Monday, October 19, 2026

Southwest illegal border crossings reach lowest level for one year in U.S. history - Bethany Blankley

 

by Bethany Blankley

Southwest border apprehensions dropped by 95% from Oct. 1, 2025, through Sept. 30, 2026, CBP said.

 

(The Center Square) -

Illegal border crossings at the southwest border reached their lowest level in U.S. history over the past fiscal year, according to U.S. Customs and Border Protection preliminary fiscal 2026 data.

Southwest border apprehensions dropped by 95% from Oct. 1, 2025, through Sept. 30, 2026, CBP said.

CBP made the announcement on Saturday without publishing the data for the month of September. An estimate by The Center Square puts September nationwide encounters and apprehensions at close to 30,000. Every month, this number has hovered between 30,000 and 34,000, with the exception of February, according to CBP data.

Southwest apprehension totals hovered between 9,000 and 12,000 over the past fiscal year. At the northern border, they fluctuated between 3,500 and 6,500, according to CBP data.

Over the past fiscal year through Aug. 31, nearly 350,000 had been apprehended nationwide, The Center Square reported.

The total number of apprehensions is down from 3.2 million reported in 2023, the highest on record, according to CBP data.

The Trump administration again claimed fiscal 2026 is “the first-ever fiscal year with zero Border Patrol releases. September marked the 17th consecutive month with ZERO releases.”

According to federal policy, unaccompanied alien children (UACs) are consistently released into the country, including to so-called sponsors. In fiscal 2026, 8,348 UACs were reported nationwide, according to CBP data through Aug. 31. The majority, 7,608, were at the southwest border, according to the data.

“FY 2026 demonstrated what focused enforcement, strong partnerships, and the commitment of our frontline personnel can achieve,” CBP Commissioner Rodney Scott said in a statement. “DHS and CBP are securing the border, stopping dangerous drugs and criminals, protecting communities, and ensuring our personnel have the resources necessary for this critical mission.”

CBP says its “enforcement posture” drove Border Patrol apprehensions to their lowest level in agency history of less than 99,000. It is referring to southwest border apprehensions between ports of entry. When apprehensions at ports of entry are included, the number is higher. Total apprehensions at the southwest border through Aug. 31 were 128,000, according to CBP data.

According to CBP’s Saturday announcement, CBP preliminary data shows total nationwide encounters in fiscal 2026 were the lowest in agency history at 379,243, compared to the 2.7 million per year reported under the Biden administration. This puts fiscal 2026 encounters at 88% lower than those during fiscal 2023, a year with the most encounters reported in U.S. history.

Neither the Biden nor Trump administrations publicly release gotaway data to disclose how many foreign nationals illegally enter between ports of entry to intentionally evade capture. Under the Biden administration, more than 2 million gotaways were reported, according to data exclusively reported by The Center Square after obtaining it from Border Patrol agents.

Gotaways are still coming through under the Trump administration. In Texas, they are being apprehended by Texas Operation Lone Star border security law enforcement working with Border Patrol. Federal troops are also at the southwest border responding to cartel shootings and supporting CBP and Border Patrol efforts, The Center Square reported.

The 95% drop at the southwest border reflects “sustained enforcement and the deterrent effect of a secure border. Illegal aliens have received a clear message: don’t try to enter the country illegally, or you will be apprehended, detained, and deported,” CBP said. These policies are also “saving lives by reducing unlawful crossings, leading to a dramatic decline in border-related deaths,” it added, without stating the number of deaths.

At the same time, more Americans and noncitizens have been shot by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement officers. Three shootings have occurred in Texas alone, leading to two deaths of Hispanic men, including one U.S. citizen. The second shooting in Houston prompted Gov. Greg Abbott to call for a state investigation.

ICE and Border Patrol agents have also been the target of violence, with assaults against ICE up by more than 1,700% nationwide, The Center Square reported. Federal agents in Texas have been a consistent target of high-profile shootings, bomb threats, white powder being mailed among other threats. In these cases, the shooters and those making bomb threats were killed or convicted of domestic terrorism.

The administration has so far completed 250 miles of new border barrier construction along the southwest border since January 20, 2025. Through the “One Big Beautiful Bill,” CBP obligated $34.3 billion to support Smart Wall projects along the southwest border. Several billion of these funds were awarded to construction companies with a history of scandals, The Center Square reported.

The administration is also being sued over border wall construction in the Big Bend region of Texas. The case is before the U.S. Supreme Court after a federal judge halted construction.

With more agents in the field, more drugs are being apprehended. According to preliminary CBP data, drug seizures in fiscal 2026 totaled a record nearly one million pounds, the agency said. This represents a 63% increase from the 600,000-pound annual average over the last four years. 


Bethany Blankley

Source: https://justthenews.com/nation/states/center-square/southwest-illegal-border-crossing-reach-lowest-level-one-year-us

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Why France? - Stephen Soukup

 

by Stephen Soukup

The lesson to learn from France right now is that assimilation doesn’t happen by accident.

 

 

France is burning. But why? The obvious answer to that question is that it has imported massive numbers of people—often young, military-aged men—from parts of the world where violence is more prevalent. Or, as the President of the United States put it over the weekend, “The immigration of people from an entirely different world, people with hatred in their hearts, has shattered that once great country.”

This is all well and good and, of course, there’s a great deal to it. France has, indeed, “imported the third world” (to use the Vice President’s phrasing). Interestingly, though, over the last couple of decades, France has imported far less of the Third World than its larger neighbors have, both in absolute and relative numbers.

Over the past ten years or so—since Third World immigration to Europe ceased to be a “problem” and became a “crisis”—no nation has seen a greater influx of foreign-born residents than Germany. From 2015 to 2024, Germany welcomed just over 6 million immigrants, which is equivalent to the rest of the EU combined. Its foreign-born population jumped from 13.4 percent to 20.9 percent, a massive increase, and the overwhelming majority of those immigrants came from “non-EU countries.” The UK followed Germany with more than 4 million immigrants, and Spain was a slightly more distant third (in total number of immigrants).

Relatively speaking, Malta saw its foreign-born population jump from 9 percent in 2013 to 32 percent in 2024, the largest increase over the last decade (or so). It was followed by Luxembourg, Portugal, and Germany.

Compared with almost all of its European cousins, France’s foreign-born population has increased relatively slowly, from 9.1 percent to 11.3 percent (albeit with a change in methodology). If the obvious answer were the correct answer, in other words, then Germany would be burning, Malta would be burning, the UK and Spain would be burning, but France would be fine. But it’s not. So again, why is France burning?

I know that the consensus is that what is happening in France today is likely to happen in Germany tomorrow, the UK the day after that, and all across Europe next week. Moreover, the conventional wisdom on the Right has it that the French uprising should be seen as a warning to the United States, which is to say that all Western nations have similar problems to France and all Western nations should, therefore, be preparing to deal with domestic Third Worldism at some point in the not-so-distant future.

Now, to be fair, there is some truth in this. There are significant and universal problems associated with importing huge groups from non-Western societies and consciously choosing not to “Westernize” them or integrate them culturally. The West’s crisis of confidence, its ideologically driven detestation of its own heritage, and its refusal to demand assimilation by its new residents are widespread failures that have produced and will continue to produce significant social, cultural, and economic issues. There can be little doubt about that.

At the same time, however, France is still different from the rest of us in the West. There is no real equivalent for the French experience—or at least there’s no real equivalent in Europe.

