by David M. Weinberg
Until this week, most
Israelis thought of U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry as a naive nice
guy. His ardent enthusiasm for basically impossible peace talks with the
Palestinians was viewed as stop-gap diplomacy, at best; a fool's
errand, at worst.
But Thursday night, in
his joint television interview to Israeli and Palestinian television, we
"discovered" a different Kerry: nasty, threatening, one-sided, blind to
the malfeasance and unreliability of Palestinian leaders, and
dangerously oblique to the explosive situation he himself is creating.
Channeling the
Palestinian line, Kerry showed no appreciation whatsoever for Israel's
positions and concerns (aside from the usual throw-away vague
protestations of concern for Israel's "security").
His warnings about the
coming isolation of Israel and of a third intifada unless Israel quickly
allows the emergence of a "whole Palestine" and ends it "perpetual
military occupation" of Judea and Samaria amount to unfriendly pressure.
Worse still, Kerry is trading treacherously in ugly self-fulfilling
prophecy.
There was always a high
probability that the Palestinians would eventually use the predictable
collapse of the talks as an excuse for more violence and renewal of
their lawfare against Israel in international forums. Now they have John
Kerry's seal of approval for doing so.
Kerry has basically
laid out the Obama administration's understanding (dare I say,
acceptance) of the campaign to delegitimize and isolate Israel -- unless
Israel succumbs to Palestinian and international dictates for almost
complete Israeli withdrawal from the West Bank and Jerusalem.
Kerry is effectively
telling the Palestinians that they should make sure the talks fail, and
then Israel will be forced to give in.
So now the Palestinians
know clearly what to do. They don't really want a circumscribed,
hemmed-in, mini-state of the like that Israel could agree too. They have
never wanted the "sovereign cage" of a Palestinian state that Israel
can contemplate (as Ahmad Khalidi and Saeb Erekat have categorized the
generous Barak and Olmert proposals). What they have always wanted is
"runaway" statehood, and the total delegitimization of Israel, alongside
an ongoing campaign to swamp Israel demographically and overwhelm
Israel diplomatically.
Strategically then,
there is no good reason for Palestinian leader Mahmoud Abbas to agree to
any negotiated accord with Israel. An accord will hem in Palestinian
ambitions. An accord will grant Israel the legitimacy that Kerry warns
we are losing. An accord will grant Israel the legitimacy "to act in
order to protect its security needs," as Tzipi Livni keeps on saying.
Obviously then, Abbas
knows what to do. By stiffing Israel and holding to his maximalist
demands, Abbas pushes Israel into Kerry's punishment corner. He spurs on
the isolation of Israel that Mr. Kerry is oh-so-worried-about. He
creates ever-greater pressure on Israel to concede ever more to
Palestinian ambitions.
In short, Kerry's onslaught last night only encourages Palestinian obduracy, and strips the peace process of any realism.
Over the past 30 years,
Israelis have shifted their views tremendously. They've gone from
denying the existence of a Palestinian people to recognition of
Palestinian peoplehood and national aspirations; and from insisting on
exclusive Israeli sovereignty and control of Judea, Samaria and Gaza to
acceptance of a demilitarized Palestinian state in these areas. Israel
has even withdrawn all-together from Gaza, and allowed a Palestinian
government to assume authority over 95 percent of West Bank residents.
Israel has made the Palestinian Authority three concrete offers for
Palestinian statehood over more than 90 percent of West Bank territory
plus Gaza.
Palestinians have made no even remotely comparable moves toward Israel.
What Kerry should be
doing is disabusing the Palestinians of the notion that they can fall
back on bogus, maximalist demands as their uncompromising bottom line.
He should be dialing down Palestinian expectations and bringing
Palestinians toward compromise, no less than Israelis. He should be
pressing them to close the "peace gap" by accepting the historic ties of
the Jewish people to the Land of Israel and the legitimacy of Israel's
existence in the Middle East as a Jewish state (and that, in principle,
includes Judea and Samaria).
He should be calling on
them to renounce the resettlement of Palestinian refugees in pre-1967
Israel, and to end their support for and glorification of Palestinian
suicide-bombers and missile launchers against Israel's civilian
population, and to end the anti-Semitic and anti-Israel warlike
propaganda that fills the Palestinian airwaves.
Kerry should make clear
to the Palestinians that if they don't compromise with Israel, the
world will stand by Israel, will not isolate Israel, and will not
tolerate Palestinian violence against Israel.
Instead, Kerry chose to
launch a full-bore attack on Netanyahu and on all Israelis who (in
Kerry's words) pig-headedly "feel safe today" and "feel they're doing
pretty well economically." He laid out the consequences for Israel of
disobeying America (no safety and no prosperity). He laid out no similar
consequences for the Palestinians if they remain intransigent.
So much for the notion of honest broker.
So much for the notion of honest broker.
David M. Weinberg
Source: http://www.israelhayom.com/site/newsletter_opinion.php?id=6255
Copyright - Original materials copyright (c) by the authors.
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