Sunday, March 6, 2022

US, Poland in talks to help Ukraine acquire warplanes - Brie Stimson

 

by Brie Stimson

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said if a no-fly zone wasn’t possible at the very least Ukraine needed planes

 

The United States is considering a deal with Poland to send U.S. warplanes to Warsaw to replace any Soviet-era fighter jets the NATO country sends to Ukraine. 

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy – during a Saturday Zoom call with more than 280 U.S. lawmakers – said the country needs fighter jets more than the anti-aircraft missiles the U.S. had agreed to, according to the Wall Street Journal. 

Under the proposal, the Ukrainians would receive Russian-made MiGs that Poland inherited after the Cold War ended. 

But the U.S. has not signed off on the deal yet over concerns it would be seen as an escalation, a source told Fox News.  

While U.S. Sen. Lindsey Graham, R-S.C., claimed in a video posted to social media after the call that the U.S. was blocking NATO countries from sending planes, a U.S. official told Fox News that’s not true. 

RUSSIA INVADES UKRAINE: LIVE UPDATES

Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelenskyy is seen in a Zoom call with U.S. senators on Saturday, March 5, 2022.

Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelenskyy is seen in a Zoom call with U.S. senators on Saturday, March 5, 2022.  (Sen. Marco Rubio, R-Fla.)

"If Poland wants to send its warplanes to Ukraine, it can. The U.S. is not blocking them from doing so," the official told Fox News.

UKRAINE PRESIDENT ZELENSKYY REQUESTS MORE LETHAL AID DURING VIRTUAL MEETING WITH US SENATORS 

Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer, D-N.Y., said Zelenskyy "made a desperate plea for Eastern European countries to provide Russian-made planes to Ukraine." Schumer said the planes were "very much needed. And I will do all I can to help the administration to facilitate their transfer." 

Russian-made MiG-29 fighter jets are seen April 17, 2008. (Reuters)

Russian-made MiG-29 fighter jets are seen April 17, 2008. (Reuters)

Zelenskyy had asked for a no-fly zone over Ukraine and sharply criticized NATO for nixing the request. President Biden and many allies believe a no-fly zone could escalate to another world war. 

An instructor discusses urban combat as Ukrainian civilians undergo basic military training at a volunteer center in a state educational institution, before an expected Russian assault on March 5, 2022, in Odessa, Ukraine.

An instructor discusses urban combat as Ukrainian civilians undergo basic military training at a volunteer center in a state educational institution, before an expected Russian assault on March 5, 2022, in Odessa, Ukraine.  (Getty Images)

Zelenskyy said if a no-fly zone wasn’t possible at the very least Ukraine needed planes.

"It was very clear that he’d thought through what he needed," said U.S. Rep. Jim Himes, D-Conn., who added that Mr. Zelenskyy looked sharp. 

"He looked better than I look on a Friday evening of a standard week," Himes joked, the Journal reported. 

Fox News' Marisa Schultz, Kelly Laco and Jacqui Heinrich contributed to this report.

 

Brie Stimson

Source: https://www.foxnews.com/politics/us-poland-warplanes-ukraine

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A Plan for Peace in Europe - Richard Kemp

 

by Richard Kemp

To halt Putin's broader ambitions, it is also essential that NATO keep the Ukrainian army fighting and that includes financing the war effort and getting lethal weapons and military equipment to Ukrainian forces.

  • [Putin] is now also demanding the nuclear disarming of Europe.

  • Putin's next targets could be Moldova or the Baltic states which, like Ukraine, he reportedly considers illegitimate and properly part of Russia's sphere. If further suffering and bloodshed are to be avoided, the West must do all it can to ensure his current aggression fails.

  • To halt Putin's broader ambitions, it is also essential that NATO keep the Ukrainian army fighting and that includes financing the war effort and getting lethal weapons and military equipment to Ukrainian forces.

  • Russia must be isolated and turned into an international pariah not just while Putin's army is assaulting Ukraine but for as long as necessary. These actions will inflict damage on us as well, as Russia retaliates with its own sanctions and restrictions. The short term pain can be ameliorated in the medium term by eliminating dependence on Russian energy, increasing gas supplies from North Africa, the Adriatic and the Mediterranean. Also by reopening in the United States the world's largest supply of energy, which President Joe Biden began closing down his first day in office, and by fracking and building nuclear power plants.

  • The development of our cyber defences, as well as offensive capabilities must be accelerated urgently and intelligence services expanded to counter and inflict severe damage to Russian espionage agencies.

  • Some argue that punitive Western moves will drive Russia into China's arms. It is already there: Russia is the biggest single recipient of Chinese financial support globally, and Putin and Xi have established a military alliance.

  • Where Putin demands that NATO pull back, it should push forward. Some may see this as provocative, but it is in fact a sign of strength which will do more to deter Putin than appeasing him.

