by Yoav Limor
In an exclusive interview with Israel Hayom, GOC Southern Command Maj. Gen. Sami Turgeman says Israel is preparing for every scenario in Gaza and Egypt • He warns that the turmoil in Sinai may create a new security reality along the southern borders.
GOC Southern Command Maj.
Gen. Sami Turgeman
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Photo credit: Ziv Koren  |
The growing possibility of a U.S.-led strike
against Syria over President Bashar Assad's use of chemical weapons
against civilians has caused the global spotlight to veer from the drama
taking place in Egypt. The events in Cairo may no longer take center
stage, but none of the problems plaguing Israel's southern border have
been resolved. On the contrary.
Egypt seems to have lost what little control
it had on Sinai, where terror attacks against Cairo's forces now take
place on a daily basis, and the Gaza Strip-based terror groups continue
to attack Israel, albeit less tenaciously.
The Israel Defense Forces is on double duty in
the southern sector, as it works to both maintain the peace treaty with
Egypt and deter Gaza's terror groups. The troops deployed in the south
face three major and constant threats: Gazan rocket fire on Tel Aviv and
Sinai fire on Eilat; potential terror attacks against civilians and
security forces along the southern borders; and perhaps the greatest
threat of all -- the loss of strategic relations with Egypt.
Risk management in the southern sector seems
endless. In an exclusive interview with Israel Hayom, GOC Southern
Command Maj. Gen. Sami Turgeman says that Israel is preparing for the
possibility that the turmoil in Egypt will create a new reality along
the borders, saying that since 2012's Operation Pillar of Defense,
Gaza-based terror groups have increased their ability to target central
Israel.
"The IDF's main enemy in the south are
Gaza-based terrorists, from both Hamas and the Islamic Jihad, which are
just waiting for the day they will be ordered to strike," Turgeman said.
"Global jihad [whose operatives are based in Sinai] is a disturbing and
less familiar threat, but it is based in a country with which we have a
peace deal. We have a partner that is equally threatened by them, so
it's a mutual interest."
According to IDF data, a staggering 300 terror
attacks were launched against Egyptian forces in Sinai over the past
few weeks, the most deadly of which was the Aug. 19 execution of 25
Egyptian policemen in northern Sinai.
"Sinai is ruled by two major jihadi groups,
which are supported by the local Bedouin tribes that have become
religiously fanatic over the past few years. Add radical ideology, a
plethora of weapons and no governance to the mix and you end up with the
wild weeds we see overrunning Sinai today," Turgeman said.
He said that the desert peninsula was now home
to hundreds of terrorists, including radical Muslims from Iraq and
Yemen, who receive their orders from global jihad leaders and al-Qaida.
These terrorists' primary goal is Egypt, with Israel ranking a close
second.
"As they see it, once they are done taking
care of Egypt, they'll have time for us, as evident from the recent
rocket fire on Eilat," Turgeman said.
The Sinai-based terror groups "see Eilat as
the ultimate symbol of Israeli freedom, prosperity and tourism.
Disrupting that is a huge success in their book."
Still, Turgeman stressed that there was no security reason to deter people from visiting the resort city.
"Neither the residents not the tourists have
anything to worry about. It's our job to make sure life in the city
continue as usual," he said.
Strategic limits
The 1979 Israel-Egypt peace treaty introduced
various complex limitations on the IDF's ability to counter the threat
posed by peninsula's terror groups. Still, several weeks ago foreign
media sources reported that an Israel Air Force drone had targeted a
Sinai-based terror cell as it was about to fire rockets at Israel.
"We are doing everything in our power to
maintain Egypt's sovereignty and to coordinate our efforts with them,
including when it comes to concrete threats," Turgeman said. "But at the
end of the day we are responsible for the area's security. We will
continue to spare no effort to respect Egypt's sovereignty and to
bolster our [security] collaboration, because it is a primary interest
for us, but we must do our job as well."
As part of Israel's effort to maintain Egypt's
sovereignty in Sinai, it allowed Egypt to deploy massive military
forces in the area, including 10 infantry regiments and eight helicopter
gunships -- far beyond what was stipulated in the peace agreement.
Turgeman said that the measure allowed
Egyptian security forces to note considerable success in their crackdown
on terrorists in Sinai, "but this kind of operation requires
persistence over time to truly be effective." Asked whether Israel
should allow Cairo to deploy more troops on the ground, he said: "That
is for the government to decide."
Should the government ask for his
recommendations in the matter, Turgeman said: "If we see that [Egypt]
has exhausted its possibilities in Sinai and the problems lies with the
sheer volume of forces, then in my opinion it is in our mutual interest
to allow it to a very limited and closely monitored extent."
The IDF has been monitoring the political
turmoil in Egypt since the ouster of President Hosni Mubarak in 2011,
deeming the possibility that Israel's southern neighbor will be overrun
by radical forces a "strategic alert."
"Preparing for the unknown is a substantial
challenge, so the idea is to develop generic capabilities that can be
adapted to counter [the situation in] Syria as well as other sectors,"
Turgeman said. "What we've done on the Israel-Egypt border is
unprecedented: building the border fence, dealing with the unrelenting
influx of refugees and infiltrators, and bolster our intelligence
capabilities."
The past two years, however, have debunked Egypt's status as Israel's steadfast regional ally.
"If there's anything we've learned is that the
Middle East offers no guarantees," Turgeman said. "This volatility
mandates that we be more cautious in our situation assessments and that
we prepare for different scenarios, as well as make an effort to
preserve the peace deal."
'Everything is under control'
Turgeman was named GOC Southern Command
shortly after the 2012 military campaign in Gaza, which restored
relative calm to Israel's southern communities. He credits the lasting
normalcy in part to the animosity between the new Cairo regime and
Hamas, which has resulted in an unprecedented crackdown on the smuggling
tunnels running between Sinai and Gaza.
"Egypt sees the tunnels as an infringement on
its sovereignty, so razing them serves their interests," he said. "So
far they've razed hundreds of tunnels, but since digging tunnels is not a
lengthy process, it's a constant battle."
Hamas' grip on the Gaza Strip has been
destabilized by the crackdown on the tunnels, which serve as a pipeline
for goods, funds and weapons to Gaza, and being cut off from Cairo has
taken its toll on the terror group's rule over the area, Turgeman said.
"Hamas is troubled because its future seems
problematic ... losing the support of the Muslim Brotherhood in Cairo,
the dire economic situation in the Gaza Strip, the renewed
Israeli-Palestinian peace talks -- all this does not bode well for
Hamas," he said.
"But still, there is no scenario in the Middle
East today that spells Hamas' ouster from power. There is no one and
nothing to take its place in Gaza in the near future."
Turgeman stressed that since Operation Pillar
of Defense, Hamas had invested considerable resources in bolstering its
long-range ballistic capabilities, as well as its rocket stockpiles.
"In some aspects it has made progress and in others, it hasn't. That's why our deterrence is in place," he said.
As for Hamas' improved aiming capabilities, Turgeman had only one thing to say: "So far, everything is under control."
Yoav Limor
Source: http://www.israelhayom.com/site/newsletter_article.php?id=11815
Copyright - Original materials copyright (c) by the authors.
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