sea, had 22 crew members who were all rescued. The ship was attacked by a swarm of small, fast craft, and then by kamikaze drones. Later, another ship called the Eternity C was attacked. Both ships sank. The Eternity C saw several of its crew killed and missing. It had 25 people on board. It appears that 10 crew members were rescued by other ships, but others were kidnapped by the Houthis.

These incidents happened around 51 nautical miles off the coast of Yemen in the middle of the Red Sea in international waters. The Houthis clearly planned these long-range attacks; it would have taken the Houthi small attack craft – skiffs with engines on them – hours to reach these ships depending on how fast they were traveling, and it would have taken them time to zero in their drones to attack as well.

No help combatting Houthis' attacks

The Houthis also boarded the ships and then blew them up in what was a complex mission. It's not easy to stop a large cargo ship that is making speed. It is also not easy to disable it and then board it. Yet this took place over a period of two or three days, while seemingly no navy units tried to help. The Wall Street Journal described the attack: “Two ships desperately tried to fight off Houthi attacks. Help never arrived.”
 PROTESTERS, MOSTLY Houthi supporters, sit along an Iranian flag at a demonstration in support of Palestinians and Iran, in Sanaa last week. Aggression by proxies such as the Houthis must be treated as direct Iranian attacks, says the writer. (credit: KHALED ABDULLAH/REUTERS)
PROTESTERS, MOSTLY Houthi supporters, sit along an Iranian flag at a demonstration in support of Palestinians and Iran, in Sanaa last week. Aggression by proxies such as the Houthis must be treated as direct Iranian attacks, says the writer. (credit: KHALED ABDULLAH/REUTERS)
There is no more poignant a conclusion to this disaster than the WSJ headline. Why did no one assist these ships? An international coalition called Prosperity Guardian had been assembled in November 2023 to prevent these attacks and help ships in distress. The US also attacked the Houthis in mid-March to try to stop their attacks.

Where was the US Navy that has assets within the Central Command’s area of operations? What about other navies, such as the British, French, or Chinese? There are naval assets in this area. Could they have reached the site in time?

Usually, US Carrier Strike Groups have had several destroyers, cruiser escorts, and other ships with them. Currently the USS Carl Vinson and USS Nimitz are supposed to be somewhere in the Arabian Sea or Indian Ocean. It’s not entirely clear where they are; however, US Central Command published footage of the Vinson launching F-18s on July 11. On July 12 the US Navy also published a photo of an F/A-18 launching from the USS Nimitz.

The carriers were also photographed together by CENTCOM on July 8. The US naval ships can usually make in excess of 30 knots, meaning in a day they could sail more than 600 nautical miles. They also have aircraft that can fly around 1,500 mph.

This would give the US and other navies that ability to assist the ships in the Red Sea. So why has this not been a priority? There are also foreign naval and air force assets in Djibouti usually. This is relatively close to the area where the ships were sunk.

Overall, the fact that so many countries in the region did not assist the ships quickly in order to deter the Houthis shows that it is not a priority. The Houthis seem to know this, and they feel they have impunity. The question now is whether they will feel emboldened to do more attacks.


Seth J. Frantzman

Source: https://www.jpost.com/middle-east/article-860923

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Inside the IDF's covert 10 km. mission to capture Iran’s Quds Force in Syria - report - Jerusalem Post Staff

 

by Jerusalem Post Staff

Lt.-Col. (res.) Y, commander of the IDF's 7012th Battalion, led troops 10 kilometers into Syrian territory in covert June mission which was carried out without a shot being fired.

 

 IDF soldiers operating in southern Syria to apprehend terrorists in an Iranian terror cell, June 2, 2025.
IDF soldiers operating in southern Syria to apprehend terrorists in an Iranian terror cell, June 2, 2025.
(photo credit: IDF SPOKESPERSON'S UNIT)

 

A Lt.-Col. in the IDF reserves expanded on how his battalion maneuvered approximately 10 kilometers into Syria as part of a covert mission to arrest operatives from Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Quds Force (IRGC-QF) in June, a Ynet interview revealed on Friday.

