Monday, August 17, 2026

Jared Kushner's Gaza Strategy Could Reshape the Middle East - Ahmed Charai

 

by Ahmed Charai

[N]etanyahu's requirement is therefore clear: Hamas must take irreversible steps toward genuine disarmament before Israel assumes an irreversible security risk.

 

  • Netanyahu's substantive concern must remain at the center of any agreement. Israel cannot withdraw only to discover that Hamas has preserved tunnels, weapons, command structures or the capacity to rebuild them. October 7 made such a risk unacceptable. His requirement is therefore clear: Hamas must take irreversible steps toward genuine disarmament before Israel assumes an irreversible security risk.

  • Iran remains the central strategic challenge.... It retains financial resources, instruments of coercion and the capacity to rebuild. Time cannot be offered to Tehran as a strategic gift.

  • The answer, therefore, is not to resolve Gaza first and return to Iran later.

  • Israeli withdrawal cannot depend on promises; it must follow verified security guarantees.

  • The equation is not peace instead of security. It is security as the condition for peace, and peace as the foundation for prosperity.

  • For Netanyahu, the immediate question is not whether Hamas can be trusted. It cannot. The question is whether Kushner can construct an agreement in which trust is replaced by verification, reciprocity and enforcement—one that delivers Hamas's disarmament without compromising Israel's security and makes Israeli withdrawal the consequence of verified implementation rather than political promises.

  • It would put back on the table the proposition the Middle East urgently needs: that security can make peace possible, and that peace can make prosperity more powerful than confrontation.

Jared Kushner is not asking Israel to trust Hamas. Nor is he proposing that Israel exchange security for a diplomatic achievement. His approach is built around a more rigorous equation: measurable disarmament, independent verification and phased Israeli withdrawal, with each Israeli step conditioned on implementation of the corresponding security commitment. Pictured: Kushner presents plans for Gaza in Davos on January 22, 2026. (Photo by Mandel Ngan/ AFP via Getty Images)

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu faces a consequential decision on Gaza. The political environment is difficult, the Israeli election is approaching, and every concession will be contested. But Israel's security cannot be subordinated to an electoral calendar. The question is more fundamental: can Hamas be verifiably disarmed while Israel withdraws without recreating the conditions that produced October 7? Jared Kushner is attempting to provide Netanyahu with a mechanism to achieve precisely that—and Netanyahu has strong strategic reasons to support it.

Kushner is not asking Israel to trust Hamas. Nor is he proposing that Israel exchange security for a diplomatic achievement. His approach is built around a more rigorous equation: measurable disarmament, independent verification and phased Israeli withdrawal, with each Israeli step conditioned on implementation of the corresponding security commitment.

Netanyahu's substantive concern must remain at the center of any agreement. Israel cannot withdraw only to discover that Hamas has preserved tunnels, weapons, command structures or the capacity to rebuild them. October 7 made such a risk unacceptable. His requirement is therefore clear: Hamas must take irreversible steps toward genuine disarmament before Israel assumes an irreversible security risk.

The importance of Kushner's approach is that it seeks to make that requirement executable.

Hamas disarms in defined and verifiable stages; compliance is independently certified; Israel responds with the corresponding stage of withdrawal. Neither party receives the full benefit before fulfilling its obligations, and neither is required to surrender all its leverage at the outset.

This is why Kushner's sequence—Hamas, regional mediators, Netanyahu—is important. His objective should not be to bring Netanyahu assurances from Hamas. Israel has heard assurances before. It is to bring him a structure in which assurances are no longer necessary.

The difficult questions are practical. Who verifies disarmament? Which weapons are covered? What happens to tunnels, production facilities and command infrastructure? What constitutes a breach, and what are its consequences? These provisions are not technical details surrounding an agreement. They are the agreement.

Kushner brings another advantage. The Abraham Accords gave him political capital in Israel and across the Arab world that few American negotiators possess. They also demonstrated a method: identify converging interests, construct reciprocal obligations and connect peace to tangible economic benefits.

Earlier this year, I argued that Kushner should avoid becoming too deeply involved in the Iranian file. That was not an argument for reducing pressure on Tehran. Quite the opposite.

Iran remains the central strategic challenge. Its military capabilities have been weakened and its economy severely damaged, but the regime has proved resilient. It retains financial resources, instruments of coercion and the capacity to rebuild. Time cannot be offered to Tehran as a strategic gift.

Iran has also skillfully shifted the focus of the confrontation. The debate over the vulnerability of the regime has increasingly given way to the Strait of Hormuz, energy security and the economic consequences of escalation. This places pressure not only on Washington and Israel but on the Gulf states, Europe and Asian economies whose interests are directly affected by the security of this vital passage.

The United States cannot carry that burden alone. Europe and Asia have substantial interests at stake and must assume their share of responsibility. Nor can Washington disregard Gulf partners that have taken significant risks and made consequential choices in support of the United States.

The answer, therefore, is not to resolve Gaza first and return to Iran later. The two challenges must be addressed simultaneously, but not necessarily by the same people or with the same instruments.

Pressure on Iran must continue. Kushner's particular diplomatic capital should be concentrated where it can produce a different kind of strategic result. That is Gaza.

Success there would not automatically disarm Hezbollah or separate the Houthis from Iran. These organizations have their own political structures, military interests and long-established relationships with Tehran. Pretending otherwise would underestimate both. But Gaza could demonstrate a different method.

Disarmament cannot be presented simply as surrender. It must open the door to reconstruction, investment and economic recovery. Israeli withdrawal cannot depend on promises; it must follow verified security guarantees. International and Arab financing must accompany credible governance and stability.

The equation is not peace instead of security. It is security as the condition for peace, and peace as the foundation for prosperity.

That principle could eventually be adapted to Lebanon. Restoring the Lebanese state's authority over weapons will require pressure and enforceable commitments, but it will also require offering Lebanon a credible economic future: reconstruction, Gulf investment, infrastructure and reintegration into the regional economy.

Yemen will require a different architecture, reflecting its internal political realities and the security requirements of Saudi Arabia and the Gulf. But there too, military pressure alone has limits. Reconstruction and economic reintegration can become part of the incentives for a durable settlement.

This is where the legacy of the Abraham Accords remains relevant. Their significance was not simply normalization between governments. They demonstrated that diplomacy becomes more durable when peace creates tangible economic interests in preserving it.

Iran offers its region a permanent confrontation. The United States and its allies must continue to contain that threat and deny Tehran the time and space to rebuild its capabilities. But they must also offer a more compelling proposition: security, investment, economic integration and a future beyond permanent confrontation.

For Netanyahu, the immediate question is not whether Hamas can be trusted. It cannot. The question is whether Kushner can construct an agreement in which trust is replaced by verification, reciprocity and enforcement—one that delivers Hamas's disarmament without compromising Israel's security and makes Israeli withdrawal the consequence of verified implementation rather than political promises.

