by Barry Rubin
A critical moment has arrived for Egypt. But in what way?
President Mursi has rescinded much of his decree claiming total power right now. But he could accomplish much the same thing after the Constitution is confirmed and perhaps by forcing reinstatement of the parliament whose election was declared invalid by a court. At any rate, Mursi's concession has not quieted the demonstrations--another sign that concessions in the Middle East don't bring agreements--and so this crisis isn't going away.
President Mursi has rescinded much of his decree claiming total power right now. But he could accomplish much the same thing after the Constitution is confirmed and perhaps by forcing reinstatement of the parliament whose election was declared invalid by a court. At any rate, Mursi's concession has not quieted the demonstrations--another sign that concessions in the Middle East don't bring agreements--and so this crisis isn't going away.
There are three broad possibilities: the regime will fall; the
opposition will be repressed; or there will be an increasingly violent
civil war.
Barry Rubin
Source: http://rubinreports.blogspot.co.il/2012/12/a-turning-point-in-egypt-not-on.html
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