The incident was reported by The Jerusalem Post on Monday, with the interview expanding upon the details of how the operation was conducted.

Intelligence indicated that the cell was planning an imminent attack on IDF forces stationed in the buffer zone, Ynet reported.

Lt.-Col. (res.) Y, is commander of the IDF's 7012th Battalion, part of the Alexandroni Reserve Brigade, and led the mission.

The 7012th Battalion's objective was to complete the mission undetected, and return safely to Israeli territory. This is usually the domain of special forces, and other elite IDF units, but is increasingly being carried out by reservists, Ynet noted.

 IDF troops operate in southern Syria on June 29, 2025; illustrative (credit: IDF SPOKESPERSON UNIT)
IDF troops operate in southern Syria on June 29, 2025; illustrative (credit: IDF SPOKESPERSON UNIT)
The operation was conducted at approximately 2:50 a.m. on a Monday morning. Hundreds of soldiers operated across multiple compounds where the IRGC-QF cell members were reportedly asleep.

"We are proud of the outcome," Lt.-Col. Y said, giving credit to months of intelligence work and detailed planning aimed at dismantling a component of Iran's strategy to destabilize Israel's northern border.

Iran's strategy failed during the Israel-Iran war in June, during which the IDF expanded deployment in Syrian territory, playing a central role in blocking Tehran's objectives, Lt.-Col. Y told Ynet.

Intelligence and planning

"We had been monitoring the cell for a long time," Lt.-Col. Y said. "Iran has been building terror infrastructure across Lebanon, Syria, and Jordan. There are still Iranian elements operating in the region, and it's our responsibility to stop them," he added.

The operation near Tel Kudne followed extensive intelligence work by the IDF Intelligence Directorate's Unit 8200, and others.

The IRGC-QF cell seems to be part of a larger network of trained operatives spread across Syrian villages, awaiting orders from Tehran, Ynet reported.

“This wasn’t a single-target mission,” Lt-Col Y. told Ynet. “It was a precise operation — to enter, arrest, interrogate, and return with the detainees to Israel. But since they were spread across different structures and terrain, we needed perfect timing and total secrecy.”

In order to carry out the operation, several specialized units combined, including the 7012th Battalion's reconnaissance company, specialists from the IDF's Unit 504 human intelligence unit, the "Oketz" canine unit, elite search and rescue soldiers from Unit 669, and others, the Ynet report noted.

Lt.-Col. Y told Ynet how the soldiers prepared for the operation. "We built a full-scale model of the mission area in the dark," with soldiers having trained under simulated condition, with full gear, rehearsing infiltration, coordination, and breaching in a stealthy manner.

"We walked for kilometers into Syria, silently," Lt.-Col. Y told Ynet. "Everything was timed to the minute and synchronized across our companies."

“Our feet got wet, it was difficult, but everyone smiled from the satisfaction,” one the soldiers added, describing the experience of crossing the Ruqqad river.

"Even the local dogs barely barked," another remarked, explaining how silent the ambient noise was during the operation.

"Everything was quiet until we heard 'Go!' and then the operation began," a soldier told Ynet. Breach teams acted first while support units surrounded the compound. After Unit 504 had confirmed the presence of the IRGC-QF cell members, arrests began.

The detainees were quickly interrogated, with troops searching for weapons and intelligence materials, and then withdrawing before civilians in the village could respond, the report notes, adding that the suspects were taken completely by surprise, without a single shot fired.

“Even after we reached Israel, they couldn’t believe it,” a soldier said. “They were pulled from bed, blindfolded, and suddenly found themselves in Israeli custody.”

An officer conducting the interrogations of the detainees confirmed that they are undergoing questioning in Israel, in a process described as a "psychological chess match," in order to gather intelligence on further threats posed by IRGC-QF.