That is a framework Netanyahu can support without retreating from Israel's fundamental security requirements.

If that mechanism can verifiably disarm Hamas, protect Israel's security and open Gaza to credible governance and reconstruction, it would represent more than the settlement of one war.

It would put back on the table the proposition the Middle East urgently needs: that security can make peace possible, and that peace can make prosperity more powerful than confrontation.

That is the strategic opportunity Jared Kushner is pursuing. It deserves to be taken seriously.

This article was originally published in the Jerusalem Strategic Tribune. 


Ahmed Charai
is the Chairman and CEO of World Herald Tribune, Inc., and the publisher of the Jerusalem Strategic Tribune, TV Abraham, and Radio Abraham. He serves on the boards of several prominent institutions, including the Atlantic Council, the Center for the National Interest, the Foreign Policy Research Institute, and the International Crisis Group. He is also an International Councilor and a member of the Advisory Board at the Center for Strategic and International Studies.

Source: https://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/22798/jared-kushners-gaza-strategy

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US general to oversee transfer of Hamas weapons to Gaza gov't, ISF under Israel-US deal - Amichai Stein

 

by Amichai Stein

The understanding was reached during a meeting between Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and senior officials from the Board of Peace, which was also attended by senior Israeli security officials.

 

President Isaac Herzog met with US Special Envoy Jared Kushner and Nikolay Mladenov, the Director-General of the US President Trump's Board of Peace, August 17, 2026.
President Isaac Herzog met with US Special Envoy Jared Kushner and Nikolay Mladenov, the Director-General of the US President Trump's Board of Peace, August 17, 2026.
(photo credit: Shalev Shalom)

Israel and the United States have reached an understanding that, during the initial stage of Hamas’s disarmament, weapons handed over by the terrorist organization will be transferred to the proposed National Committee for the Administration of Gaza (NCAG), the Palestinian technocratic government, and the International Stabilization Force (ISF), according to a source who spoke with The Jerusalem Post.

US Maj.-Gen. Jasper Jeffers, who heads the ISF, will oversee the transfer of the weapons, according to the source.

The understanding was reached during a meeting between Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and senior officials from the Board of Peace (BoP), which was also attended by senior Israeli security officials, the source said.

The meeting included Shin Bet Director David Zini and Military Intelligence chief Maj.-Gen. Shlomi Binder, along with Government Secretary Yossi Fuchs, Caroline Glick, foreign policy adviser Ophir Falk, and National Security Council Director Shmuel Ben-Ezra.

The BoP delegation included senior Trump advisers Jared Kushner, former British prime minister Tony Blair, US Ambassador to Israel Mike Huckabee, and BoP Director-General Nikolay Mladenov, as well as US military officers.

According to officials familiar with the discussions, the sides reached a series of understandings regarding the proposed Gaza framework and the steps expected to begin being implemented.

President Isaac Herzog hosts US envoy Jared Kushner and other Board of Peace officials, August 17, 2026.
President Isaac Herzog hosts US envoy Jared Kushner and other Board of Peace officials, August 17, 2026. (credit: Shalev Shalom)

One of the key understandings concerns the mechanism for Hamas’s disarmament.

Hamas disarmament mechanism

The arrangement is intended to establish a mechanism for the transfer and oversight of Hamas’s weapons as part of the disarmament process.

Under the understanding, weapons handed over by Hamas will be transferred to both the NCAG and the ISF. Jeffers will oversee the process of transferring the weapons, according to the source.

The Israeli side also made clear that reconstruction in Gaza will not begin until Hamas has been fully disarmed throughout the Strip, according to officials familiar with the discussions.

Netanyahu also made clear during the meeting that Israel’s targeted operations against Hamas will continue, according to officials familiar with the discussions.

The officials said Israel had not agreed to halt targeted killings and that no decision had been made to withdraw from the Yellow Line.

They also rejected reports that Israel had agreed to reduce its military presence in Gaza, saying there would be no reduction in Israeli troop levels as part of the current understandings.

Israel ties reconstruction to full disarmament

The Israeli position was presented despite Hamas’s demands for an end to Israeli military activity and amid comments by US President Donald Trump in an interview with Fox earlier Monday.

Israeli officials stressed that Israel would continue to respond to immediate threats and retain the ability to conduct operations against Hamas targets.

The talks also produced an understanding that Hamas must immediately begin demonstrating its commitment to the disarmament process.

According to the officials, if Hamas wants to demonstrate that the proposed process is viable, it must begin handing over weapons now rather than wait for all other elements of the framework to be completed. Hamas has previously rejected a BoP disarmament proposal and sought changes to the plan.

The discussions are part of ongoing US-Israeli efforts to translate the Gaza framework into concrete steps, with Hamas’s disarmament remaining the central test of whether the process can move forward.

Israeli officials stressed that while Israel is prepared to advance the process, any significant movement toward reconstruction or changes to its military posture will remain contingent on tangible progress toward the complete dismantling of Hamas's military capabilities.

Israeli officials stressed that while Israel is prepared to advance the process, any significant movement toward reconstruction or changes to its military posture will remain contingent on tangible progress toward the complete dismantling of Hamas’s military capabilities.

Later on Monday, President Isaac Herzog also met with Kushner and Mladenov, along with other senior officials from the BoP, and said that “the next steps in Gaza must ensure the security of the State of Israel and its citizens, and bring stability and a better future for all the peoples in the region.” 


Amichai Stein

Source: https://www.jpost.com/middle-east/article-905789

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Hamas tells Jared Kushner they are going to demilitarize Gaza: report - Kevin Killough

 

by Kevin Killough

The rare direct meeting afforded Kushner an opportunity to press Hamas for specifics on a disarmament plan, warning that Israel doesn't trust Hamas to go through with the promise.

 

In a meeting with President Donald Trump's adviser Jared Kushner on Sunday in Egypt, Hamas leaders said they still intend to demilitarize Gaza. 

The rare direct meeting afforded Kushner an opportunity to press Hamas for specifics on a disarmament plan, warning that Israel doesn't trust Hamas to go through with the promise, Axios reported, citing unnamed sources. 

The White House and Trump's Board of Peace are pressuring Hamas and Israel to proceed with this next step in the U.S. 20-point peace plan, which also requires Israel and Hamas to complete a complicated series of reciprocal and independently verified steps over approximately seven to eight months. 

Kushner is expected to meet with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu on Monday to discuss these "corresponding steps" Israel must take to complete its part of the plan.  


Kevin Killough

Source: https://justthenews.com/world/middle-east/hamas-tells-jared-kushner-they-are-going-demilitarize-gaza-report

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The Mecca Agreement: A Threat to Regional Security? - Khaled Abu Toameh

 

by Khaled Abu Toameh

At first glance, it looks as if the Saudi-Pakistani-Turkish alliance might help the United States share a defense burden. In a longer view, the pact could well end up creating a far bigger defense burden.