  • [Putin] knows that NATO poses no military threat to Russia and that it is a purely defensive alliance. If it is to restore the credibility it once had, which Biden's Afghanistan debacle did much to undermine, NATO must regain its strength — not only in military power but also the demonstrable political will to use it.

  • As Israel often reminds us over Iran, if a leader threatens us with annihilation we cannot afford to hope he is not serious. Had the world focused on getting rid of Hitler in the 1930s rather than appeasing him, we may not have seen the horror of a global war that killed 70 million people.

  • The urgency of a Western message of strength goes even beyond Russia. China's President Xi has greater territorial ambitions than Putin, and they are being played out today in every continent around the world. Xi's Ukraine is Taiwan, and it may be that visiting catastrophe on Russia's dictator will deter his friend in Beijing.

Putin's next targets could be Moldova or the Baltic states which, like Ukraine, he reportedly considers illegitimate and properly part of Russia's sphere. If further suffering and bloodshed are to be avoided, the West must do all it can to ensure his current aggression fails. (Photo by Alexey Nikolsky/Sputnik/AFP via Getty Images)

NATO's strategic objective should now be to bring down Russian President Vladimir Putin and see him replaced by a less dangerous leader. If he fails, harsh constraints are imposed on Russian oligarchs, and suffering is inflicted on ordinary citizens by Western diplomatic and economic action; his current adventure might cause him to self-destruct.

If that does not happen, Putin will remain a permanent threat to NATO, Europe and the world. Russian law now allows him to hold onto power at least until 2036. He apparently aims to re-create the Soviet Union in a new form and restore Russia's superpower status by pushing NATO back, regaining Moscow's dominion over its eastern neighbours. He is now also demanding the nuclear disarming of Europe.

Putin's next targets could be Moldova or the Baltic states which, like Ukraine, he reportedly considers illegitimate and properly part of Russia's sphere. If further suffering and bloodshed are to be avoided, the West must do all it can to ensure his current aggression fails. At last we are seeing unity among NATO countries, with unprecedented sanctions already beginning to bite and the Russian economy heading towards freefall. To halt Putin's broader ambitions, it is also essential that NATO keep the Ukrainian army fighting and that includes financing the war effort and getting lethal weapons and military equipment to Ukrainian forces.

In the event, as seems likely, that Putin does prevail in Ukraine, we should now also be preparing to support a resistance movement against a potential Russian army of occupation. That would include supplying weapons, intelligence and surveillance, as well as offensive cyber capabilities, and sending in undeclared advisors to help. Moscow should be driven into a quagmire in Ukraine, with a stream of body bags heading back to Russia (rather than mysteriously "disappeared" in the mobile crematoria that Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy says are ominously following behind Russian forces). It is not that we want to see Russian conscripts killed, but heavy casualties would help deter further aggression and destabilise Putin's regime.

The previous pattern in the West has been to impose sanctions and then allow them to fade away to nothing when the situation settles down. That is what happened in 2014, when Putin invaded Crimea, and that is what's happening with Iran's aggression against Middle Eastern countries and its burgeoning nuclear weapons programme. It must not happen with Putin. Western countries should make it clear now that sanctions and other actions will be permanent. They should be stepped up to include severing diplomatic relations and banning exports as well as denying access to seaports, airspace and airports and excluding Russian teams from sports competitions, and cultural and scientific events.

To intensify the pressure, some have suggested that all Russians could be banned from entering Western nations and, going further, those who are already there could be expelled. This would have far greater effect on ordinary Russians than sanctions against a handful of distant oligarchs about whom they care nothing.

Russia's war of aggression is illegal under international law, and compounding that illegality there are widespread reports of war crimes inside Ukraine, with allegations of deliberate targeting of protected civilians. These crimes will likely continue and increase. All such atrocities should be systematically recorded, aiming to bring those responsible into the dock at the International Court at the Hague, with Russian leaders indicted for crimes against humanity.

In short, Russia must be isolated and turned into an international pariah not just while Putin's army is assaulting Ukraine but for as long as necessary. These actions will inflict damage on us as well, as Russia retaliates with its own sanctions and restrictions. The short term pain can be ameliorated in the medium term by eliminating dependence on Russian energy, increasing gas supplies from North Africa, the Adriatic and the Mediterranean. Also by reopening in the United States the world's largest supply of energy, which President Joe Biden began closing down his first day in office, and by fracking and building nuclear power plants.

Putin will also try to exact revenge against Western countries, including cyber war and his trademark assassination programme. The development of our cyber defences, as well as offensive capabilities must be accelerated urgently and intelligence services expanded to counter and inflict severe damage to Russian espionage agencies.

The Chinese Communist Party will help defray harm to Russia by providing economic aid, and China is set to buy up energy supplies that can no longer go into Europe. Some argue that punitive Western moves will drive Russia into China's arms. It is already there: Russia is the biggest single recipient of Chinese financial support globally, and Putin and Xi have established a military alliance.