For most of Europe, the “migrant crisis” began in 2015, when more than a million refugees from the Middle East and North Africa sought asylum from ongoing war and related devastation. For France, by contrast, its own migrant crisis started more than six decades earlier, in 1954, with the creation of the Algerian National Liberation Front (FLN), which issued a declaration calling for national independence on November 1 of that year and launched the Algerian Revolution/French-Algerian War. By the time the war technically ended eight years later, the Fourth French Republic had fallen, Paris police had massacred as many as several hundred Algerian immigrants in a single-day crackdown on dissent, tens of thousands of “harkis”—i.e., Muslim auxiliaries who fought for the French in Algeria—were resettled in France, and hundreds of thousands of economic refugees had fled Algeria for France (although some returned “rotationally”). Additionally, in 1968, six years after the end of the war, France and Algeria reached an agreement providing Algerians unique immigration and work status, which contributed to an approximate doubling of the Algerian population in France over the next 15 years.

What all of this means is that while France may have a lesser issue than its European brethren with a restless foreign-born population, it has a much more serious and much better-established problem with second- and third-generation immigrants, mostly from Africa. Those populations might not present a serious risk to the French state if they had been integrated in any serious or sustained way, but they haven’t been. If anything, they’ve been rather mercilessly isolated and segregated from the productive parts of French society. When I wrote above that France has no equivalent in Europe, what I meant was that France’s policies toward and treatment of its African migrants have a parallel of sorts, but one found, ironically enough, in Africa.

Two of the most significant and far-reaching acts of the National Party, the party of the Afrikaner white minority and the architect of apartheid in South Africa, were the 1959 Promotion of Bantu Self-Government Act and the 1970 Bantu Homelands Citizenship Act. Both of these were presented to the world as magnanimous acts on the part of the National Party to give the country’s black population its own lands and a chance at political independence. In truth, of course, the Bantustans (literally “people places”) were the apartheid regime’s attempt to rid the white areas of the country of the black “surplus population” and to deprive them of their citizenship, thereby eliminating any claims they might someday make against their stolen property.

Black South Africans were divided up along rudimentary ethnic and linguistic lines and were then sent to the “homeland” that had been designated for their group. And when I say “sent,” I mean that they were told to go, were given no choice in the matter, regardless of their connection to the land, and were then physically forced to move. Once in their new Bantustans, the people were told that they were no longer citizens of South Africa but were, instead, citizens of their new “homeland,” which would be treated by the National Party regime as a “foreign” polity. In their generosity, the Afrikaners (that is to say, the descendants of the 17th– and 18th-century Dutch settlers) gave their black “former” countrymen 13 percent of the country’s absolutely most craptastical land—even though blacks constituted roughly three-quarters of the population and even though the country is among the most blessed by God in terms of beauty and natural resources. Strangely, all the gold and the uranium and the rest of those resources just happened to be located in “white South Africa.”

Anyway, the Bantustans served several purposes for the apartheid regime, but most significantly, they kept the black people where the government could keep an eye on them.

For much of the 1960s and 1970s, the French and South African governments remained on very good terms. France was apartheid South Africa’s second-largest foreign partner and its collaborator in nuclear research and energy. Perhaps one of the things that bound the two regimes together was their mutual distrust of their “surplus populations,” those undesirable foreigners, for whom they, apparently, had no use and no civil solution. That term, “undesirable foreigners,” has its roots in the internments of the late 1930s and the Vichy years, when camps like Rivesaltes held those the state deemed unsuitable. As the historian of modern France Jeannette E. Miller notes, Rivesaltes was one of the more infamous of “the two hundred internment camps… that dotted the French countryside during the ‘Dark Years,’” in part because it was “repurposed” by the post-war French government as a resettlement camp used to house harki immigrants. To be clear, the harki housing camps did not serve the same purpose as the Nazi transit camps, and they were not Bantustans, not even close. They were, however, brutal, ugly, depressing, and purposefully isolating. They were used by the French government to dispose of its unwelcome immigrants, the Algerians it felt a duty to resettle but whom it had no desire to integrate into French society.

These camps were also, in many ways, the antecedents to the nation’s now-infamous banlieues.

Banlieues is a generic term identifying any suburb of any of France’s major cities. But it’s also a term that has been used more and more over the past couple of decades derogatorily, a term intended to convey the ugliness, poverty, and despair of the mostly African, mostly Muslim suburbs of Paris. These ghettos were created to be “utopias for workers,” but, over time, came to be the place in which the descendants of African immigrants and other unwanted people are isolated. And they are almost entirely ignored by Parisian cosmopolitans—or at least they’re mostly ignored, springing to mind only when their residents riot or commit acts of terror. The banlieues are where today’s French keep their undesirables, their surplus population, the people whom they don’t want to think about but would nevertheless like to keep an eye on. The banlieues are the places the French keep around because their minorities exist and, as Spike Milligan noted, everybody has to be somewhere.

For the last decade-plus, ever since the terror attacks at the offices of the satirical magazine Charlie Hebdo, American journalists have flocked to the banlieues to tell their story and to demonstrate their true beauty as hubs of “diversity.” These journalists’ real goal, of course, is to prove conservatives wrong about the banlieues being “no-go zones.” What they’ve done in reality, however, is prove something else altogether: namely that France is a pretty screwed-up country and one flirting for years with the type of violence it’s currently enduring. One such profile, penned by The New Yorker’s George Packer, gives a good sense of the conditions:

Ben Ahmed, who is thirty-nine, works as a liaison between residents and the local government in Bondy—a suburb northeast of Paris, in an area called Department 93. For decades, a bastion of the old working class and the Communist Party, the 93 is now known for its residents of Arab and African origin. To many Parisians, the 93 signifies decayed housing projects, crime, unemployment, and Muslims. France has all kinds of suburbs, but the word for them, banlieues, has become pejorative, meaning slums dominated by immigrants. Inside the banlieues are the cités: colossal concrete housing projects built during the postwar decades, in the Brutalist style of Le Corbusier. Conceived as utopias for workers, they have become concentrations of poverty and social isolation….

For all their vitality, the banlieues feel isolated from the city, and from France itself. Parisians and tourists rarely visit them, and residents complain that journalists drop in only to report on car burnings and drug shootings…. Many suburban residents, meanwhile, never even think of going to Paris. Compared with American slums, the banlieues have relatively decent standards of housing and safety, but the psychological distance between the 93 and the Champs-Elysées can feel insuperable—much greater than that between the Bronx and Times Square. The apartment blocks in the cités, often arranged around a pharmacy, a convenience store, and a fast-food joint, look inward. Many have no street addresses, obvious points of entry, or places to park. The sense of separation is heightened by the names of the surrounding streets and schools, preserved from a historical France that has little connection to residents’ lives….

To be clear (again), the banlieues are not Bantustans. Nothing else really could be; nothing else really could compare to the Nationalist South Africans’ ingenious depravity. At the same time, though, the similarities are striking—and telling. Conservative commentators mocked Sky News over the weekend for attributing the violence in France to “economic inequality.” That’s fair, but only up to a point. There is undoubtedly a meaningful economic component to the anger and frustration exploding throughout the country. That’s not the lone cause, of course, but it’s not insignificant. As for the “inequality” variable, that too is important. As angry and violent as some black South Africans are with their white countrymen today, imagine how much more frustrated and violent they’d be if the free world hadn’t applied the pressure necessary to overturn apartheid.

Now apply that to France.

The Western world is, indeed, at risk from importing masses of migrants who are unwilling to assimilate. Again, that much is clear. Still, the lesson to learn from France right now is that assimilation doesn’t happen by accident. To save themselves, the nations and peoples of the West must recover their civilizational self-confidence and must, as a result, make a much greater effort to assimilate their newcomers and their children—economically and culturally. 