 

  • While the Mecca Agreement is being touted by some as countries finally taking responsibility for their own defense instead of relying exclusively on the United States (as Saudi Arabia currently does), this arrangement looks set to produce "unintended consequences."

  • The US seems to forget that after World War II, the last thing it wanted was for Europe and other regions to have strong military forces. Many in the West concluded that Germany had effectively started two world wars in one century and, in general, had trouble playing nicely with others. While protecting its allies might be expensive for the US, not protecting them could well cost more.

  • The same holds true for an alliance such as the Mecca Agreement. At first glance, it looks as if the Saudi-Pakistani-Turkish alliance might help the United States share a defense burden. In a longer view, the pact could well end up creating a far bigger defense burden.

  • The countries in the Mecca Agreement are not necessarily becoming America's enemies. They could, however, work against the interests of the US and the West.

  • Saudi Arabia, which may have been flirting with the idea of joining the Abraham Accords but always came up with some "poison pill" and has just been permitted by US President Donald J. Trump to enrich uranium for nuclear reactors, has chosen to enter a defense partnership with Turkey and Pakistan – two countries whose governments have fiercely anti-Israel positions.

  • The concern, therefore, is that an increasingly powerful Turkey is seeking to translate the expansion of its military capabilities into a regional hegemony while simultaneously embracing an aggressive posture toward Israel, Cyprus and Greece.

  • If, for instance, Turkey receives the F-35 stealth fighter jets it is seeking from the United States, then attacks Israel, and Israel retaliates, will Pakistan then claim Turkey has "been attacked" and launch nuclear weapons at Israel? Is that long-term desire, in fact, at the root of the "defense pact"?

  • Turkey, moreover, is rapidly expanding its influence in Syria. Both Turkey and Qatar are major allies of the government of Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa, while Turkey has been deeply involved in developing Syria's new armed forces.

  • Turkey is positioning itself as a leader of an increasingly assertive Sunni Islamist-oriented bloc. Pakistan is trying to convert its nuclear status into greater political influence, and Saudi Arabia is their financier and potential nuclear weapons partner.

  • The real danger is the strategic direction it represents, in response to a perceived decline in American influence, growing Turkish power, weakening prospects for a peaceful Middle East, and now the emergence of a new regional bloc whose leading members increasingly regard Israel, Cyprus, Greece and the West in general not as potential partners, but as adversaries.

The Mecca Joint Defense Agreement signed by Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Pakistan on August 7 should serve as a wake-up call for the United States and Israel. While it is being touted by some as countries finally taking responsibility for their own defense instead of relying exclusively on the United States (as Saudi Arabia currently does), this arrangement looks set to produce "unintended consequences." (Image source: OpenAI)

The Mecca Joint Defense Agreement signed by Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Pakistan on August 7 should serve as a wake-up call for the United States and Israel. The agreement, which states that an armed attack against any one of the three countries will be considered an attack against all of them, has been presented by its signatories as a purely defensive agreement. Pakistani and Turkish officials insist that it is not directed against any particular country.

That, however, is possibly not quite true, and only part of the issue.

While the Mecca Agreement is being touted by some as countries finally taking responsibility for their own defense instead of relying exclusively on the United States (as Saudi Arabia currently does), this arrangement looks set to produce "unintended consequences."

The US seems to forget that after World War II, the last thing it wanted was for Europe and other regions to have strong military forces. Many in the West concluded that Germany had effectively started two world wars in one century and, in general, had trouble playing nicely with others. While protecting its allies might be expensive for the US, not protecting them could well cost more.

The same holds true for an alliance such as the Mecca Agreement. At first glance, it looks as if the Saudi-Pakistani-Turkish alliance might help the United States share a defense burden. In a longer view, the pact could well end up creating a far bigger defense burden.

For nearly a century, the US has generously provided protection against countries threatening the West and Western interests. Now, in the Mecca Agreement, three important Muslim countries, two of them longtime partners of the United States and one a NATO member, are building a regional security framework that does not depend on Washington.

For decades, Saudi Arabia has regarded the United States as its principal security guarantor. Turkey remains a NATO member. Pakistan has had a long and complicated security relationship with Washington. Now these three countries are establishing their own collective-defense mechanism.

Some of America's traditional partners apparently no longer have confidence in the United States as their protector. Saudi Arabia is clearly declaring that it no longer wants to place all its security eggs in the American basket.

The countries in the Mecca Agreement are not necessarily becoming America's enemies. They could, however, work against the interests of the US and the West.

The seeds of Saudi mistrust were planted years ago. In 2019, Iran was blamed for the devastating attack on Saudi Arabia's Abqaiq and Khurais oil facilities, temporarily knocking out a huge portion of Saudi oil production.

Yet Washington did not launch the military response many Saudis apparently expected. The episode reportedly "shook Saudi faith in the US." The Middle East Institute wrote that the 2019 Iranian attack and the lack of a US response "virtually eliminated any Saudi confidence in the US security commitment."

The Mecca Agreement appears to be another consequence of this loss of confidence.

Saudi Arabia brings enormous financial resources to the new partnership. Pakistan brings military experience and, significantly, is the only Muslim-majority country possessing nuclear weapons. Turkey brings one of NATO's largest militaries and a rapidly advancing indigenous defense industry.

This does not necessarily mean that Pakistan's nuclear umbrella has been extended to Saudi Arabia or Turkey. Moreover, it does not mean that the three countries will automatically go to war whenever one is attacked. Indeed, the operational details remain vague.

The political symbolism, however, should not be underestimated.

For Israel, the development is especially disturbing because it comes at a time when hopes of normalization with Saudi Arabia appear remote.

Saudi Arabia, which may have been flirting with the idea of joining the Abraham Accords but always came up with some "poison pill" and has just been permitted by US President Donald J. Trump to enrich uranium for nuclear reactors, has chosen to enter a defense partnership with Turkey and Pakistan – two countries whose governments have fiercely anti-Israel positions.

Jonathan Spyer, director of research at the Middle East Forum, wrote that before the Hamas invasion of Israel on October 7, 2023, Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman was often viewed alongside the leaders of the United Arab Emirates and Bahrain as part of an emerging Gulf leadership seeking to move beyond traditional regional rivalries and toward economic and technological cooperation, including closer relations with Israel.

"It should not be assumed that Riyadh has conclusively abandoned this orientation," Spyer cautioned. Nevertheless, he noted, in the post-October 7 Middle East, military considerations and "religious and civilizational symbolic loyalties" have returned to center stage.

The Mecca Agreement gives Saudi Arabia the opposite strategic framework precisely when Washington had hoped that deeper US-Saudi security cooperation could help facilitate Saudi normalization with Israel.

