by Dr. Gabi Avital
The
storm clouds began gathering half a year before the outbreak of the
First Gulf War. It took the U.S. that long to respond to Iraq's
occupation of Kuwait. This is not a criticism of America's military
capabilities or strategy at the time. Rather, it is meant to point out
the fallacy of the belief held by some that, even after the signing of
the Geneva deal with Iran, America can be relied upon in a pinch.
During the
height of the Iraqi Scud missile attacks on Israel in 1991, Professor
Dan Miron wrote an article, the essence of which was that "if there is
an Israel Defense Forces, it must stand up." In other words, from the
depths of Jewish existence, Miron felt that if Israel did not defend
itself, no passing superpower or promise on a piece of paper would.
Israel's existence cannot depend on U.S. President Barack Obama or
whoever will take his place in the White House in three years.
Israel's
existence is based, in part, on the fundamental belief that, like any
other nation, it did not come into the world to be a pawn on a
chessboard. Israel has built up impressive military capabilities, which
deter war. These capabilities were proved time and time again, and this
resulted in the Arab states abandoning the military option after the Yom
Kippur War in 1973. Due to our own foolishness, however, we have given
them what they want anyway.
Yet there are
certain scenarios, including some playing out now, in which Israel's
military strength might actually have to be used, rather than just
serving as a deterrent. The bad and dangerous Geneva agreement with Iran
has made it so that even if there was a will to reach diplomatic
understandings via economic pressure, the military option must be put on
full display.
A very similar
scenario took place in the past. On Sept. 30, 1980, two Iranian Phantom
fighter planes bombed the Tammuz nuclear reactor in Iraq, causing only
minor damage. Attempts by the Israeli Mossad to sabotage the reactor
also failed. So then-Prime Minister Menachem Begin, who realized that
Iraq was on the verge of equipping itself with nuclear weapons, decided
to order the Israel Air Force to bomb the reactor. Begin faced
opposition from Defense Minister Ezer Weizman and others. Begin's
decision also followed three years of failed diplomatic efforts with the
U.S. on the issue.
And today, when
the stakes are a few dozen, or at most a few hundred, Israeli deaths in a
potential Iranian response to an Israeli strike, compared to 20,000
Israeli deaths (and this with the best preparations) in an Iranian
nuclear attack, great America and enlightened Europe are telling the
Jews, "It is best for you to sit quietly."
Dr. Gabi Avital
Source: http://www.israelhayom.com/site/newsletter_opinion.php?id=6489
Copyright - Original materials copyright (c) by the authors.
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