Photo: PARIS, FRANCE - OCTOBER 17: Several demonstrators climbed the central Monument to the Republic to display banners and flags as protesters take part in a demonstration at Place de la Republique in Paris, France on October 17, 2026, amid a nationwide mobilization over rising living costs, fuel prices, and education funding. (Photo by Ibrahim Ezzat/Anadolu via Getty Images)
Stephen Soukup is the Director of The Political Forum Institute and the author of The Dictatorship of Woke Capital (Encounter, 2021, 2023)

Source: https://amgreatness.com/2026/10/19/why-france/

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The Truth About US Aid to Israel - Liptin Matthews

 

by Liptin Matthews

Israelis do not feel entitled to American aid, and some of them want it to go.

 

America gives aid to many countries, but only its aid to Israel elicits controversy. The quarrel is odd because Israel is the recipient least suited to the standard case against aid. Foreign aid does not induce economic growth, and a country that depends on it for prosperity is placing its hopes in the wrong place. Israel never made that mistake. Its American aid is military, and it gave up the economic portion on its own initiative in 2008. Its economy has grown strongly since, to the point that U.S. military aid now amounts to about half a percent of GDP. Israel grew while shedding aid, and the argument over what remains is mostly noise.

Much of that noise comes from a mistaken idea of what American aid is. It is not an act of kindness, and the sources make it plain that it forms part of a long-term strategy in which the superpower strengthens its own position by strengthening its allies. Even the defenders of the aid insist that it be judged by American interests alone. A gift made for the giver’s own reasons creates no debt of gratitude, and no country should feel obliged to anyone for receiving it. The only real obligation hides in the conditions. Aid hands Washington leverage over Israeli policy, which narrows Israel’s freedom of action and makes it more sensitive to every shift in American politics. That lever has proved weaker than its critics imagine, since the cut in economic guarantees that America imposed over settlements was limited and ineffective. Still, a recipient that regards aid as a transaction rather than a favor keeps the freedom to walk away.

Israelis appear to understand this better than most, and it is in Israel that the case for reducing the aid is made most openly. Some voices there have argued that the country should stand on its own feet and give up military aid voluntarily, both to protect its independent image and to lessen the chance of American pressure. They point out that the aid is only about 1 percent of GDP and that Israel has already renounced the economic portion. The paper that reports these views treats them as unofficial, yet the debate has since climbed to the top. The prime minister has said he wants the aid reduced gradually over the coming decade, and analysts describe this as a move from technical haggling over the terms of an agreement to a principled argument about security independence and the dangers of prolonged reliance.

He has pictured a future in which assistance gives way to joint work in cyber capabilities, artificial intelligence, missile defense, and directed energy, and Israeli analysts propose a gradual passage from military aid to a business partnership. Even those who would keep the money argue from prudence rather than right. The aid covers about 15 percent of the defense budget, and refusing it would incur a multibillion-dollar cost over a decade. Their case concerns how to manage a dependence, not how to defend an entitlement. Israelis do not feel entitled to American aid, and some of them want it to go.

Egypt and Jordan show how ordinary the arrangement itself is. Egypt is the beneficiary of $1.3 billion in military aid each year, and Jordan receives nearly half a billion. Both are paid for services rendered in support of American policy. Egypt’s aid sustains its peace treaty with Israel and its steadying role in the region, while Jordan’s aid secures its cooperation on security and the fight against terrorism. In both cases, the money buys something Washington wants. Neither draws controversy. The erosion of consensus is peculiar to Israel. It arises among progressives in one party and among the radical wing of the other.

What distinguishes Israel is what America receives in return. The aid works largely as a purchase order placed with American industry. Of the $3.8 billion Israel receives each year, $3.3 billion is foreign military financing and $500 million supports joint missile defense, and nearly all of it is spent in the United States. Israel is the most important foreign operator of the F-35, which it buys from Lockheed Martin’s plant in Fort Worth, and the aircraft’s supply chain stretches across more than forty-five states. The ten-year structure of the aid gives American arms makers steady demand and the financial security to plan long production runs.

Indeed, aid to Israel comes at a cost. Aid deepens Israel’s strategic dependence on the United States and invites the misuse of that dependence. Following America’s concerns about Chinese activity in Israel, Israel set up an advisory committee in late 2019 to review the security implications of foreign investment. The terms also constrain Israel’s own defense industry. Most of its defense needs are met by American suppliers under the aid agreement, and Israel must weigh American wishes before it exports arms, which narrows its markets, an effect that grows as the share of aid convertible into shekels falls from $815 million in 2019 to nothing in 2028. The aid therefore does less than in previous years to bolster Israel’s domestic industry. It also gives Washington a justification for selling advanced weapons to Arab armies, which alters the regional balance. And it leaves Israel exposed to American domestic politics, since some Americans hold that direct military aid makes them partners in responsibility for Israel’s conduct.

The American side of the ledger becomes more favorable still as 2028 approaches. Historically, about 74 percent of Israel’s military financing had to be spent on American goods and services, while the remainder, up to 26 percent, could be spent in Israel’s own defense industry under an arrangement called Offshore Procurement. That exception is being retired, and by 2028 every dollar of foreign military financing must be spent in the United States. The schedule in the 2019–2028 agreement shows the convertible portion shrinking from $815 million in 2019 to $450 million in 2025, to $250 million in each of 2026 and 2027, and to zero in 2028, when the full $3.3 billion goes to American procurement. Additional research agrees that the option to convert aid into shekels is expected to vanish by 2028, leaving the aid channeled almost entirely toward purchases in the United States.

Set against these facts, the controversy looks badly out of scale. The aid comes to $3.8 billion a year, about 0.6 percent of the $649 billion the United States spent on defense in 2018, and for Israel it is about 0.5 percent of GDP. Meanwhile, the structure keeps drifting toward American industrial policy, because by 2028 all of the money will be spent at home. The real question, then, is not whether $3.8 billion is too much to spend on Israel, but whether Washington should continue treating military aid as an instrument of foreign policy when its economic benefits are increasingly directed toward domestic producers. 


Liptin Matthews is a researcher and podcaster. He is a regular contributor to American Greatness. In addition, his work has been featured in Mises, The Federalist, Chronicles, American Thinker, Epoch Times, and other publications. He is also author of Busting African Delusions: Institutions, Human Capital, and the Path to Progress. He can be reached at lo_matthews@yahoo.com.

Source: https://amgreatness.com/2026/10/19/the-truth-about-us-aid-to-israel/

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How Trump’s endorsement of Netanyahu could change Israel’s electoral map - Alex Traiman

 

by Alex Traiman

The U.S. president’s backing may influence more voters than conventional analysis assumes.

 

Trump, Netanyahu
U.S. President Donald Trump welcomes Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to the White House in Washington D.C., April 7, 2025. Photo by Liri Agami/Flash90.

 

President Donald Trump has delivered the endorsement that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu was waiting for—and it could change Israel’s post-election calculations, even if it doesn’t alter many votes.

In an extraordinary Truth Social statement addressed to the “Great People of Israel,” Trump offered his complete backing of Netanyahu. He called him a “Great Warrior Prime Minister” who had been “Strong, Brave, and Brilliant” under intense pressure, concluding: “BIBI NETANYAHU WILL NEVER LET YOU DOWN!”

Yet the most consequential passage concerned Iran. Trump warned that unless Tehran rapidly changes course, “we will soon finish the job.” He then explicitly tied continued cooperation against the Islamic Republic to Netanyahu’s political survival: “If Israel has the wrong Leader, which would be anyone other than Bibi, America will have to do this work ourselves, and I am not inclined to do so,” he wrote.

This is more than a conventional political endorsement. Trump is telling Israelis that, in his judgment, Netanyahu is the indispensable partner for confronting the regime in Tehran during the remaining years of his presidency.