Turkey's role is particularly dangerous.

Under President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, Turkey has for years positioned itself as one of Israel's most hostile adversaries. Ankara has maintained close relations with Hamas and has repeatedly provided political support to the terrorist organization (such as here, here, here and here).

The concern, therefore, is that an increasingly powerful Turkey is seeking to translate the expansion of its military capabilities into a regional hegemony while simultaneously embracing an aggressive posture toward Israel, Cyprus and Greece.

If, for instance, Turkey receives the F-35 stealth fighter jets it is seeking from the United States, then attacks Israel, and Israel retaliates, will Pakistan then claim Turkey has "been attacked" and launch nuclear weapons at Israel? Is that long-term desire, in fact, at the root of the "defense pact"?

Spyer warns that the emerging Turkey-Pakistan-Saudi Arabia alignment is, at the rhetorical level, "jointly and extremely anti-Israel." He points to Pakistani Defense Minister Khawaja Asif's recent call for a united Islamic front against Israel and Erdogan's claim that Zionism threatens everyone. More significantly, Spyer notes that Turkey and Qatar have been among Hamas's "practical supporters."

The Mecca Agreement, therefore, cannot be examined in isolation.

Turkey, moreover, is rapidly expanding its influence in Syria. Both Turkey and Qatar are major allies of the government of Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa, while Turkey has been deeply involved in developing Syria's new armed forces. Israel, Cyprus and Greece therefore face the possibility of a growing Turkish strategic footprint stretching through Syria and into the wider Sunni Muslim world, backed by closer military cooperation with nuclear-armed Pakistan and Saudi financial power.

Turkey, in addition, brings sophisticated military technology to the equation. Ankara and Islamabad have steadily expanded their defense-industrial relationship, including cooperation involving aircraft, drones, and other military systems. Saudi money could significantly accelerate these projects.

Turkey is positioning itself as a leader of an increasingly assertive Sunni Islamist-oriented bloc. Pakistan is trying to convert its nuclear status into greater political influence, and Saudi Arabia is their financier and potential nuclear weapons partner.

Even if the Mecca Agreement never becomes a genuine "Islamic NATO" and remains partly symbolic, that does not make it harmless.

The real danger is the strategic direction it represents, in response to a perceived decline in American influence, growing Turkish power, weakening prospects for a peaceful Middle East, and now the emergence of a new regional bloc whose leading members increasingly regard Israel, Cyprus, Greece and the West in general not as potential partners, but as adversaries.


Khaled Abu Toameh
is an award-winning journalist based in Jerusalem.

Source: https://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/22797/mecca-agreement-regional-security

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Pilot zones in Southern Lebanon: A failure foretold - Tal Beeri

 

by Tal Beeri

The central problem? Dismantling weapons and military infrastructure is not sufficient if, at the same time, Hezbollah’s civilian apparatuses are allowed to return to the area.

 

Hezbollah weaponry discovered by Israel Defense Forces soldiers in the security zone in Southern Lebanon, July 2026. Credit: IDF Spokesperson's Unit.
Hezbollah weaponry discovered by Israel Defense Forces soldiers in the security zone in Southern Lebanon, July 2026. Credit: IDF Spokesperson’s Unit.

The pilot zones in Southern Lebanon were intended to serve as a practical test of the Lebanese state’s ability and willingness, through the Lebanese Armed Forces, to implement the understandings with Israel: to establish its presence on the ground, prevent Hezbollah’s return and thwart the rehabilitation of its infrastructure.

However, developments in Zoutar al-Gharbiyeh, the first pilot zone, already point to the opposite trend. Under the cover of the Lebanese Army’s presence, Hezbollah’s apparatuses are returning to the village and re-establishing a civilian foothold there, which could later serve as the foundation for renewed military entrenchment.

The first sign of this was the return, at the end of July, of Hezbollah’s Islamic Health Organization. In officially published documentation, Hezbollah operatives from the health group were seen operating in Zoutar al-Gharbiyeh, including recovering the bodies of dead Hezbollah members, while accompanied by the Lebanese Army.

This is not an independent medical organization, nor is it an entity belonging to the Lebanese state. The Islamic Health Organization is subordinate to Hezbollah’s Executive Council and forms part of the support network for its military activity. The organization’s medical personnel are full participants in Hezbollah’s military-terrorist activity on the ground. During the war, its ambulances were used to transport operatives and weapons, while its medical facilities were used for military-terrorist purposes, including as assembly points, command posts and similar functions.

Several days after the Islamic Health Organization returned to the pilot zone, it was joined by the “Help One Another” Association (“Wa Ta’awanu”), another civilian arm affiliated with Hezbollah.

According to publicly available materials, the association entered Zoutar al-Gharbiyeh as early as July 29 and established temporary facilities in the village for the local council and to “assist the return of residents.” It provides food and meals, maps the needs of the population, and participates in rehabilitation and cleanup activities in cooperation with the Lebanese Army and Civil Defense. It even organized a religious event in the village marking Arba’een (“40” in Arabic) after Ashura, the day when Imam Husayn ibn Ali (the grandson of the Prophet Muhammad) was killed in the year 680 C.E. at the Battle of Karbala.

At first glance, this activity may appear to constitute legitimate humanitarian assistance, but this is precisely the sphere in which Hezbollah has operated for years. Through health, welfare, education, construction and financial institutions, Hezbollah creates dependence among the population on the services it provides, deepens its influence and establishes a civilian support structure that also facilitates its military activity.

The Lebanese Army is present, but Hezbollah’s apparatuses are operating alongside it and under its protection.

The activities of “Wa Ta’awanu” illustrate the problem well. The association also serves as a platform for fundraising, including through an account at Hezbollah’s Al-Qard Al-Hassan, and maintains financial ties with Iran. Since the November 2024 ceasefire, it has deployed dozens of mobile structures throughout Southern Lebanon, ostensibly as temporary housing solutions. However, some of these structures have in practice been used for Hezbollah military activity and intelligence gathering, replacing infrastructure previously operated by the “Green Without Borders” association that was damaged during the war. Some of the structures deployed by “Wa Ta’awanu” were struck by the Israel Defense Forces during 2025.

This highlights the central problem with the pilot-zone model: Dismantling weapons and military infrastructure is not sufficient if, at the same time, Hezbollah’s civilian apparatuses are allowed to return to the area. These mechanisms are not marginal to the organization’s activities; they constitute the social, economic and logistical infrastructure upon which Hezbollah is able to rebuild itself.

Zoutar al-Gharbiyeh was supposed to demonstrate that the Lebanese Army was capable of replacing Hezbollah as both the sovereign authority and the provider of services on the ground. Yet the emerging picture is the opposite: The Lebanese Army is present, but Hezbollah’s apparatuses are operating alongside it and under its protection. If the state’s medical, welfare and reconstruction bodies do not fill the vacuum, Hezbollah will do so in their place.