Meanwhile, NATO armies must be built up — as Germany has, remarkably, just promised to do — and deployed in strength into northern and eastern European countries that are in Putin's immediate line of fire. Britain, for example, decided last year to drastically reduce its already meagre tank and infantry units. Those cuts should not only be cancelled but reversed, with military forces rebuilt towards the Cold War levels of the 1980s.

Where Putin demands that NATO pull back, it should push forward. Some may see this as provocative, but it is in fact a sign of strength which will do more to deter Putin than appeasing him. He knows his talk of threats to Russia from NATO is nothing more than an excuse for his own territorial ambitions, motivated by fear of proximate Western freedom and prosperity undermining his grip on power. He knows that NATO poses no military threat to Russia and that it is a purely defensive alliance. If it is to restore the credibility it once had, which Biden's Afghanistan debacle did much to undermine, NATO must regain its strength — not only in military power but also the demonstrable political will to use it.

The US and NATO may not be able or willing to directly bring Putin down; that probably can more realistically be done from within. But as well as economic, diplomatic and legal action against Russia and the individuals who are responsible for this war, we should give maximum support and encouragement to potential successors to Putin that we identify as reasonable and moderate.

The difficulties of this cannot be underestimated. Putin's chief opponent, Alexei Navalny, whom Moscow's security services tried to murder with Novichok, is in prison and his political movement outlawed. Dmitry Muratov, who won last year's Nobel Peace Prize for his efforts to safeguard freedom of expression in Russia, recently lamented that no-one was able to stop Putin's aggression in Ukraine. The few senior officials who urged restraint as Putin planned to invade were quickly swiped aside. His generals are compliant and the Duma and Federation Council are packed with his vassals.

Before the invasion, America and Britain published intelligence that woke up the world to Putin's aggressive intentions even as he repeatedly denied them. We can use the same technique to foment dissent by relentlessly exposing Putin's criminality, corruption and kleptocracy to the Russian people. We can wage endless targeted economic and legal warfare against Russian oligarchs, pressuring them to turn on Putin and mount a palace coup.

Our message to the Russian people should be clear from the start: we will neither accept nor allow Putin's belligerence in 21st Century Europe and we will damage the country and its leaders until the danger to us is eliminated. At the same time we should make it clear that when this happens we will be generous towards the Russian people, warmly welcoming them back into the rules-based order and encouraging them towards greater unity with Europe and the West if they wish.

We should also be prepared to offer economic support, a modern-day Marshall Plan. As our isolation of Russia will be costly, so will its rehabilitation. Even such astronomic costs, however, are cheaper than the alternative, both in dollars and human life. The stakes could not be higher. In recent days Russia became the first country ever to attack a nuclear power plant, risking meltdown and untold human and ecological disaster. Meanwhile Putin twice threatened the West with nuclear weapons in the last week.

As Israel often reminds us over Iran, if a leader threatens us with annihilation we cannot afford to hope he is not serious. Had the world focused on getting rid of Hitler in the 1930s rather than appeasing him, we may not have seen the horror of a global war that killed 70 million people.

The urgency of a Western message of strength goes even beyond Russia. China's President Xi has greater territorial ambitions than Putin, and they are being played out today in every continent around the world. Xi's Ukraine is Taiwan, and it may be that visiting catastrophe on Russia's dictator will deter his friend in Beijing.

 

Colonel Richard Kemp is a former British Army Commander. He was also head of the international terrorism team in the U.K. Cabinet Office and is now a writer and speaker on international and military affairs. He is a Jack Roth Charitable Foundation Fellow at Gatestone Institute.

Source: https://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/18305/peace-plan-europe

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Losing Russia safety measures a strategic problem for Israel in Syria - analysis - Anna Ahronheim

 

by Anna Ahronheim

With Russia turning a blind eye to Israel's strikes, Israel says it has been able to significantly disrupt weapons smuggling routes.

 

The Lockheed Martin F35 fighter jet plane, also known as the Adir, in a test flight (photo credit: LOCKHEED MARTIN AERONAUTICS/ LIZ LUTZ)
The Lockheed Martin F35 fighter jet plane, also known as the Adir, in a test flight
(photo credit: LOCKHEED MARTIN AERONAUTICS/ LIZ LUTZ)

Losing the security measures in place with the Russians in Syria would be a strategic problem for the Israel Air Force as Jerusalem continues to maintain a diplomatic balance over the war in Ukraine.

Russia intervened in the Syrian conflict in September 2015 on the side of embattled President Bashar Assad and Moscow is seen as the main power to speak with when Israel wants to carry out strikes in the country. 

Israel’s war-between-wars campaign has seen thousands of airstrikes against Iranian and Hezbollah targets in the country since it began in 2013, including convoys of advanced weaponry heading to Lebanon. Dozens of clandestine operations are also alleged by foreign media to have occurred in Syria and Lebanon against targets that threaten the Jewish state.