The message carries added weight because Israel’s threat level from Iran is at or near an all-time high. The possibility of another major escalation is not theoretical. Israel and the United States have already fought Iran together twice in little more than a year.

During the closing stage of the Twelve-Day War in June 2025, the United States launched Operation Midnight Hammer against Iran’s nuclear infrastructure. American B-2 stealth bombers struck the deeply buried Fordow enrichment facility with massive bunker-busting bombs, while additional attacks targeted Natanz and Isfahan. Fordow was the target that Israel could not reliably destroy on its own. Trump supplied the unique American capability needed to reach it.

Then, on Feb. 28, 2026, American and Israeli aircraft again flew into battle against Iran in parallel operations. Washington called its campaign Operation Epic Fury, while Israel designated its component Operation Roaring Lion. U.S. and Israeli forces attacked Iranian nuclear, ballistic-missile, air-defense, naval and regime targets. The White House described Epic Fury as a campaign conducted “in partnership with regional allies” to eliminate Iran’s nuclear threat and cripple its military capabilities.

In other words, the Netanyahu-Trump partnership has already moved beyond intelligence coordination, diplomatic support and defensive interception. Israeli and American forces have attacked the same enemy during the same campaigns.

Shortly after the announcement, a Senior Israeli official told JNS, “There has never been greater cooperation and coordination between an American wartime President and an Israeli wartime Prime Minister. Trump and Netanyahu are an epic tag team who have achieved unprecedented achievements in war and peace. That has, of course, translated into unprecedented cooperation between our great armed forces.”

Nor does Trump appear to believe the confrontation is over. At an Oct. 13 campaign rally in Alaska, he warned: “Wait till you see what we do to Iran,” adding, “We’ve sort of had it. You know, we’ve had it.”

Days earlier, Trump said that the United States would not resume strikes before the Nov. 3 midterm elections, while leaving open the possibility of renewed military action afterward. Meanwhile, there are media reports that Trump continues to regard post-election escalation as a viable option.

Against that background, Trump’s endorsement is not simply about personal loyalty; it is about who will sit across from him when the next decision on Iran must be made.

The timing nevertheless makes the statement striking. Trump had repeatedly declined opportunities to endorse Netanyahu. In August, he said, “I think it’s most appropriate for me to stay out of Israeli elections, but I may endorse somebody.”

On Oct. 14, asked whether he would back a candidate, he replied, “We haven’t even thought about it,” before adding, “I may be doing something.”

Two days later, when Newsmax asked whether he trusted Netanyahu, Trump answered: “I don’t trust anybody, honestly. In the world of politics, I don’t trust anybody.” He nevertheless described their relationship as “very good” and their cooperation against Iran as successful.

Trump has now moved from studied ambiguity to the strongest endorsement he could plausibly give. The immediate question is how many Israeli votes it will move.

For voters focused primarily on domestic issues, the endorsement may make little difference. Israelis have formed strong opinions about Netanyahu over decades, and one statement—even from an American president—will not erase concerns about the cost of living, military service, judicial reform or the failures surrounding the Hamas massacre of Oct. 7, 2023.

But another group of voters will see the election through a very different lens. For them, Israel’s relationship with Trump is the election’s most important issue, and preventing Iran from recovering its nuclear and ballistic-missile capabilities is an existential necessity. These voters will ask not merely which candidate they prefer, but which Israeli leader is most likely to secure American diplomatic, military and operational support when the next confrontation begins.

On those two questions, Trump has made Netanyahu the clear choice.

The United States remains the only country capable of providing Israel with certain strategic weapons, diplomatic protection and long-range military capabilities. Trump has now said publicly that Netanyahu is the Israeli leader he wants as his partner.

“Israel is America’s model ally, and America is Israel’s indispensable ally. Iran and its proxies are weaker than ever, and the American-Israeli alliance is stronger than ever,” the Senior Israeli official added.

An Israeli government led by Gadi Eisenkot might ultimately establish an effective relationship with Washington, but voters would be taking that on faith. Netanyahu already has a record of planning, coordinating and conducting operations against Iran alongside Trump.

The endorsement could therefore influence undecided right-wing voters, former Likud voters considering other parties and security-minded centrists who may have serious reservations about Netanyahu but regard Iran as the overriding issue. It also confronts potential protest voters with a stark calculation: Is replacing Netanyahu worth risking uncertainty in Israel’s most important foreign relationship at the moment when the Iranian campaign may enter its decisive stage?

If voters believe Israel must finish dismantling Iran’s nuclear threat—and that doing so may require another joint campaign with the United States—then Netanyahu can now argue that changing prime ministers means changing commanders in the middle of an unfinished war.

But the endorsement’s greater significance may still emerge after the ballots are counted. Current coalition arithmetic suggests that neither Netanyahu’s bloc nor the opposition is guaranteed the 61 Knesset seats required to govern. Israel has seen this before.

The third election of the previous political deadlock was held on March 2, 2020. Netanyahu’s right-wing bloc won 58 seats—three short of a majority—while Benny Gantz secured recommendations from 61 lawmakers and received the mandate to form a government.

Gantz and the anti-Netanyahu parties initially moved to take control of the Knesset. They sought to replace Speaker Yuli Edelstein, secure control of parliamentary committees and advance legislation that could have prevented an indicted lawmaker from forming a government. After the High Court ordered a vote on the speakership, Edelstein resigned on March 25 rather than convene it.

As Israeli politics was playing itself out, COVID19 became an epic global crisis. And it transformed Israel’s political landscape. Israel suddenly required unity amidst the uncertainty of a worldwide pandemic, and having a seasoned diplomat like Netanyahu at the helm took on even greater importance.

On March 26, Gantz reversed course and opted to pursue a unity government with a rotation agreement between the two political adversaries. Gantz was elected Knesset speaker with Likud support, splitting his Blue and White alliance. He said that “unusual times” required “unusual decisions,” opening negotiations with Netanyahu rather than continuing the opposition’s attempt to dislodge him.

Netanyahu and Gantz signed their emergency unity agreement on April 20. Their government was sworn in on May 17, with Netanyahu due to serve as prime minister for 18 months before rotating the position to Gantz. Ultimately, the transfer never occurred, as Netanyahu opted for early elections over implementing the rotation. The Knesset dissolved automatically on Dec. 23 after the coalition failed to pass a state budget, triggering a fourth election.

Yet that history, amid a crisis that transcends politics, may provide a model for what follows the present election. Clearly, Trump wants Israeli voters to know that he prefers that Netanyahu remain at the helm. Netanyahu’s most likely and preferred path to remain in office is with a rerun of the members of his current coalition.

While left-wing media project Netanyahu falling far short of a majority, right-wing media are projecting him and his partners as garnering enough votes to install a fresh right-wing coalition. Netanyahu likely hopes that Trump’s endorsement is the final piece that convinces voters that another term is Israel’s best electoral outcome.

Yet, if the result is another stalemate, Trump’s endorsement could make it harder for opposition leaders simply to exclude Netanyahu. With the Iranian threat unresolved and Trump remaining in office for more than two years, a unity or rotation agreement could allow Netanyahu to lead during the Trump years and another candidate—potentially Eisenkot—to take over afterward.

Trump’s endorsement may influence more voters than conventional analysis assumes. More importantly, it could determine how Israel’s leaders negotiate on the morning after.

According to the Senior Israeli official, “We have two years of Trump-Netanyahu to win the war and win the peace.”