In this sense, the failure of the pilot zones does not begin on the day armed Hezbollah operatives return to the villages. It begins much earlier—on the day Hezbollah’s civilian apparatuses return, restore their hold over the population and prepare the ground for the return of its military infrastructure.

In Lebanon, the formula is simple: Where there are Shi’ites, there is Hezbollah. 


Tal Beeri is director of research at the Alma Research and Education Center, which studies Israel’s security challenges on its northern front.

Source: https://www.jns.org/opinion/tal-beeri/pilot-zones-in-southern-lebanon-a-failure-foretold

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The global stakes of China's slowdown - Courtenay Brown

 

by Courtenay Brown

China's push to supercharge production even as domestic demand weakens leaves China's producers more reliant on foreign buyers and pressures industries abroad.

 

Illustration of the flag of China as a chart with the stars creating a ripple effect
Illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios

China's economic weakness and its AI ambitions are putting competing demands on policymakers.

  • Reviving the economy means getting households to spend more, but competing with the U.S. in AI means turbocharging an already production-heavy economic model.

Why it matters: China's push to supercharge production even as domestic demand weakens leaves China's producers more reliant on foreign buyers and pressures industries abroad.

The intrigue: New data shows China's divide widening.

What they're saying: Arjen van Dijkhuizen, a senior economist at Dutch bank ABN Amro, wrote in a note Monday morning that the July data shows a widening gap between what China produces and consumes, potentially fueling further trade tensions with major partners.

  • "Although Chinese exports are still benefiting from the global tech/AI boom, the re-escalation of tensions in the Middle East and the broadening of weakness in domestic demand mean that the balance of risks to the Chinese economy is shifting into a negative direction again," he wrote.

Driving the news: China's economy lost momentum in July, with consumer spending barely growing alongside a deepening investment slump.

  • Retail sales rose just 0.6% compared with the same period a year ago, slowing further from June.
  • Fixed-asset investment fell nearly 7% in the first seven months of 2026 as China's yearslong property bust continued to weigh heavily on activity. Real estate investment plunged 19%, while sales of newly built properties fell by double digits.
  • The data suggests that the slowdown that took hold in the spring is continuing: GDP grew 4.3% from a year earlier in the second quarter, data released last month showed, down sharply from 5% in the first quarter.

The other side: China's factory engine continued to roar, even as demand at home remained weak.

  • Industrial output rose 4.5% in July from a year earlier, while high-tech manufacturing rose nearly 14% in the first seven months of the year, extending a manufacturing boom that has been particularly strong in AI-related industries.

What to watch: Beijing recognizes the imbalance, with a top statistics official acknowledging that "strong supply and weak demand" remains a prominent problem.

  • Policymakers have extended consumer support measures introduced in recent years, including subsidies under its car and appliance trade-in programs.
  • But they have stopped short of the type of large-scale fiscal support that some economists believe is necessary to boost household demand.

Friction point: The AI race could deepen China's longstanding economic imbalance by making its industrial base more productive without necessarily boosting demand at home.

The bottom line: China's AI push raises the stakes in an already fraught debate over how much Chinese production the rest of the world can absorb. At a certain point, it becomes unsustainable.

  • The pressures are already visible in Europe's battered auto industry that's teetering on the brink of crisis. 


Courtenay Brown

Source: https://www.axios.com/2026/08/17/china-economy-ai

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AI, Morality, and Effective Altruism - Stephen Soukup

 

by Stephen Soukup

Effective Altruism amounts to a perversion of John Calvin that has created a truly bizarre and potentially malevolent moral code.

 

 

This past week, The Wall Street Journal ran a long profile of Cami Clark, the wife of Dario Amodei, the AI savant and CEO of Anthropic. Clark, you see, keeps a very low profile, so low that even Claude, Anthropic’s AI bot, didn’t know she and Amodei were married—a fact reported by the Journal and confirmed by Claude itself. According to the paper, the reality of the marriage is significant for a number of reasons. Clark was previously in a two-year relationship with Eric Schmidt, for example, whom she introduced to Amodei and who became an early investor in Anthropic and the AI revolution. Additionally, and more provocatively, Clark once tried to start a “luxury” porn company and sought financial backing for the endeavor from Jeffrey Epstein.

For my money, however, the key revelation in the profile appears in what might otherwise be seen as a throwaway paragraph describing how Clark and Amodei ran in the same Silicon Valley circles, even before officially becoming a couple. “Clark,” the Journal notes, “spent time at the group house in San Francisco where Amodei, his friend Holden Karnofsky and his sister, Daniela—who would later marry Karnofsky—lived with other key figures from the AI safety and Effective Altruism worlds.”

Over the past few years—and especially over the past few months—various religious leaders, moral scholars, and others have debated the ethical questions surrounding AI and its broader moral implications. On May 25 of this year, Pope Leo XIV released his first encyclical as the Roman Pontiff, Magnifica Humanitas, which addressed those very questions in detail, focusing on human dignity, AI’s lack thereof, and the importance of maintaining that dignity in interactions with all technology. The encyclical was reasonably well received by Catholics and non-Catholics alike, albeit with some serious and notable critiques.

Perhaps the most relevant critique was the Vatican’s conscious choice to unveil the encyclical at a formal event that, in addition to several Catholic theologians, featured a man named Chris Olah. Olah is a co-founder of Anthropic and the head of the company’s interpretability research. His presence and Anthropic’s efforts to publicize the encyclical and its rollout all gave the impression that Magnifica Humanitas was “co-branded” in some way with an AI company. Although the Vatican was adamant that Anthropic had no input into the encyclical or its moral arguments, Olah’s presence was still strange, to say the very least. As my friend and colleague, Jerry Bowyer (the CEO of Bowyer Research and a well-respected author on Christian moral issues), pointed out in a handful of posts on Twitter/X, Olah’s attendance at the event created a perception problem for Pope Leo: “Inviting a man with a history of anti-Christian trolling who believes that AI has a soul from a company which has been dubbed a security risk by the US government seems like it will, whether intened [sic] or not, put a political spin on this. Why Anthropic? Why any AI vendor?”

These questions—“Why Anthropic? Why any AI vendor?”—take on increased relevance and seriousness in light of the profile of Cami Clark. Among other things, the profile serves as a reminder that Silicon Valley in general, AI in particular, and Anthropic specifically are, as hinted at above, closely tied to the Effective Altruism movement.