Jerusalem Post Staff

Source: https://www.jpost.com/israel-news/defense-news/article-860791

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VIDEO: Hebron Sheikh's Power Play RATTLES The Middle East - JNS

 

by JNS

Is a quiet revolution brewing in Judea and Samaria? A discussion between Dan Diker and Khaled Abu Toameh, a leading Israeli Arab, Muslim journalist


 

JNS

Source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dldkswh0h5w

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No List, No Revelations, No Plot—Just Epstein - Roger Kimball

 

by Roger Kimball

The only real mystery left in the Epstein saga is why so many refuse to believe there's no mystery left.

 

 

In the moderately large compendium of things I do not care about, details of the depravity of the late Jeffrey Epstein occupy a random page or two.

I had never heard of the “financier” and sex-trafficking impresario until shortly before his final encounters with the law in 2019. Like many, I received the news that he committed suicide in a New York jail in August of that year with a dollop of incredulity. Where were the jailers? Why was there a missing spot on the videotape just when the deed was done? Had Epstein threatened Hillary Clinton? What about that picture of Bill Clinton in a blue dress that was found in Epstein’s New York home?

There was plenty of food for doubt.

Unlike many, however, my incredulity was seasoned with indifference.

Okay, Epstein was a creep of the first order. He had attracted a bunch of famous men to his Caribbean island for sex romps with (mostly) underage girls. He apparently liked to videotape the proceedings. Why? In order to blackmail those stars of stage and screen was the consensus, natch. But did he?

I was glad that Epstein was nabbed by the law. I hoped his victims found recompense. But in the scheme of things, The Saga of Jeffrey Epstein was a narrative I was pleased to absorb in a highly distilled, cheat-sheet version. I’d lived through such entertainments as the anatomies of Bill Clinton’s odd taste in cigars. Epstein was worse, but from the point of view of the spectator’s interest, it seemed cut from the same bolt of cloth.

I understand that the public’s appetite for scandal is a hardy perennial. The story of who is doing what to whom—especially if the “who”s are celebrities—is calculated to give prurient interest the gratifying cover of “the public’s right to know,” not to mention an opportunity to indulge in a little tongue-clucking moral outrage.

Donald Trump campaigned, in small part, on getting to the bottom of the Epstein scandal. The question of how the gilt-edged lowlife died continued to circulate, but the main point of interest now prompted two larger questions. Was Epstein working for someone? The CIA, perhaps? The FBI? Some enterprising yarn-spinners have suggested Mossad. I wondered whether the mastermind was Colonel Sanders, an innocent-seeming old chap, true, but it is always the least likely who are the most likely, right?

The word that one heard most often as the story of Epstein matured was “list.” Surely, he kept a list of the rich and famous who came to his little bit of paradise in the Caribbean. So it was a marked deflationary moment last week when Attorney General Pam Bondi released a DOJ memo that contained the sad news that 1) Jeffrey Epstein did die by his own hand and 2) the DOJ had discovered no list, not even of any kind.

This systemic review revealed no incriminating “client list.” . . . There was also no credible evidence found that Epstein blackmailed prominent individuals as part of his actions. We did not uncover evidence that could predicate an investigation against uncharged third parties.

What a letdown. Midway through the first season, the latest blockbuster is cancelled. Many people, including several friends, were not taking no for an answer. Tom Fitton of Judicial Watch, for example, pooh-poohed the memo and noted that Judicial Watch, “in addition to its ongoing Epstein lawsuits … is now independently investigating this mess.”

What do you think? One item that has been made a lot of is that AG Pam Bondi claimed back in February 2025 that she had Epstein’s file “on my desk.” Had she seen anything incriminating? “Not yet.” Later, after reviewing the file, she said it was full of lots of graphic pornography, including child pornography; those files will never be released.

But there was no list. How could that be? Well, there is a difference between a “file” and a “list.” Perhaps the two terms were conflated by a media eager for dirt. Many media outlets spoke, without warrant as far as I have been able to discover, of Epstein’s “little black book” full of the names of his randy clients. But would someone like Jeffrey Epstein maintain such an incriminating document, embossed, perhaps, with the legend “Candidates for Blackmail”?