Alex Traiman is the CEO and Jerusalem bureau chief of the Jerusalem News Syndicate (JNS) and host of “Jerusalem Minute.” A seasoned Israeli journalist, documentary filmmaker and startup consultant, he is an expert on Israeli politics and U.S.-Israel relations. He has interviewed top political figures, including Israeli leaders, U.S. senators and national security officials with insights featured on major networks like BBC, Bloomberg, CBS, NBC, Fox and Newsmax. A former NCAA champion fencer and Yeshiva University Sports Hall of Fame member, he made aliyah in 2004, and lives in Jerusalem with his wife and five children.

Source: https://www.jns.org/analysis/how-trumps-endorsement-of-netanyahu-could-change-israels-electoral-map

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Trump border enforcement cuts fiscal, criminal costs of illegal migration that amnesty would restore - Amanda Head

 

by Amanda Head

The nation has recently seen measurable fiscal and public-safety dividends already accruing from sustained zero-release months and large-scale removals, set against socialist polices projected to cost billions to trillions. In addition, more than 157,000 migrant children previously unaccounted for under the Biden administration have been located.

 

New data appear to show that President Donald Trump’s border policies are producing a dual return that is now measurable in both lower crime and lower projected taxpayer costs, as a Council of Economic Advisers analysis warns that Democratic proposals for mass amnesty would reverse those gains and impose $49 trillion in new burdens over a decade.

The report titled, “The Real Cost of Socialism in America," examines the policy touted by the Democratic Socialists of America, and details the costs for American taxpayers associated with the far-left platform.

By contrast, under Trump, the nation has seen measurable fiscal and public-safety dividends already accruing from sustained zero-release months and large-scale removals, set against the specific new spending the CEA projects if amnesty and expanded benefits proceed. 

More than 3 million illegal immigrants have left the United States since 2025

Southwest border apprehensions in August were 94 percent below the monthly average under the prior administration, and U.S. Customs and Border Protection has recorded 16 consecutive months with zero illegal immigrants allowed into the country. 

More than 3 million illegal immigrants have left the United States since President Trump returned to office; the Department of Homeland Security earlier estimated that 2.5 million departures would, if the pace held through 2029, reduce the federal spending burden by $26.7 billion to $33.7 billion a year.

That reduction sits against the CEA’s baseline finding that the lifetime net cost of each illegal immigrant is $166,716, or $1.4 trillion to $1.9 trillion in total under current conditions. 

The same analysis states that Democratic Socialists of America-aligned proposals for free healthcare and broader program access would drive sharp new annual costs: SNAP benefits rising $3.6 billion to $4.7 billion, HUD housing assistance $2.3 billion to $3 billion, and Medicaid $30 billion to $40 billion. 

Together those three programs would add $36 billion to $47 billion in federal spending each year, or $361 billion to $475 billion over ten years. The full suite of such policies, the CEA calculates, would reach $49 trillion—more than $350,000 per household—over the decade.

Enforcement in the homeland

Interior enforcement has moved in parallel. ICE has arrested more than 10,000 gang members and more than 2,100 known or suspected terrorists during the second term while roughly doubling its officers and agents from 10,000 to 22,000. Seven of the ten safest U.S. cities now cooperate with ICE. The Laken Riley Act, signed by President Trump, requires detention of illegal immigrants charged with specified violent crimes. 

Temporary Protected Status has been returned to its original temporary character, and the State Department has paused immigrant visa processing for 75 countries whose nationals draw welfare at high rates. More than 157,000 migrant children previously unaccounted for under the Biden administration have been located. DHS conducted more than 206 million benefits-eligibility checks in 2025 to keep programs reserved for citizens.

Cartel and gang-related crime takes a hit

The same operational tempo produced the largest federal campaign against transnational crime in U.S. history. Homeland Security Task Forces launched in 2025 by the White House, DHS, and the Department of Justice targeted embedded networks, particularly Tren de Aragua gang members who entered during earlier high-crossing periods. 

Between Jan. 20, 2025, and Oct. 8, 2026, authorities arrested 1,296 Tren de Aragua members and charged nearly 350 with federal crimes, according to previously unreleased task-force data reported by the Washington Examiner. 

Administration officials link the nationwide decline in violent crime rates in part to the removal of these foreign gang members. CBP has seized 73 percent more drugs this fiscal year through August than in the same period of fiscal 2024, coinciding with fewer Americans dying from fentanyl overdoses.

Additionally, the Working Families Tax Cuts package supplied the largest-ever investment in border security, and the subsequent Secure America Act provided multi-year funding for agents, limiting later attempts to reduce enforcement. 

Officials describe the present border as the most secure in history and argue that continued removals of criminal aliens, sustained zero-release months, and the dismantling of networks such as Tren de Aragua protect both public safety and the fiscal position of taxpayers.

Potential effects, costs of Democratic Party proposals

Democrats have called for ending large-scale deportations, reopening border processing, and granting broad legal status, effectively returning it to it’s condition under Biden. The CEA analysis indicates those steps would reverse recent spending reductions and expand eligibility for major benefit programs. 

The resulting choice, administration officials proffer, is whether to continue the combination of interdiction, interior enforcement, and benefit safeguards that is already shrinking both crime and projected costs, or to adopt measures projected to add trillions in net burdens while increasing the population eligible for federal services.

 

 Amanda Head is White House Correspondent for Just the News. You can follow her here.  

Source: https://justthenews.com/politics-policy/immigration-gangs-tren

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Investigators may have 'strong case' for immigration fraud against Rep. Omar, border czar Homan says - Kevin Killough

 

by Kevin Killough

The federal investigation is looking into allegations that Omar or her father lied about her birth year on immigration paperwork to obtain her citizenship when her family fled Somalia in the late 1990s.

 

White House border czar Tom Homan said federal authorities have a "strong case" in their investigation into Rep. Ilhan Omar, D-Minn., concerning allegations of immigration fraud. 

Homan told Fox News' "The Big Weekend Show" on Saturday that if Omar violated the law, she could be deported. 

"Of course, if you lie during the naturalization process, there is a process to denaturalize somebody. We've done it before," Homan said. 

The federal investigation is looking into allegations that Omar or her father lied about her birth year on immigration paperwork to obtain her citizenship when her family fled Somalia in the late 1990s. 

Homan said that he didn't want to "get ahead" of the FBI and Homeland Security Investigations probe, but he's been told have a "strong case" in the matter. 

"We'll let the evidence lead where it leads," he said.  


Kevin Killough

Source: https://justthenews.com/government/federal-agencies/investigators-may-have-strong-case-immigration-fraud-against-rep-omar

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Trump deals with Russia in hopes of bringing down diesel prices, but experts question the plan - Kevin Killough

 

by Kevin Killough

Trump is hoping that increasing Russian exports of diesel will address fuel prices, but experts say the globe needs a lot more than Russia can supply. Until conflicts in Ukraine and Iran are resolved, the market will be under supplied, they say.

 

President Donald Trump announced on Friday that he is suspending sanctions against Russian diesel exports, which he said would allow the country to put more diesel on the global market. 

With the midterm elections approaching, the pressure from voters dissatisfied with high fuel prices is growing, and Trump is hoping the release of Russian diesel will help bring down prices — or at the very least give voters a sense that the issue is getting attention. 

Experts, however, say that the amount will provide only a small, temporary relief to fuel costs, and it won’t address the long-term causes of the problem. 

“I think there will be some impact, but it's not going to be any kind of panacea for the problem,” energy analyst David Blackmon told Just the News. 

Tons of diesel

Trump announced the agreement on Truth Social, saying that he had concluded a “highly successful” discussion with Russian President Vladimir Putin. Under the agreement, Russia would send 2.25 million barrels of diesel to U.S. and global markets. Another 500,000 tons would be supplied in November, and a further 1 million tons would come “immediately thereafter.” 