One could write an entire book on the connections between Anthropic and EA. The following is but a small sampling of how close those ties are and always have been:

I could go on, but I suppose you get the point. As for what Effective Altruism is, that’s a long and unfortunate story. That story begins, formally, in 1789 with the publication of Jeremy Bentham’s Introduction to the Principles of Morals and Legislation, in which he articulated the principles of Utilitarianism. Among other things, Bentham argued that “rights” are mere human constructs, the creation of governments, certainly not endowed by our creator, and designed to favor one group over another. “For every right which the law confers on one party,” Bentham wrote, “whether that party be an individual, a subordinate class of individuals, or the public, it thereby imposes on some other party a duty or obligation.” Bentham saw the very idea of “natural rights” or “natural law” as “perversions of language.”

The measure of an act’s righteousness in a consequentialist sense is its outcome. Consequentialist/utilitarian morality is not measured by an action’s consistency with natural law or with the command of a higher authority; it is not assessed by an action’s adherence to an eternal truth, a responsibility, or a duty; it is, rather, measured by its effect on society as a whole, by the “greatest happiness principle.” Acts that produce greater happiness and greater pleasure and decrease aggregate suffering are moral, while those that do the opposite are immoral.

Perhaps the best-known and most controversial Benthamite utilitarian of the contemporary era is the Australian philosopher Peter Singer, who is also considered the philosophical godfather of Effective Altruism. Specifically, EA was inspired by Singer’s 1972 book, Famine, Affluence, and Morality, which crystallized the ideas of classical Utilitarianism and made the case—through the “drowning boy analogy” that rich people and nations have a moral obligation to give away as much of their wealth as can be managed to end poverty and hunger throughout the world. Singer’s later expansion of the moral circle to animals (Animal Liberation, 1975) and practical guides to giving (The Life You Can Save, 2009), supplied both the ethical foundations and the call to action that were institutionalized by Toby Ord and Will MacAskill, EA’s official founders.

Although Effective Altruists profess to have adopted utilitarianism only for its belief that moral problems have reason- and evidence-based solutions, their tacit ties to Singer are instructive. Singer, of course, is famous for far more than his insistence on utilitarian-based poverty remediation. He is, in fact, best known for his more radical conclusions about the moral applications of utilitarian ethics. For example, in his books Practical Ethics and Should the Baby Live?, Singer argued that “Killing a disabled infant is not morally equivalent to killing a person. Very often it is not wrong at all,” and that “Human babies are not born self-aware, or capable of grasping that they exist over time. They are not persons… the life of a newborn is of less value than the life of a pig, a dog, or a chimpanzee.”

In his 2001 review “Heavy Petting” of Midas Dekkers’ book Dearest Pet, Singer argued that the taboo on sex with animals was irrational and unnecessary. It could, he argued, be mutually satisfying,” a claim that prompted The San Francisco Chronicle to summarize Singer’s views on animals as “You can have sex with them, but don’t eat them.”

More recently, Singer (in a New York Times op-ed with Jeff McMahan) extrapolated his well-known belief that the severely handicapped are less than human to suggest raping them might be a “victimless crime.”

To be clear, to the best of my knowledge, no one inside the Effective Altruism movement, much less anyone connected to Anthropic, has expressed affinity for these more radical pronouncements by Singer. Nevertheless, Singer is universally acknowledged as the moral godfather of EA, and its official founders (Ord, in particular) are considered serious students of his.

In the end, Effective Altruism amounts to a perversion of John Calvin that has created a truly bizarre and potentially malevolent moral code. EA is based on the worldview that getting rich is important and morally beneficial, as long as you are willing to give your wealth away to the causes that the “evidence” suggests are most worthy. EA starts with the idea that wealth accumulation is good and that, in fact, it can be an outward sign of one’s righteousness (Calvin). It then adds the idea that any residual moral misgivings one might have about doing whatever is necessary to accumulate as much wealth as possible can be expunged by purchasing redemption through “proper” altruism.

Calvin, it should be noted, jumped through innumerable hoops trying to explain how the accumulation of wealth was symbolic and didn’t, in any way, constitute the fulfillment of salvation. Salvation, he maintained, could not be temporal and was explicitly confined to the afterlife.

EA, however, not trusting in the existence of an afterlife, cannot adopt Calvin’s theology and seek temporal salvation by directing their wealth to utilitarian-based moral causes. Thus, it perverts Calvin (and the Spirit of Capitalism) and turns the pursuit of salvation into a weird and often cruel millenarian endeavor.

As The Wall Street Journal reminded us, these are the people in charge of our future, via AI. Worse still, some of them appear at least to have the Pope’s ear.

Photo: Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei delivers a speech during the AI Impact Summit in New Delhi on February 19, 2026. (Photo by Ludovic MARIN / AFP) 


Stephen R. Soukup is the Director of The Political Forum Institute and the author of The Dictatorship of Woke Capital (Encounter, 2021, 2023)

Source: https://amgreatness.com/2026/08/17/ai-morality-and-effective-altruism/

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READ: The documents declassified in transparency push by President Donald Trump - Steven Richards

 

by Steven Richards

Here is a database of all the documents declassified by President Donald Trump since July.

 

This year, President Donald Trump declassified hundreds of pages of Intelligence Community and government documents on Chinese hacks, illegal voter registrations, and government weaponization. 

You can find all the documents released so far by the White House Transparency Task Force. This database will be updated with each new release. 

Swalwell Investigation Files

The FBI developed evidence that a Chinese woman with direct ties to that country’s intelligence service had potentially compromised a Democratic congressman from California with sex, foreign interns and illicit donations while she was being recruited to become a bureau informant a decade ago, according to bombshell memos that expose another threat to America’s political system from Beijing.

“Round River”

Memos related to a secret counterintelligence operation codenamed “Round River” that was launched during the 2020 election by a task force of FBI analysts which formally designated Attorney General Bill Barr, Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, key members of Congress and journalists as Russian disinformation “conduits” in an apparent effort to tamp down a Ukrainian corruption scandal engulfing Joe and Hunter Biden. 


Maricopa County Voter Database Breach

Arizona's largest county, Maricopa, suffered a significant breach of its election data in the days before the 2020 presidential election when a self-described hacker foiled security and obtained 633,000 voter registration files but the Biden Justice Department and local prosecutors declined to bring charges even after the FBI got the suspect to confess, declassified documents show. 

“March Toll”

The FBI opened a probe into sitting Attorney General Jeff Sessions in May 2017 for potentially making false statements to Congress about Russian contacts even though he had already updated the disputed testimony. The evidence to support the probe -- codenamed MARCH TOLL and opened one day after FBI Director James Comey was fired by President Donald Trump -- was a weeks-old letter from Democrats and an article from a liberal news site. 

“Oxferd Comma” 

The FBI opened a criminal probe specifically targeting Donald Trump in May 2017, alleging the newly elected president may have been acting as a Russian asset when he fired then-Director James Comey even though the bureau’s own evidence overwhelmingly showed at the time there was no collusion with the Kremlin.