The two players have been using safety measures in order to avoid any unwanted conflict and with it, Russia has allowed Israel to maintain its freedom of operation over Syria, as long as it does not endanger their forces.

With Russia turning a blind eye to strikes, Israel says it has been able to significantly disrupt the smuggling routes-by land, at sea, and in the air and achieve satisfactory results in Israel’s campaign.

An old military vehicle on the Israeli side of the border with Syria, near the Druze village of Majdal Shams in the Golan Heights, Israel, February 2018 (credit: AMMAR AWAD / REUTERS)An old military vehicle on the Israeli side of the border with Syria, near the Druze village of Majdal Shams in the Golan Heights, Israel, February 2018 (credit: AMMAR AWAD / REUTERS)

Russia also informs Israel when it is carrying out patrols along the northern border over Syria’s Golan Heights like in late January when Russian SU-34, SU-35, and an A-50 early warning and control aircraft flew alongside MiG-23 and MiG-29 fighter jets from the Syrian Arab Army.

"The mission route included the Golan Heights, the southern border of Syria, the Euphrates River and northern Syria," read a statement by the Russian Defense Ministry. "The Russian pilots took off from Khmeimim Air Base, while the Syrians took off from the Sayqal and Al-Dumayur bases near Damascus."

"The two countries' pilots developed skills for cooperation in various situations," it added. "This kind of joint mission will now take place on a regular basis." 

Prior to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu traveled to Syria and spoke with Assad about military-technical cooperation. 

Though the IAF does not see the safety measures between the two air forces stopping, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has made them be more aware of the situation along its northern border. The IAF also does not expect to see Russian fighter jets intercept Israeli jets in Syrian or Lebanese airspace.

Former defense minister Moshe "Boogie" Yaalon, who initiated the measures with Russia when he was in office in 2015, said that he does not think Moscow will stop talking with Jerusalem regarding Syria.

He said that he thinks there is a mistaken assumption that, "if we take this position or another, there will be a hostile front between Russia and Israel. But the interests, even in Syria, between Russia and Israel are the same."

"It is much better if we do the coordination. Even then [when he started the coordination with Russia] we knew Russia had their interests. I said to them, we won't disturb you, you don't disturb us,” Yaalon said. “Also now, I don’t think Russians have any interest to make issues for Israeli aircraft or other attacks on Iran in Syria, " but if it happens, god forbid, Israel has capabilities."

The safety measures in place since 2015 have recently come under scrutiny following Russian President Vladimir Putin invaded neighboring Ukraine under the pretext of “de-nazifying” the country. Israel has been heavily criticized for not taking a tougher stance on Moscow in line with the United States and dozens of other countries from around the world.

According to a report in Axios, although Washington understands that Jerusalem needs to balance its security interests, it has to also take a clear stance on the war because it is a “matter of right and wrong.”

Israeli officials have said that the IDF’s war-between-wars campaign has not yet been affected by the war and Russia’s Ambassador to Israel Anatoly Viktorov said last week that the measures will continue as it “helps ensure the safety and security of our army.”

But, with Putin even threatening to use his nuclear weapons-a move that senior IDF officials have called extremely worrisome- Israel needs to continue to tread safely through the stormy waters currently flowing around it.

When he launched the invasion-the largest invasion in Europe since World War II, Putin said that “Russia was left with no other choice.” 

According to Yaalon, who is the chairman of the upcoming ISDEF conference, Russia does not want to start another hostile front with a state like Israel when it also dealing with Iran in Syria as well as a war in Ukraine.

He said he did not want to discuss specifics of what Israel could or could not do militarily in the event that the coordination mechanism between Israel and Russia breaks down, but he reiterated that until now there has been only one Israeli public statement against Russia's actions in Ukraine.

“We need to be on the right side of history,” Yaalon stressed. “This hasn't been enough. Bennett must also say it, it needs to be clear. It won't lead to a hostile front in Syria because of their interests."

Yonah Jeremy Bob contributed to this report.

 

Anna Ahronheim

Source: https://www.jpost.com/middle-east/article-700481

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Abbas: Muslims and Christians Must Fight Their ‘Common Enemy,’ the Jews - Hugh Fitzgerald

 

by Hugh Fitzgerald

Have the Jews been trying to “empty the land” of Christians and Muslims?

Now entering the seventeenth year of his four-year term as president of the Palestinian Authority, Mahmoud Abbas has decided to appeal to the world’s Christians to join forces with Muslims against “their common enemy” – the Jewish state. Christine Douglass-Williams wrote about his call for such an implausible alliance here, and here is a full report: “Abbas: Christians and Muslims Must Fight Their ‘Enemy’ — Israel,” by Itamar Marcus, Algemeiner, March 2, 2022:

Palestinian Authority (PA) Chairman Mahmoud Abbas has stated that Christians and Muslims are united in “fighting” against their common “enemy” – i.e., Israel. He reiterated a common PA libel that Israel’s goal is to “empty the land” of Christians and Muslims, and therefore, they must join forces in getting rid of the Jews — because Christians and Muslims “have been the owners of this land since this land’s existence.”