I rather doubt it. And that brings me to the word “conspiracy.” Is the whole drama of the Jeffrey Epstein story a conspiracy, with shadowy government/business/celebrity figures pulling the strings in the background?

Or is it merely a conspiracy theory, i.e., a tale fabricated by people who want to believe in a nefarious puppet master in the background and are determined to go on believing it, evidence be damned?

I should note for the record that there are such things as real, legitimate, bona fide conspiracies. Just ask Calpurnia. There was lots of talk about a conspiracy against hubby’s life. She found out on the Ides of March, 44 B.C., that it was a conspiracy in fact, not a “conspiracy theory,” the word “theory” in this context meaning “made-up,” not true, la-la land.

But in this instance, I suspect that the commentator Hugh Hewitt is correct. Those peddling the “there-has-to-be-a-client-list” narrative, he wrote a few days back, have set themselves up for disappointment.

When Jeffrey Epstein took his own life on August 10, 2019, the circumstances were so bizarre that, instantly, conspiracy theories were hatched as to who had had him killed and why, along with how they made it into his cell and disguised the murder as a suicide.

Because of that original enormous leap from known fact—Epstein was dead—to the unsubstantiated theory that he was murdered and all that followed from that ridiculous lead of logic, many millions of hours have been wasted in chat rooms and Reddit threads as well as on better-known podcasts.

Now all the speculation and theorizing are reduced to ashes and wasted time, and many, many dealers in the conspiracy trade are going to be not only deeply disappointed but also very likely to lose money.

The most difficult revelation to come out of the Epstein investigation, Hewitt notes, is that there are no revelations. The moral? It is “Time to move on! There really—really!—is nothing to see here. Spread the word if you know anyone afflicted with the malady: It is OK to walk away from the conspiracy.”

Parting can be sweet sorrow. But sometimes it is time to say goodbye. Donald Trump certainly thinks that it is time to bid adieu to the obsession with Epstein. Is that somehow self-serving, as some have suggested? Or is it merely rational?

Doubtless, there will be other conspiracies coming down the pike soon. Sometimes they are real conspiracies, as in the example of Julius Caesar. Very often, however, it is just a matter of grassy-knollers hoping, praying that the Commie Lee Harvey Oswald was not the man responsible for killing JFK. Memo to that coterie: Oswald killed Kennedy. He acted alone. End of story. 


Roger Kimballl is editor and publisher of The New Criterion and the president and publisher of Encounter Books. He is the author and editor of many books, including The Fortunes of Permanence: Culture and Anarchy in an Age of Amnesia (St. Augustine's Press), The Rape of the Masters (Encounter), Lives of the Mind: The Use and Abuse of Intelligence from Hegel to Wodehouse (Ivan R. Dee), and Art's Prospect: The Challenge of Tradition in an Age of Celebrity (Ivan R. Dee). Most recently, he edited and contributed to Where Next? Western Civilization at the Crossroads (Encounter) and contributed to Against the Great Reset: Eighteen Theses Contra the New World Order (Bombardier).

Source: https://amgreatness.com/2025/07/13/no-list-no-revelations-no-plot-just-epstein/

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High Court rejects petition, A-G summons set for Monday as dismissal efforts ramp up - Sarah Ben Nun

 

by Sarah Ben Nun

Ministers leading the ministerial committee set to convene tomorrow called the situation where the government’s own legal representative opposition “absurd.”

 

 ATTORNEY-GENERAL Gali Baharav-Miara. Last week, the A-G and her office issued a sharply critical advisory opinion on a government decision to change the traditional firing process of the attorney-general, one of many back-and-forths Baharav-Miara has had with the government.
ATTORNEY-GENERAL Gali Baharav-Miara. Last week, the A-G and her office issued a sharply critical advisory opinion on a government decision to change the traditional firing process of the attorney-general, one of many back-and-forths Baharav-Miara has had with the government.
(photo credit: MARC ISRAEL SELLEM/THE JERUSALEM POST)

 

High Court of Justice Judge Noam Sohlberg rejected on Sunday an injunction request to cancel the planned hearing set for Monday for Attorney-General Gali Baharav-Miara in the efforts toward her dismissal, allowing it to take place.

