by Tony Badran
Media reports in recent days have painted dire scenarios for what is, supposedly, the inevitable conflict between
For quite a while now, the official position in
On that point, two recent reports are of interest. The first, in the Qatari daily Al-Watan a couple of weeks ago, quoted Syrian sources as saying that "there is a strategic decision taken by
Speaking to the Kuwaiti daily Al-Rai al-Aam, an unnamed American official sent a shot across
The SA-2 itself may not be much of a threat to the Israeli Air Force. However, another pair of Russian-made AA systems – the mobile Pantsir and the shoulder-fired Igla-S systems – would cause concern. Both
The result of a new war would doubtless be devastating for
There are other reasons why
Notwithstanding Hezbollah's intentionally-leaked information about its intention to take the war to
During the 2006 war, the Assad regime took the bold step of supplying Hezbollah directly from Syrian military stocks – particularly when it came to longer-range 220mm Katyusha rockets, such as the ones that hit a train station in
The security regime established under UN Security Council Resolution 1701 has failed to curb Hezbollah's rearmament, both by land and by sea (or, for that matter, to prevent Israeli overflights).
There have been a number of reports in recent years indicating deepening military and intelligence coordination between
This would explain
Tony Badran is a research fellow with the Center for Terrorism Research at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies.
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