Has Abbas forgotten that the Qur’an instructs Muslims “not to take Jews or Christians as friends, for they are friends only with each other”(5:51) ? Has he forgotten that while Muslims are “the best of peoples” (3:110), the Christians and the Jews, being non-Muslims, are “the most vile of created beings”? (98:6) In being willing to join forces with Christians, Abbas is not being a very good Muslim. Perhaps someone in Hamas or PIJ, Palestinian opponents of Abbas, will raise that issue. How dare Mahmoud Abbas ignore the instructions in Qur’an 5:51? How dare he call for Muslims to join forces with Christians who, just as much as Jews, are Infidels and therefore are “the most vile of created beings”?

Have the Jews been trying to “empty the land” of Christians and Muslims? In 1967, when Israel came into possession of Gaza and the West Bank, the population of Gaza – all Arabs — was 300,000, and of the West Bank 600,000. Today the Palestinian population of Gaza is 756.000. The Arab population of the West Bank in 2022 — including East Jerusalem — is 2.7 million. If the Israelis have been trying to “empty” the West Bank and Gaza of their Arabs, they are doing a terrible job of it. Even in east Jerusalem, a place where one would think the Israelis would have a special interest in driving out Arabs, the Arab population has jumped from 66,000 in 1967 to 340,000 in 2022. Perhaps Mahmoud Abbas would care to withdraw his charge that Israel is hellbent on “emptying the land” of Christians and Muslims? 

There has certainly been an emptying out of Christians in Gaza and the West Bank. But it’s the pressure from Muslims, not Jews, that has been responsible There were 2,300 Christians in Gaza in 1967; that number actually increased slightly until 2005, when the Israelis pulled out; since then the Christians have had to endure rule by the Muslim terror group Hamas, and unsurprisingly, many Christians have emigrated from the Strip; now the Christian population of Gaza is less than 900. In the West Bank, Bethlehem was 86% Christian in 1949, but after 19 years of rule by Muslim Jordanians, the Christian population fell to 40% in 1967. Since then, with a majority Muslim population, the pressure on the town’s Christians has caused still more of them to emigrate, chiefly to the U.S., Canada, Australia, and Europe. Now the Christian population of Bethlehem is below 10,000. This has nothing to do with some supposed Israeli attempt to “empty out” the West Bank of “Christians and Muslims.” It has everything to do, rather, with the hostile atmosphere for Christians that Bethlehem’s Muslims have created.

These population figures do not support Abbas’ claim that the Jewish state is responsible for the “emptying out” of the Christian population in Gaza and the West Bank.

PA Chairman Mahmoud Abbas: “We know that the prime Zionist goal is emptying this land of its Christians and Muslims. They [the Jews] don’t want anyone here other than themselves. The Christians before the Muslims, because the Christians were here on this land before the Muslims … the Christian is the brother of the Muslim. They celebrate together, suffer together, live together, work together, and fight together against their enemy, because we have been the owners of this land since this land’s existence. … We will remain in this land forever, while the attackers [the Jews] have no place in Jerusalem and no place here.”

[Official PA TV News, Jan. 17, 2022 — emphasis added]

Abbas insists that the Jews “don’t want anyone here other than themselves”? Why then have they allowed the Palestinians in Gaza and the West Bank to have skyrocketed In numbers from 900,000 in 1967 to more than 5 million today? Was there no way for the Israelis to encourage an out-migration of Palestinians? Why, if they want to push out the Palestinians, have Israeli officials, including the former head of Mossad, Yossi Cohen, been fundraising in Qatar for the Palestinian Authority, persuading the Emir to give the P.A. hundreds of millions of dollars in renewed aid? Why have the Israelis themselves just lent the P.A. $155 million to temporarily tide it over? Why does Israel give employment to tens of thousands of Palestinians from the West Bank and Gaza, when it could just as easily hire foreign workers from such places as Thailand, Vietnam, and the Philippines, who pose no security risk? Why isn’t Israel instead trying to deepen the economic immiseration of the Palestinians, so that more of them feel compelled to emigrate? Abbas has no answer to such questions, that call into question his absurd claim that the Jewish state is engaged in “emptying out” the West Bank and Gaza of its Muslims and Christians.

Abbas claims that “we [the Palestinians, both Muslims and Christians] have been the owners of this land since this land’s existence.” The Jews, however, “have no place in Jerusalem and no place here.” Utter nonsense. Islam itself didn’t exist until the 7th century, and the Muslim Arabs did not arrive in the Land of Israel until late In that 7th century, almost 700 years later than the Christians. The appearance of the Israelites, as told In the religious literature, goes back to 1500 B.C., that is, 1500 years before the Christians, and more than 2100 years before a single Muslim appeared in the area.