Based on the condition of Russian refineries, Trump continued, they will supply “within a short period of time” 3,000,000 tons of diesel. 

“Between our TOTAL CONTROL of the Strait of Hormuz, and this great announcement on Russian Energy, Diesel Prices for Americans and, indeed, the World, will be COMING DOWN, IN RECORD NUMBERS, AND FAST! Lower prices for Americans, especially our Great Farmers, Ranchers, and Truckers, is my Greatest Priority. ” Trump said. 

Trump also recently brokered an “energy ceasefire” between Russia and Ukraine, but since then, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky accused Russia of violating the agreement by attacking Ukraine’s energy grid, and Ukraine resumed attacks on Russia’s refineries. 

Market and Congressional response 

Diesel futures after Trump announced the lifting of sanctions against Russia suggest that markets are doubting the impact of the deal. U.S. diesel futures were up 5% by midday Tuesday following the announcement, and European futures increased approximately 3.8%, NBC News reported. 

U.S. diesel prices were at $6.32 per gallon Thursday, up from $6.29 per gallon a week earlier and up from $3.66 per gallon the previous year, according to AAA. 

Trump's plan has also received bipartisan criticism from lawmakers. The same day Trump announced the deal, several Republican and Democratic senators warned that the plan violates the 2022 Ending Importation of Russian Oil Act, which banned imports of Russian energy products, ABC News reported. 

The law allows the president to lift the ban under certain conditions, but only with congressional review of the justifications. Trump had not presented the plan to Congress prior to the announcement. 

Trump has nevertheless stood by the plan, pointing out that Europe has previously purchased energy products from Russia. 

“The European Union paid Russia 250 Billion Dollars for Energy, and the Fake News Media doesn’t want to get near that story. I made the right choice for the American People — ALWAYS, AMERICA FIRST!” Trump said in a post on Truth Social. 

A dozen senators on Wednesday sent a letter to the White House, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Secretary of State Marco Rubio arguing that the deal struck with Russia will not achieve “just ends, nor will it benefit Americans.”

They warned that the deal would help Putin finance his war against Ukraine and will undermine American security interests. 

Energy Secretary Chris Wright said Sunday the deal with Russia is an “incentive” for Moscow to “reduce” its war in Ukraine, amid failed efforts thus far to end its 4-plus year-long conflict with Ukraine.

“This is a carrot to try to end a war. It’s not an economic lifeline for Russia,” Wright said on ABC’s “This Week.”

Fixed global market

In a video on X, energy expert Robert Bryce outlined reasons why he doubts the deal will not produce the outcomes Trump is expecting. Purchasing diesel from Russia, Bryce argued, doesn’t increase the overall supply. To increase the supply, Bryce explained, the globe must increase refining capacity. Russia’s capacity is being impacted by drone strikes from Ukraine. 

“The amount of diesel fuel on the global market is fixed,” Bryce said. 

He also said that the amount Russia can supply won’t be enough to have a major impact. Should the total expected diesel be delivered from Russia, it amounts to a single day of global diesel consumption, he said. 

Bryce also pointed out the geopolitical implications of the deal. The fuel is worth about $7 billion, which means an American company would have to be comfortable providing those revenues to Russia, which would then fund its war against Ukraine. Russia is also a supporter of Iran in its conflict with the U.S. and Israel. 

“The bottom line is there’s no art to this deal,” he said.

When a reporter asked Trump on Tuesday about the possibility of the revenues from the diesel sale going to support Russia’s conflicts, including it latest with Ukraine that stared in February with Ukraine, Trump said that the diesel released will go to the world market and not just the U.S. 

“That's not being released to us," he said, referring to the Ukrainian attacks on Russia’s refining infrastructure. The most recent was a massive drone attack overnight Sunday on a major oil terminal in St. Petersburg and a data center, knocking out power to thousands of residents, killing five and causing fires.

That's a diesel deal that’s going to be released into the world for the world market, because the world market suffers from high prices. And when you knock down diesel refineries, that’s not a great thing.” 

Longer-term addresses 

Blackmon argues in his “Energy Additions” Substack that until the causes of the high prices are addressed, prices won’t come down. These include the refining shortage from the strikes on Russian refineries, the disruptions to oil supply stemming from the conflict in Iran, and the inability to expand refining capacity in the U.S. 

John Hardie, deputy director of the Russia Program at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies, a foreign-policy think tank, told Just the News that Ukraine is willing to end its attacks on Russian refineries. It just requires Moscow to agree to end attacks on Ukraine’s energy infrastructure. 

“If Trump really wants to get significant volumes of Russian diesel back on the market, he needs to get Putin to agree to the energy truce,” Hardie said. 

Blackmon said in an interview that it can take over a decade to permit and build a new refinery in the U.S., and it requires tens of billions of dollars in capital. "The regulatory uncertainty involved in permitting fossil fuel projects makes any investment highly risky,” he said. 

“Are investors going to be willing to risk billions of dollars to build a refinery in such an unstable world?," he asked. "That's questionable. And even if they do decide to finance them, it's years down the road. So my belief is we're stuck in a higher price paradigm for diesel going forward for quite some time." 


Kevin Killough

Source: https://justthenews.com/politics-policy/energy/trump-deals-russia-hopes-bringing-down-diesel-prices-experts-question-plan

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Al-Sharaa’s Yemen gambit: Syria wants to sell security, not just buy aid - Eyal Dror

 

by Eyal Dror

Even without deploying troops, Damascus could gain leverage. Israel should closely and carefully watch the army it builds.

 

Syria's President Ahmed al-Sharaa speaks during the inauguration ceremony of the 63rd edition of the Damascus International Fair in the capital of Syria, Aug. 26, 2026. Photo by Bakr Alkasem/AFP via Getty Images.
Syria’s President Ahmed al-Sharaa speaks during the inauguration ceremony of the 63rd edition of the Damascus International Fair in the capital of Syria, Aug. 26, 2026. Photo by Bakr Alkasem/AFP via Getty Images.

For more than a decade, Syria was the arena where other countries’ armies fought. Now, Damascus is weighing whether to send its own soldiers to fight someone else’s war.

Syria is considering deploying 10,000 to 20,000 troops to Yemen to reinforce Saudi-backed forces against the Iranian-backed Houthis, Axios’s Barak Ravid reported on Oct. 7. The idea reportedly came up when Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman hosted Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa in Riyadh, as Saudi-backed Yemeni forces launched a major ground offensive to retake Houthi-held territory. Both governments reportedly consulted the Trump administration, which is not opposed in principle, and U.S. Central Command has been consulted on how such a deployment might work.

Damascus has pushed back. Ahmad Zaidan, al-Sharaa’s media adviser, called reports of a Saudi request “a lie.” Syria’s Foreign Media Department said the country “was focused on stability, not opening new fronts.” Such denials deserve serious consideration. But public statements rarely capture everything discussed behind closed doors, and a denial is not, by itself, evidence of a secret deal either.

At first glance, Syrian participation would serve an interest shared by Saudi Arabia, the United States and Israel: weakening an Iranian proxy that has struck Saudi airports, attacked the Jewish state and threatened shipping through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait. But for Israel, the more consequential story may not be what happens in Yemen. It is what the episode reveals about Syria’s ambitions and the army that al-Sharaa is building.

‘A provider of security’

Since the fall of the Bashar Assad regime in December 2024, al-Sharaa—a former jihadist commander—has worked to establish himself as Syria’s legitimate leader. His priorities are rebuilding a devastated economy, attracting foreign investment, returning Syria to the international community and reducing its dependence on patrons such as Turkey.