A ministerial committee is scheduled to convene tomorrow to discuss her dismissal, the hastened solution to her firing that has been pushed by Justice Minister Yariv Levin, after he failed to fill the positions needed for the public-professional committee that would oversee the process, hand in hand with the government.

Levin’s decision to hand off the process to ministers has faced fierce criticism for politicizing a delicate and sensitive position. Proponents argue that the situation is so dire as to make the work relationship between the government and the attorney-general obsolete, and that since the public-professional committee could not be filled, this is the next necessary step.

The attorney-general is both the government’s legal adviser and interpreter of the law, and is also its legal representative – its lawyer. Legally, to hire or fire the A-G, an external public-professional committee must convene and provide an expert opinion to the government before it makes a decision.

The committee includes a retired Supreme Court justice as chair, appointed by the Supreme Court chief justice and by approval of the justice minister; a former justice minister or attorney-general, chosen by the government; an MK, chosen by the Knesset’s Constitution, Law and Justice Committee; a lawyer, chosen by the Israel Bar Association (IBA); and a legal academic, selected by the deans of Israel’s law faculties.

Israeli attorney general Gali Baharav-Miara attends the funeral of former Judge Elisheva Barak-Ussoskin at Kiryat Shaul Cemetery in Tel Aviv, December 11, 2024. (credit: AVSHALOM SASSONI/FLASH90)
Israeli attorney general Gali Baharav-Miara attends the funeral of former Judge Elisheva Barak-Ussoskin at Kiryat Shaul Cemetery in Tel Aviv, December 11, 2024. (credit: AVSHALOM SASSONI/FLASH90)
The term of an attorney-general is six years. If the government wishes to end the term early, specific conditions have to be met – such as if there are consistent and severe disagreements between the A-G and the government, rendering their working relationship unproductive.

Levin has not succeeded in filling the positions for this committee. Earlier on Sunday, the government argued that it is unreasonable to force the government to work with a legal adviser “that is actively working against the government’s policies.”

The ministerial committee set to convene on Monday is led by Diaspora Affairs and Combating Antisemitism Minister Amichai Chikli, who authored the Sunday government decision alongside Levin.

They called the situation where the government’s own legal representative is in such strong opposition to it that it offers separate representation – “absurd.” Such a scenario has taken place several times, in contrast to the hundreds of legislation items that the advisory does approve.

“We expect the court to acknowledge this absurdity. The attorney-general worked systematically to cut the cord between her office and the government, we now expect the court to finish it off,” reads the decision.

Part of the issue, which has been long-present in legal debate, is that the attorney-general wears two hats: it heads the prosecution, meaning it represents the government’s position in significant cases, and it also is the chief legal adviser to the government and considered the weightiest interpreter of the law.

When her interpretation of the law differs from the government, her office can’t represent it, leading to the sticky situation the two authorities are in today.

The decision did not address the attorney-general’s position, concretized in several advisory opinions over the past few weeks, that the legislation to dismiss her has far-reaching consequences for the legal advisory as a whole and for whoever her successor may be – it would politicize a powerful key position, generally considered the only checks on power on the government, besides the courts.

'Serious flaws' in dismissal attempts

The Movement for Quality Government in Israel (MQG) said the government’s response “clearly reveals the serious flaws” in its dismissal attempts.

“Instead of presenting a real legal justification for changing the mechanism, the government is trying to explain why it needs to dismiss the attorney general right now and why it needs to do so by changing the rules of the game. The response indicates that the government is aware of the weakness of the move from a legal perspective and is trying to justify a decision that was made in a clear conflict of interest,” it explained.

Later in the day, Judge David Mintz also ordered another hearing on the matter, to be presided over by five justices.


Sarah Ben Nun

Source: https://www.jpost.com/israel-news/politics-and-diplomacy/article-860820

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