The idea and goal that Israel will come to an end is pronounced in PA ideology and PA teachings. Recently, Palestinian Media Watch exposed this in our report on Fatah’s Waed magazine for young children, ages 6-15. One of the central teachings in the magazine is that “Palestine” will inevitably replace all of Israel.

Waed teaches Palestinian children that they are descendants of a “Palestinian-Arab-Canaanite” people who existed “5,000 years ago,” or “perhaps 10,000 years ago.” (Waed, Issue 37, pp. 13 and 22). On the other hand, Jews — who have a rich and well-documented history in the land over thousands of years — are said to have never been in the land of Israel: “[Israelis are] foreigners who did not know Palestine and did not live in it — neither them nor their fathers and forefathers.” (Waed, Issue 36, p. 2)

The Palestinians claim to be the descendants of the Canaanites. Archeology tells a different story. Of the five tribes of the Canaanites, all but one – the Israelites – went extinct before any Arabs arrived from Arabia. There never was “a Palestinian-Arab-Canaanite people.”

Abbas’ statement above, made at a meeting in Ramallah with Greek Orthodox Patriarch in Jerusalem Theophilos III, joins his and other PA officials’ numerous previous statements denying Jewish history in “Palestine.” A similar recent statement was made by PA Shariah judge Abdallah Harb, who claimed Israelis/Jews are “liars” who invented a narrative and brought in archaeologists to prove a Jewish presence in the land but “didn’t succeed” because “they are the people of falsification and untruth”:

PA Shari’ah Judge Abdallah Harb: “This land, the adults among us know, they [the Jews] did not establish a stone, a plot of land, or a structure, as they brought all the archaeologists [here] to prove that this land is theirs, that it is ‘The Temple Mount,’ that it is ‘the promised land.’ They didn’t succeed in this. … They are oppressors, they are liars, and the right is ours. Ours is the true unblemished and undisputed historical narrative. They are the people of falsification and untruth.” [Friday prayers and sermon at a mosque in Ramallah, Official PA TV, Jan. 14, 2022]

Contrary to what the preacher claims, an abundance of archaeological evidence proves Jewish history in Israel. For example, the Kurkh Monolith inscription of Shalmaneser III, the king of Assyria (859–824 BCE) mentions the defeat of “10,000 soldiers of [King] Ahab the Israelite,” which is the story told in detail in the Bible (Kings 2, chap.19). Meanwhile, the Palestinians have no history prior to the modern period.

Long before the modern state of Israel was founded, Western archeologists, many of them non-Jews, were uncovering archeological sites that offered proof of the long Jewish presence In the land. After the Jewish state’s founding, the study of archaeology blossomed, and did so even more after 1967, when the West Bank became open to Western archaeologists. There are 35,000 distinct archeological sites in Israel. The Jewish state almost seems to be one vast archaeological dig, from Masada to Megiddo to Beit She’an, so many and so various are the sites that have been discovered and are being worked on. What have these archeologists – from all over the world – unearthed, catalogued, studied? Pottery shards, flint, tools, knives, swords, cutlery, jars for storing wine and olive oil, carved heads In stone, textiles, coins, the Dead Sea scrolls and other scrolls too, found in the caves of Qumran.  And where there are inscriptions – on the coins, for instance — they are always In Hebrew.  All of this evidence means nothing to Mahmoud Abbas, nor to Sharia’ Judge Abdallah Harb. They know the Jews have been falsifying history, first “seeding” these so-called archeological sites with forged artifacts from other times and other places, and other peoples, even inscribing some of them with words In ancient Hebrew, then bringing In archeologists to “discover” them. Harb knows that the “Jews are liars,” that they brought in all these so-called archaeologists to “prove that the land” belongs to them.

He knows “the Jews” have created a long history in the Land of Israel out of whole cloth. How many of us will accept this Palestinian nonsense and lies about Jewish history, and how many will look at those 35,000 archeological sites in Israel and draw the only conceivable conclusions about the Jewish presence in the land that make sense?

 

Hugh Fitzgerald

Source: https://robertspencer.org/2022/03/abbas-muslims-and-christians-must-fight-their-common-enemy-the-jews

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Visa, Mastercard suspend all operations in Russia, 'effective immediately' - Andrew Mark Miller

 

by Andrew Mark Miller

The company says it felt 'compelled' to act

 

Financial services companies Visa and Mastercard announced Saturday they are suspending  business in Russia in response to the country’s invasion of neighboring Ukraine. 

"Effective immediately, Visa will work with its clients and partners within Russia to cease all Visa transactions over the coming days," Visa said in a press release. "Once complete, all transactions initiated with Visa cards issued in Russia will no longer work outside the country and any Visa cards issued by financial institutions outside of Russia will no longer work within the Russian Federation."