Saudi Arabia has been central to that effort. Mohammed bin Salman helped open doors for al-Sharaa in Washington, and Riyadh has become a major partner in Syria’s reconstruction. Until now, however, the relationship has largely centered on what Syria needed from Saudi Arabia. A Yemen deployment could change that equation. Instead of requesting investment and diplomatic support, al-Sharaa could offer something of his own: military manpower in a war Riyadh wants to win.

That may be the real significance of the episode. Al-Sharaa appears to be positioning Syria as a provider of security, rather than merely a recipient of assistance, and a country that provides security negotiates from a stronger position. Paradoxically, he may not need to deploy anyone to benefit. The mere perception that Riyadh sees Syrian troops as a useful military asset raises his standing. He might gain much of what he wants without a single soldier ever reaching Yemen.

It would be tempting to read the episode as Syria moving closer to Saudi Arabia at Turkey’s expense. That would miss a broader pattern. As I have argued previously, al-Sharaa seeks diverse partnerships, not a new patron. Turkish backing, Saudi investment and dialogue with Washington need not be mutually exclusive.

The clearest evidence came in August, when Foreign Minister Asaad al-Shaibani said that Damascus was considering joining the Mecca Joint Defense Agreement, the collective-defense framework linking Saudi Arabia, Turkey and Pakistan, under which an attack on one member is considered an attack on all. Turkey and Pakistan have pledged military support to Saudi Arabia under the pact, although Ankara has ruled out participating in offensive operations.

A view of the Israeli-Syrian border in the Golan Heights in northern Israel, Sept. 24, 2026. Photo by Ayal Margolin/Flash90.
A view of the Israeli-Syrian border in the Golan Heights in northern Israel, Sept. 24, 2026. Photo by Ayal Margolin/Flash90.
Ayal Margolin

Joining an arrangement that includes both Ankara and Riyadh would let al-Sharaa integrate into a wider regional security structure instead of choosing between competing partners. Seen this way, troops for Yemen could serve as Syria’s entry ticket.

Yet the strategy contains a contradiction. The deeper Syria becomes involved in collective-defense commitments, the greater the risk of being drawn into wars unrelated to its own interests. Alliances meant to expand al-Sharaa’s freedom of action could end up restricting it.

The military risks are just as serious. Al-Sharaa is still trying to forge a national army from former rebel factions, militias and foreign fighters with different backgrounds and loyalties. Discipline, reliable command, common training and institutional loyalty remain works in progress. Sending thousands of soldiers into a distant campaign against an experienced adversary skilled in guerrilla warfare, missiles and drones could expose those weaknesses while Syria still faces sectarian tensions and enormous reconstruction needs at home.

‘The picture is mixed’

The composition of the force matters even more. According to Axios, the units under consideration are the 90th Division, based near Damascus, and the 84th Division, based near Sweida. The 84th includes thousands of Islamist foreign fighters who fought under the Hayat Tahrir al-Sham umbrella during the civil war. Sending them against the Shi’ite Houthis could make the deployment look less like a national army on a state mission and more like Sunni jihadists exported to a sectarian war.

That is precisely the image al-Sharaa has worked to shed and one that would deepen fears among Syria’s own minorities—from Alawites to Druze—about the army he is building. A deployment would therefore be more than a favor to Riyadh. It would be the first real test of whether al-Sharaa can use his new army beyond Syria’s borders without undermining stability at home.

Turkish backing, Saudi investment and dialogue with Washington need not be mutually exclusive.

For Israel, the picture is mixed. Weakening the Houthis is clearly in Israel’s interest; the movement has fired missiles and drones at Israel, and disrupted Red Sea shipping. Closer Syrian ties with Riyadh and Washington could also give both capitals more leverage over Damascus. Having invested heavily in Syria’s recovery, Saudi Arabia would gain both the motive and the means to restrain Syrian moves that risk a confrontation with Israel.

There is also a more immediate consideration. A deployment involving elements of the 84th Division could temporarily reduce the presence of Islamist fighters in southern Syria, where Israel has intervened militarily amid threats to the Druze community. But units that return from Yemen would come home with combat experience and with new foreign partners.

That points to two longer-term risks.

The first is military. Fighting alongside Saudi and Yemeni forces could expose Syrian units to more advanced methods of warfare, operational intelligence, command-and-control systems and logistics. Training, equipment and sustained cooperation could accelerate the development of Syria’s armed forces. For Israel, the question is not only how the Syrian army performs today, but what it could do in five or 10 years.

The second risk is diplomatic. A Syrian president fighting an Iranian proxy alongside key U.S. regional partners could gain a new measure of international acceptance. That legitimacy has consequences. As Damascus becomes more closely tied to influential regional players, the diplomatic cost of Israeli military operations on Syrian territory could increase, even when Jerusalem considers them essential to protecting its northern border.

None of this means that stronger Syrian-Saudi ties should automatically be seen as a threat. What matters is the nature of the partnership, the capabilities transferred through it and the commitments Damascus assumes.

Syria is trying to move from dependence on foreign aid to a seat in the emerging regional security order. Israel should judge that transformation not by the enemies Syria offers to fight, but by the capabilities it develops, the alliances it builds and the freedom of action it retains.

The decisive question is not whether al-Sharaa sends troops to Yemen. It’s what kind of Syria emerges from the partnerships he is building and what that Syria will mean for Israel when their interests no longer align. 


Eyal Dror lives with his family in Kibbutz Dafna, a northern Israeli border community near Lebanon. He has served in the Israel Defense Forces for more than 30 years and is an active reserve officer in the Golan Division. He previously founded and commanded “Operation Good Neighbor” on the Israeli-Syrian border. Author of Embracing the Enemy: The Inside Story of Israel’s Secret Humanitarian Mission to Rescue Syrian Civilians From Civil War, he lectures in Israel and abroad on security, the Middle East, humanitarian aid, leadership and communal resilience.

Source: https://www.jns.org/opinion/eyal-dror/al-sharaas-yemen-gambit-syria-wants-to-sell-security-not-just-buy-aid

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At least 18 killed in Houthi attack on Yemeni government training camp in Shabwa, sources say - Reuters

 

by Reuters

The people from the government, who spoke on condition of anonymity, said the Houthis launched three ballistic missiles at security forces during a training exercise.

 

Fighters loyal to the Houthi authorities, brandish their weapons during a rally to recruit more fighters, in Sanaa on September 10, 2026.
Fighters loyal to the Houthi authorities, brandish their weapons during a rally to recruit more fighters, in Sanaa on September 10, 2026.
(photo credit: Mohammed HUWAIS / AFP via Getty Images)

 

At least 18 people were killed in an attack on Monday by the Iran-aligned Houthis on a government security forces training camp in Yemen's Shabwa province, four government and medical sources told Reuters, as fighting in the impoverished country intensifies.

The Houthis and the internationally recognized government, which is backed by a Saudi-led coalition, have been trading attacks since the group advanced in September towards territory near the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, a shipping chokepoint at the mouth of the Red Sea.

The people from the government, who spoke on condition of anonymity, said the Houthis launched three ballistic missiles at security forces during a training exercise. Shabwa is an energy-rich province in coastal south-central Yemen.

Houthi strike on Saudi forces. 

Government forces this month began a campaign aimed at recapturing areas controlled by the Houthis, recovering ground near the strait, while the group besieges Taiz, the last major urban stronghold of anti-Houthi forces in the southern highland area of Yemen.

Yemen conflict becoming another front of war on Iran

The conflict in Yemen has become another front line in the wider US-Israeli war on Iran as the Houthis have escalated their attacks on Saudi Arabia, the world's largest crude exporter, targeting Riyadh's international airport and the state oil company Saudi Aramco.