Noncitizens on State Voter Rolls

The Homeland Security Department found more than a quarter million illegal aliens were registered to vote in four states – California, Nevada, New Jersey and Pennsylvania, according to a review the agency conducted on publicly available data. 

Michigan Voter Registration Probe

Contained in the trove of election-related documents President Donald Trump released to the public in July are the FBI’s investigative files and communications about a possible voter registration fraud scheme in Muskegon, Mich., that ended without prosecution.

China’s Acquisition and Exploitation of American Voter Data

President Trump released hundreds of pages of documents revealing China began sweeping up millions of voter registration records in 2020. By 2023, the country had obtained at least 220 million voter records in the United States and gained access to data in at least 18 states. The dump also contains evidence of a concerted effort by members of the Intelligence Community to withhold information about the breaches from then-President Trump. 

Vulnerabilities in Electronic Voting and Ballot-Counting Systems

From 2004 to 2020, the U.S. Intelligence Community monitored plans by the Venezuelan leadership to electronically manipulate their country’s own voting machines, including the use of substituting false votes, in order to secure victory for the ruling socialists. This intelligence raised concerns in the Intelligence Community that American systems could also be vulnerable. President Trump said the Venezuelan capabilities are evidence that American voting systems need to be better secured.  


Steven Richards

Source: https://justthenews.com/government/white-house/read-documents-declassified-transparency-push-president-donald-trump

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FBI had evidence Swalwell got illegal donations from suspected Chinese spy, bombshell memos show - Steven Richards and John Solomon

 

by Steven Richards and John Solomon

The newly declassified investigation files also show that the FBI had initially tried to recruit the infamous Fang Fang as a source that could share information on Chinese influence operations targeting public officials in the United States.

 

The FBI developed evidence that a Chinese woman with direct ties to that country’s intelligence service had potentially compromised a Democratic congressman from California with sex, foreign interns and illicit donations while she was being recruited to become a bureau informant a decade ago, according to bombshell memos that expose another threat to America’s political system from Beijing.

The files chronicling the relationship between Rep. Eric Swalwell and the Chinese national Fang Fang – also known by her English name Christine Fang – were declassified by President Donald Trump and released Monday by the White House Government Transparency Task Force as part of a broader effort to unmask foreign threats to U.S. political and election systems.

They show the FBI opened a predicated investigation, which is a formal law enforcement inquiry backed by a factual basis or allegation that indicates a crime or national security threat already exists.

Unlike unpredicated "assessments," a predicated investigation allows agents to use advanced and intrusive methods like electronic surveillance or informants.

The files provide significant new details about the long-rumored relationship between Fang and Swalwell, including that:

  • The FBI initially wanted to investigate the congressman for a bribery scheme in which he exchanged donations from Fang for her planting interns in his office, but eventually decided to narrow the case to seek criminal charges only against Fang for making illegal donations to the California Democrat through conduits.
  • Swalwell admitted to having sex with Fang, his staff placing Fang’s interns in Congress and not having a strong enough campaign finance system to detect the straw donations she allegedly passed through U.S.-citizen conduits. 
  • The Justice Department declined to prosecute Fang despite strong evidence of the illicit donations after she fled the U.S. as the FBI began interviewing her associates and raided her home. The early steps in the investigation were overseen in part by controversial prosecutor Jack Smith, who would later pursue Donald Trump on criminal charges. 
  • The FBI was recruiting Fang to be a confidential informant through an undercover agent, assigned her the code name Rusty Thumbs, planned to hire her through a cutout company and was still evaluating her suitability as a confidential human source when they discovered her alleged criminal behavior.
  • The FBI knew early on during the recruitment that Fang was tied to China’s Ministry of State Security (MSS), Beijing’s notorious intelligence service. The bureau also identified her parents as MSS agents, knew she was raising money for California Democrats and was willing to use sex as a means of getting ahead in the world of U.S. politics.

Fang Fang’s efforts to influence U.S. politicians were first reported by Axios in 2020. According to the outlet’s comprehensive investigation, U.S. officials believed Fang sought to ingratiate herself with local politicians in the San Francisco Bay Area using campaign fundraising, networking, her charisma, and romantic or sexual relationships. Swalwell was identified as among the most significant targets of Fang. 

Swalwell threatened to sue the FBI 

Swalwell’s office told Axios at the time that he fully cooperated with the FBI and has reiterated that claim for years. “Rep. Swalwell, long ago, provided information about this person — whom he met more than eight years ago, and whom he hasn’t seen in nearly six years — to the FBI. To protect information that might be classified, he will not participate in your story,” Swalwell’s office said in a statement. Swalwell’s interviews with FBI agents, made public as part of the tranche of documents related to the case made public by the White House, confirm the former congressman’s claims that he cooperated with the bureau’s investigation. 

Earlier this year, Swalwell threatened to sue the FBI and asked the bureau not to release the files associated with the investigation. Swalwell’s lawyers made his case in a cease and desist letter sent to FBI Director Kash Patel in March.

“The Congressman has never been accused of wrongdoing in that matter and your attempt to release the file is a transparent attempt to smear him and undermine his campaign for Governor of California,” attorneys Norm Eisen and Sean Hecker wrote. “Your actions threaten to expose you, others at the FBI, and the FBI itself to significant legal liability.” 

You can read the declassified Swalwell files below:

FBI identifies Fang as “illegal source of campaign contributions”

The FBI probe targeting Swalwell and Fang was opened on March 17, 2014, and codenamed “Freshman Fifteen,” according to a now-declassified “Interim Authority” memorandum, which was reviewed by FBI headquarters and the Justice Department’s Public Integrity Section.  

The FBI assessment, which later became a full-fledged investigation, centered on allegations that Swalwell awarded internships at his offices in exchange for campaign contributions. The FBI identified Fang “Christine” Fang, a Chinese national, as the alleged facilitator of this exchange and alleged she employed conduits to route illegal donations.

“Investigation has revealed Fang ‘Christine’ Fang, a Chinese foreign national residing in the United States, is the facilitator of a scheme to trade access to Swalwell and internships in his congressional office in return for campaign contributions […]” the memo reads. The FBI specifically gathered evidence that Fang “used conduits to conceal herself as a prohibited Foreign National source,” for illegal campaign contributions “at least twice in 2013 and at least two more times in 2014.” 

The agents found that the 2013 conduits “trace to Fang herself,” making them an “illegal source of campaign contributions.” 

The objectives of the probe were ultimately to “obtain sufficient evidence to indict and arrest Swalwell and Fang for violations of campaign finance laws and quid pro quo exchanges,” the memo adds.

The FBI also caught Fang directly soliciting donations and promising to reimburse the contributor from her own funds, the memos state. 

In March 2015, Fang contacted an individual who was also an FBI Confidential Human Source (CHS). She asked the CHS to attend a fundraising event for Swalwell and solicited a contribution.