Russian President Vladimir Putin (Yuri Kochetkov/Pool Photo via AP / AP Newsroom)

RUSSIA’S WAR SPURS CORPORATE EXODUS, EXPOSES BUSINESS RISKS

Al Kelly, chairman and chief executive officer of Visa Inc., said in the statement that the company feels "compelled to act" following Russia’s "unprovoked invasion of Ukraine" and the "unacceptable events that we have witnessed."

"We regret the impact this will have on our valued colleagues, and on the clients, partners, merchants and cardholders we serve in Russia," Kelly said. "This war and the ongoing threat to peace and stability demand we respond in line with our values."

MasterCard and VISA credit cards are seen in this picture illustration taken June 9, 2016.  (Reuters/Maxim Zmeyev/Illustration)

UKRAINE RUSSIAN WAR CREATING 'HUGE SUPPLY SHOCK': WORLD BANK PRESIDENT

Mastercard said in a statement Saturday that it also made the decision to suspend services in Russia due to the "unprecedented nature of the current conflict."

 

The announcements come as several large corporations have said they are cutting ties or attempting to cut ties with the country including BP, Shell, General Motors and Maersk.

Russia continues to launch airstrikes, shelling, and military operations inside Ukraine in an invasion that has resulted in a humanitarian crisis displacing over 1 million Ukrainians. 


Volunteers of the civil protection load humanitarian aid onto a truck for the victims affected by the Russian invasion  (AP Photo/Michel Euler / AP Newsroom)

Between Feb. 24 and midnight on Friday, the U.N. recorded 1,085 civilian casualties in Ukraine, including 351 killed and 707 injured. Among those killed were 71 men, 41 women, eight boys, and four girls, as well as 217 adults and 10 children whose sex could not immediately be determined, according to the Office of the U.N. High Commissioner for Human Rights (OHCHR).

The agency added, however, that it "believes that the real figures are considerably higher."

Fox News’ Audrey Conklin contributed to this report

 

Andrew Mark Miller

Source: https://www.foxbusiness.com/economy/visa-announces-suspension-of-all-operations-in-russia

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Iran has used advanced air defense batteries against Israel in Syria - Anna Ahronheim

 

by Anna Ahronheim

Since Iran has deployed new air defense batteries in Syria last year, the IAF has had to change how they carry out their strikes

 

Iran has used advanced air-defense batteries against Israeli planes carrying out war-between-war operations in Syria in an attempt to challenge IAF pilots.

Tehran first deployed the batteries to Syria last year as Israeli strikes against Iranian weapons and military infrastructure intensified.

Since Israel began its war-between-wars campaign (known as mabam in Hebrew) in 2013, the IAF has carried out thousands of strikes to thwart Iranian entrenchment and the smuggling of advanced weapons to Hezbollah in Syria and Lebanon. According to foreign reports, it has also carried out strikes in Iraq and Yemen.

The Syrian Arab Army is equipped with a range of older Russian-made surface-to-air missile systems, including the SA-2, SA-3, SA-5, SA-6,-SA-8, SA-11, SA-17, SA-19, SA-22 and the Pantsir 1.

Russia has also deployed advanced S-300 and S-400 air-defense batteries but has not given them to the Syrians; instead, they are manned by Russian forces. They have yet to be used against Israeli pilots due in part to the ongoing safety mechanisms in place between Jerusalem and Moscow.

S-400 surface-to-air missile systems displayed during the May Day parade 2010. (credit: Wikimedia Commons)S-400 surface-to-air missile systems displayed during the May Day parade 2010. (credit: Wikimedia Commons)

The response time of Syrian SAMs has decreased, and more than 1,000 missiles have been fired at IAF jets over the past seven years, but they have been unable to deter their missions.

Iran also separates the radars of their SAMs from the missile launchers, leading the IAF to change its operational procedures by sending up larger formations to hit more targets at once rather than having jets return to the same target and risk being downed.

In 2018, an F-16 crashed in northern Israel after it was struck by an SA-5 missile fired by Syrian forces during an IAF operation. Syrian missiles have also landed in Israel in recent years, including this year, when shrapnel from one missile hit northern Tel Aviv, and another errant interceptor missile landed close to the Dimona nuclear site in the Negev Desert.

In July 2020, Ali Abdullah Ayyub, the deputy commander of Syria’s armed forces, and Maj.-Gen. Mohammad Bagheri, chief of staff of Iran’s Armed Forces, signed an agreement to broaden bilateral military cooperation and to develop a robust air-defense system for Bashar Assad’s regime.

“From now on, Iran will strengthen its ties with Syria even more on all levels,” Bagheri said at the time.

Since their introduction, the IAF has been studying the Iranian batteries, which have architecture unlike that of the Russian batteries.

