by Prof. Eyal Zisser
Not only have they failed to deter the American president, they have steeled his resolve to restore Iran to its natural size and place – on the margins of Middle East influence.
The
world is long since accustomed to the ugly voices of violence and hate
emanating daily and nightly from Tehran. Incited mobs chant "Death to
America" and "Death to Israel" in city squares, while Iran's leaders
promise to destroy Tel Aviv and wipe Israel off the map.
It's possible, of course, to ignore these
voices or diminish their importance. The international community has
done so for years, hoping the Iranians would moderate their rhetoric and
perhaps even change their behavior. It has never happened. Quite the
opposite; the Iranians expanded the scope of their subversive activities
across the Middle East – from Iraq, Syria, Lebanon and Gaza to the
Persian Gulf and Yemen.
The Iranians were fortunate until Donald
Trump was elected president of the United States. This unconventional
president chose to respond to the Iranians in kind – not just with
warnings but effective, painful action. His withdrawal from the nuclear
deal and the economic sanctions he re-imposed on Iran pushed it into a
corner, threatening to eliminate its oil exports and cripple its
sputtering economy. More importantly, Trump's initiatives have, for the
first time, frightened the Iranians into thinking he could go further
than any previous president and work to overthrow the ayatollah regime.
The Iranians responded – as usual – with a
barrage of denigration and threats. The first to hurl threats was
Iranian President Hassan Rouhani, widely considered the moderate voice
in Iran. He warned that Iran would act to curb oil exports from
neighboring Gulf States, chief among them Saudi Arabia, and even told
Trump that war with Iran would be the "mother of all wars." Trump,
however, is not Barack Obama. Rouhani's threats were swiftly met with a
decisive response: "Never, ever threaten the United States again, or
suffer consequences the likes of which few throughout history have ever
suffered before. … Be cautious!"
Joining the chorus of intimidation was Maj.
Gen. Qassem Soleimani, commander of the Revolutionary Guards Corps'
elite Quds Force, which implements Iran's terrorist activity and
subversion across the region. Soleimani told Trump: "We are a nation of
martyrdom and we await you. We are near you, where you can't even
imagine. … Come. We are ready. … If you begin the war, we will end the
war. You know that this war will destroy all that you possess."
One can't help be reminded of former Iraqi
dictator Saddam Hussein, who on the eve of his downfall vowed to unleash
the "mother of all wars" on Washington if it attacked him. Or Hamas
leader Ahmed Yassin, who before his assassination boasted that he and
his people love death and desire it. Yassin died while trying to flee
the missile speeding toward him. Saddam, meanwhile, along with his
regime and military, vanished the moment the U.S. decided to go to war
against him.
Iran purports to be a regional power but is
ultimately a failed country that can neither provide employment nor,
more recently, food and water to its people. The ayatollah regime is
standing on the precipice of a trembling volcano at home, capable of
erupting at a moment's notice. It's no surprise that Iran's leaders are
afraid – more than ever – of a conflict with the United States. As
usual, they wagered that the world would cow in fear to their threats.
Evidently, not only did these threats fail to deter Trump, they steeled
his resolve to restore Iran to its natural size and place – on the
margins of Middle East influence.
It isn't difficult to find fair criticism
of U.S. policy in the Middle East. The Americans lack a fundamental
understanding of the region and tend to view what happens here through
their uniquely American prism. They do all they can to avoid stepping in
the Middle Eastern quicksand and haven't formulated a comprehensive,
long-term policy to deal with its problems. But when the U.S. decides to
act, it's best not to stand in the way of the unparalleled resolve and
might it can bring to bear. Saddam learned this the hard way, as will
the Iranians.
Prof. Eyal Zisser is a lecturer in the Middle East History Department at Tel Aviv University.
Source: http://www.israelhayom.com/opinions/trump-unimpressed-by-tehrans-threats/?redirected=284635
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