The FBI agents on the case authored a memo on March 9, 2015 requesting approval for the CHS to “make a bona fide campaign contribution” in order to further the probe. That request was apparently approved. In a “CHS reporting document” dated March 24, 2015, an FBI agent reported that “CHS provided Christine Fang with his credit card number for the $1,000 donation.” 

In 2014, Fang invited an individual with whom she had a financial relationship to a fundraiser for Swalwell, according to an FBI-302 from June 2015 memorializing an interview with the individual, whose name is redacted. The individual claimed Fang told him he “just needed to bring his checkbook and that FANG would reimburse him for his donation.” The individual told investigators that he declined.  

Swalwell admits to sexual relationship, placing interns, poor campaign finance checks

In a 2015 interview with the FBI, then-Congressman Swalwell told agents that he first met Fang in 2012, during his first congressional campaign. He admitted to the agents that he had “physical relations with Fang” on multiple occasions, according to the FBI summary. In a subsequent interview in 2016, Swalwell detailed one incident where Fang showed up at his door, after which Swalwell said they “hooked up,” according to the interview summary.

In that second interview, Swalwell confirmed that Fang did refer interns to both his campaign and congressional offices. He noted that he and his staff treated Fang’s referrals as coming from the Asian Pacific Islander American Public Associations (APAPA), an important constituent group in his district. 

“FANG was unique when it came to interns, because SWALWELL saw FANG as connected to the Asian Pacific Islander American Public Associations (APAPA) and [redacted],” the 2016 interview summary reads.

“SWALWELL viewed anyone that FANG put forward for an internship as coming from APAPA,” it adds. “A significant portion of SWALWELL’s constituents are Chinese American and diversity is important.”

Swalwell’s statements to the FBI also indicate that he had concerns about some staffers' adherence to campaign finance regulations. In his second interview with the FBI in 2016, Swalwell told agents about a 2014 Las Vegas fundraiser at the Wynn Casino where Swalwell said an individual who appeared to handle the campaign’s finances was told “he needed to get it together when it comes to filing paperwork and reporting requirements. Paperwork was not [redacted] strength,” the FBI 302 memorializing the interview reads.

FBI drops Swalwell from probe, focuses on Fang

In the early stages of the probe, the FBI team sent regular updates to the Justice Department’s Public Integrity Section (PIN), which was then headed by the now-controversial prosecutor Jack Smith. Smith would later lead the Biden administration’s investigations and prosecutions of Trump. PIN oversees investigations and prosecutions that involve federal crimes like bribery of public officials and election crimes, including campaign finance crimes.

Eventually, however, after interviewing Swalwell on multiple occasions, the FBI determined that the investigation had found no violations of federal statutes by the congressman. As a result, the FBI eventually reclassified the probe on February 8, 2017, dropping Swalwell as a subject and focusing the investigation solely on Fang’s alleged violations of campaign finance laws. 

In May, the FBI searched Fang’s house, according to an interview with one former intern in Swalwell’s campaign office. The individual, whose name has been redacted, is a Chinese national who was studying political science, presumably at a school in California, according to an FBI-302 form memorializing the interview. The intern told investigators that Fang said the FBI had interviewed her and searched her house. 

According to a series of interviews with other colleagues, Fang fled the country and traveled to China around May 2015. One individual, described as an owner of a winery, “assisted Fang financially on several occasions” while she was in the United States, including co-signing leases, for a car and an apartment. This is the same individual Fang offered to reimburse for a donation to Swalwell.  

The winery owner said that Fang approached him in late May to say she was returning to China because she had been questioned about the alleged political donation scheme. Oddly, she also reported to the individual that “her parents used to work for the Chinese government in a department akin to the US Secret Service.” 

After the FBI’s interviews of Fang and her close associates prompted the suspect to return to China, the FBI formally closed the investigation in 2017. 

In a closing memo, the FBI noted that its agents found evidence Fang violated several criminal laws related to the illegal donations, including prohibited contributions in the name of another, in excess of statutory limits, and from a foreign national, falsifying and destroying records, engaging in a false statements scheme, engaging in a false writing scheme, international bulk cash smuggling, and acting as an unregistered foreign agent. The memo also noted that Fang had fled and was barred from re-entry by the State Department. 

Before probe, FBI attempted to recruit Fang

Before the probe was opened into Fang’s alleged illegal activities, the FBI engaged in a months-long effort to recruit her using an undercover bureau employee and a fictitious company. The goal, according to contemporaneous memos, was to turn Fang into an informant on Chinese efforts to conduct influence operations targeting public officials, with whom Fang was close with several. 

The Rusty Thumbs memos, identified by the codename agents gave Fang, show that the undercover employee met with her on several occasions to get to know her background and aimed to offer Fang a consulting job where she would use her Chinese connections to help the undercover employee’s fictitious business. 

According to the memos, Fang was vague about her past in China, refused to elaborate on her parents’ Chinese government jobs and where she went to undergraduate school. However, she bragged about her political activities in the United States, including her work to connect donors to Swalwell’s congressional campaign, they show. Eventually, Fang agreed to work with the fictitious company. On June 14, 2013, she signed a contractor agreement for the consulting gig. That contract is contained in the FBI’s files. 

It appears the bureau’s efforts to recruit Fang may have exposed her alleged campaign finance crimes. The effort to use Fang as a window into Chinese influence operations in California was ended just six days before the FBI opened its initial probe into the alleged illegal campaign contribution scheme, which she first hinted at while the FBI was trying to recruit her. 

FBI knew Fang had ties to Chinese intelligence

The FBI knew early on that Fang likely had several ties to Chinese intelligence. One memo identified Fang’s parents as “known MSS intelligence officers.” The agents also suspected Fang herself had MSS ties. In fact, those suspected ties were why the FBI was interested in recruiting Fang through an undercover operation, the memos show.  

“In addition, [Rusty Thumb] professed to knowing people of influence within the PRC,” one memo reads. “Given RT’s apparent connections with MSS personnel and the PRC government, coupled with her continuing contact with U.S. and local government officials, RT may be able to report on MSS influence campaigns directed at the U.S. government.”         

In addition, at least one of Fang’s colleagues in the United States also suspected that she might have ties to Chinese intelligence. The winery owner told agents that he or she “sometimes got the impression that FANG is a Chinese spy,” according to a summary of the interview. 

“She was very private and would frequently be gone without any explanation,” the individual reportedly told agents. “However, she also did things that [redacted] considered to be very obvious and not very smart.”

Editor's Note: John Solomon is on leave as Editor-in-Chief of Just the News while working as the chairman of the White House Government Transparency Task Force as an unpaid special government employee. 


Steven Richards and John Solomon

Source: https://justthenews.com/accountability/political-ethics/6amfbi-had-evidence-swalwell-got-illegal-donations-suspected

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