War broke out in Yemen in 2014 when the Houthis seized the capital Sanaa, driving the government south. A Saudi-led military intervention the following year led to a bloody stalemate until the sides agreed to a 2022 truce that held until this year.

Yemen is already one of the world's worst humanitarian crises, with aid agencies warning of rapidly deteriorating conditions there.


Reuters

Source: https://www.jpost.com/middle-east/article-912164

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Kushner Had the Abraham Accords. Boulos Has the Photo Ops. Where Is the Peace? - Robert Williams

 

by Robert Williams

Diplomacy must distinguish between temporary contacts and legitimizing forces that threaten long-term security.

 

  • Six years later, despite regional wars, those relationships [of the Abraham Accords] endure. The Abraham Accords produced something more valuable than a ceremony: a measurable change in relations between states. That is the standard by which presidential advisers should be judged.

  • Consider Sudan. Its war between Abdel Fattah al-Burhan's regime-aligned Sudan Armed Forces (SAF) and Hemedti's Rapid Support Forces (RSF) has killed and displaced civilians on a staggering scale.

  • Washington sanctioned both commanders, accused the RSF of genocide and the SAF of committing war crimes, and determined that the regime's forces had used chemical weapons. [Senior Advisor to the President for Arab and African Affairs Massad] Boulos has promoted a 90-day humanitarian ceasefire; no durable ceasefire has emerged.

  • Does Boulos have a strategy to prevent Sudan's Red Sea coastline from becoming another arena of Iranian influence? The United States cannot afford an approach that treats every armed faction as an equally acceptable partner simply because each controls territory. Diplomacy must distinguish between temporary contacts and legitimizing forces that threaten long-term security.

  • The reported American proposal [in Libya] envisages a power-sharing arrangement between the Haftar and Dbeibah families, alongside the unification of state institutions and opportunities for American investment in Libya's energy sector.

  • Washington, however, must confront a more fundamental question: How can a genuine national unity government emerge in Libya when one of the negotiating parties operates within a political environment deeply entangled with armed militias, Muslim Brotherhood-linked networks and hardline Islamist factions?

  • [T]he underlying problem remains: Who would actually exercise power inside a supposedly unified Libyan government?

  • Would Washington be helping establish a sovereign state with a unified national army, accountable institutions and civilian authority? Or would it be legitimizing an arrangement in which entrenched political families divide state resources while armed factions and Islamist networks retain influence behind the scenes?

  • How... can [President Trump's] own representatives pursue deals that risk preserving the influence of armed Islamist networks while the president promises to confront them?

  • In Sudan, Yemen and Libya, American national security is too important for strategic ambiguity masquerading as balance.

  • Trump does not need an envoy whose chief asset is proximity to presidential power. He needs results consistent with his stated strategy: stronger allies, weaker terrorist networks, less Iranian influence and durable peace.

  • Kushner had the Abraham Accords. What will Boulos leave behind? The photograph should document a victory — not substitute for one.

Jared Kushner had the Abraham Accords. What will Massad Boulos (Senior Advisor to the President for Arab and African Affairs) leave behind? The photograph should document a victory — not substitute for one. Pictured: Boulos gives a statement as he arrives to attend the Sudan Conference in Berlin, Germany on April 15, 2026. (Photo by Odd Andersen/AFP via Getty Images)

Two Trump family advisers received extraordinary access to presidential power. One helped change the Middle East. What has the other changed?

On September 15, 2020, US President Donald J. Trump hosted the signing of the Abraham Accords. The United Arab Emirates and Bahrain normalized relations with Israel; Morocco followed. Jared Kushner helped translate a strategic opening into diplomatic recognition, trade and security cooperation. Six years later, despite regional wars, those relationships endure. The Abraham Accords produced something more valuable than a ceremony: a measurable change in relations between states. That is the standard by which presidential advisers should be judged.

Kushner had a recognizable professional identity long before marrying Ivanka Trump in 2009. He was active in real estate and had acquired The New York Observer in 2006. He was not a trained diplomat, but his public record was identifiable.

What comparable record did Massad Boulos (Senior Advisor to the President for Arab and African Affairs) possess before his son married Tiffany Trump? He worked in business in Nigeria, maintained Lebanese political connections. None is evidence of experience ending civil wars. In 2024, journalistic investigations also questioned widely repeated descriptions of Boulos as a billionaire lawyer commanding a vast business empire; he and Trump's team disputed the criticism. Yet a more consequential question remains: Why was someone with no established record of resolving international conflicts entrusted with Sudan, Congo and Libya?

Consider Sudan. Its war between Abdel Fattah al-Burhan's regime-aligned Sudan Armed Forces (SAF) and Hemedti's Rapid Support Forces (RSF) has killed and displaced civilians on a staggering scale.

Washington sanctioned both commanders, accused the RSF of genocide and the SAF of committing war crimes, and determined that the regime's forces had used chemical weapons. Boulos has promoted a 90-day humanitarian ceasefire; no durable ceasefire has emerged.

The Sudan conflict also reaches far beyond the country's borders. Iranian-made drones have strengthened the SAF. In March 2026, Washington designated the SAF-allied Sudanese Muslim Brotherhood a Foreign Terrorist Organization due to its violence against civilians and the support it receives from Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps.

Iran's support for Yemen's Houthis has already exposed how militants can threaten Red Sea shipping.

Does Boulos have a strategy to prevent Sudan's Red Sea coastline from becoming another arena of Iranian influence? The United States cannot afford an approach that treats every armed faction as an equally acceptable partner simply because each controls territory. Diplomacy must distinguish between temporary contacts and legitimizing forces that threaten long-term security.

Libya raises an equally serious question about the direction of American diplomacy. Boulos has pursued negotiations aimed at reconciling the rival authorities associated with Khalifa Haftar in eastern Libya and Abdul Hamid Dbeibah in Tripoli.

The reported American proposal envisages a power-sharing arrangement between the Haftar and Dbeibah families, alongside the unification of state institutions and opportunities for American investment in Libya's energy sector.

Washington, however, must confront a more fundamental question: How can a genuine national unity government emerge in Libya when one of the negotiating parties operates within a political environment deeply entangled with armed militias, Muslim Brotherhood-linked networks and hardline Islamist factions?

The influence of these networks in western Libya cannot simply be ignored. Dbeibah's administration has depended on shifting alliances with powerful armed groups, while political figures associated with the Muslim Brotherhood have maintained connections within Libya's fragmented power structure. Their relationships may be complicated and sometimes adversarial, but the underlying problem remains: Who would actually exercise power inside a supposedly unified Libyan government?

Would Washington be helping establish a sovereign state with a unified national army, accountable institutions and civilian authority? Or would it be legitimizing an arrangement in which entrenched political families divide state resources while armed factions and Islamist networks retain influence behind the scenes?

A government of national unity cannot succeed if it merely unites the political elites while leaving the forces that divided the country untouched.

Trump has repeatedly confronted Iran and his administration has formally designated specific Muslim Brotherhood branches accused of supporting terrorism.

How, then, can his own representatives pursue deals that risk preserving the influence of armed Islamist networks while the president promises to confront them?

In Sudan, Yemen and Libya, American national security is too important for strategic ambiguity masquerading as balance.

Trump does not need an envoy whose chief asset is proximity to presidential power. He needs results consistent with his stated strategy: stronger allies, weaker terrorist networks, less Iranian influence and durable peace.

Kushner had the Abraham Accords. What will Boulos leave behind? The photograph should document a victory — not substitute for one.


Robert Williams is based in the United States.

Source: https://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/22926/kushner-boulos

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