A Firefighter douses flames after Syrian state media reported an alleged Israeli missile attack in a container storage area, at Syrian port of Latakia, Syria (credit: SANA/HANDOUT VIA REUTERS) A Firefighter douses flames after Syrian state media reported an alleged Israeli missile attack in a container storage area, at Syrian port of Latakia, Syria (credit: SANA/HANDOUT VIA REUTERS)

While the IAF continues to carry out missions successfully over Syria, the Iranian batteries are still a new challenge to Israeli pilots.

The IAF understands that the Islamic Republic’s defense industry is robust and constantly works to improve and manufacture systems and platforms that can threaten Israel and other countries in the region.

Last October, Iran carried out a large-scale air-defense drill called Defenders of Velayat Sky 1400, which showcased the capabilities of upgraded systems and weapons, including cruise missiles, radar, surveillance, electronic warfare, communication systems, advanced manned and unmanned stealth drones and optical surveillance networks.

During the drill, Iran used its 3rd Khordad, Mersad, Talash, Khordad 15, Majid and Dezful SAM systems.

Following the drill, Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei said: “In the face of these realities, the enemy must consider Iran’s power and defense capabilities in its calculations and decisions.”

 

Anna Ahronheim

Source: https://www.jpost.com/middle-east/iran-news/article-700471

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Goodbye Dr. Seuss, Hello Ibram X. Kendi - Daniel Greenfield

 

by Daniel Greenfield

Dr. Seuss is too white to be Dr. Seuss.

 


After canceling six Dr. Seuss books on spurious charges of racism, the massive German publishing giant and the secretive company that owns the rights to the deceased author’s work announced that they would be unveiling new “inclusive” Seuss books by diverse writers.

Seuss, or Theodor Geisel, an old dead white man is insufficiently diverse for his publishers.

While the names of the new stable of “inclusive” writers haven’t been made public, Penguin Random House, a subsidiary of the German Nazi-linked Berteslman giant, also publishes or distributes prominent racists like Ibram X. Kendi, Robin DiAngelo, and Ta-Nehisi Coates.

CEO Markus Dohle recently announced a $500,000 fund to fight against parents trying to keep critical race theory hatred and racist books, like those promoted by Penguin Random House, out of schools. The German subsidiary has also published “Anti-Racist Baby” and other racist children’s books by Ibram X. Kendi through Random House Children’s Books.

Random House Children’s Books is also publishing the new “inclusive” Seuss skinned books.

The line between Penguin Random House and Dr. Seuss Enterprises is hazy at times. Seussville, the cutesy book site, is run by Random House. The two organizations appear to closely collaborate together on finding exciting new ways to strip mine Dr. Seuss’s legacy.

While Dr. Seuss was reluctant to embrace merchandising and exercised careful control over his work during his lifetime, he left behind no real family or children. Since then he has become, in the words of Dr. Seuss Enterprises, a “brand” to be licensed for movie deals, clothes, NFTs, and every kind of junk that those who knew him believed that he would have absolutely hated.

Once told that he could be in the Guiness Book of World Records as the writer who had been paid the most money per word, he had retorted, “I'd rather be in the book as the writer who refused to be paid the most money per word.”. But these days he’s not around to protest.

And so there’s an NFT, a partnership with the anti-American women’s soccer team to promote “girl power”, the Dr. Seuss Experience, and a steady stream of “new books” and “lost stories”.

The launch of Seuss Studios with its “inclusive” authors basing entire books around a single Seuss sketch disguises the cynical strip mining under the veil of identity politics.

When the original six Seuss books were canceled and banned, some conservatives defended it as a decision by a private organization. Dr. Seuss Enterprises is certainly private. It’s so private that there’s surprisingly little information available about its basic composition. For good reason.

Susan Brandt, the CEO and president of Dr. Seuss Enterprises, used to be the VP of Home Entertainment at 20th Century Fox. The board allegedly includes only one family member, Ted Owens, a great-nephew of Geisel, who disagreed with the purge of the author’s work.

Dr. Seuss Enterprises was originally set up by Geisel’s former mistress, a neighbor who snapped him up after Helen, his beloved wife, committed suicide over the illicit affair. While Geisel’s original wife had closely partnered with him in creating his beloved works, his new wife allegedly sent away her own daughters and took over his life.

Audrey Diamond, two decades younger than the author and illustrator, who allegedly had an affair with Seuss while he was still married to his first wife, became Audrey Geisel. After his death, she set up Dr. Seuss Enterprises. After her death, the organization became even more money hungry and generically woke, leading to the purge of works by its golden goose.

But Dr. Seuss Enterprises, which is far more interested in movie deals and licensing agreements, had no particular use for the six books like “If I Ran the Zoo” which it purged. It keeps “discovering” new Seuss books and the newly inclusive Seuss books will likely be quickly spun into more movie deals and toy licensing agreements that will make everyone even richer.

Forget “If I Ran the Zoo”, it’s “If I Ran Dr. Seuss Enterprises” that’s much more offensive.

The most vocal board member of Dr. Seuss Enterprises is Kyle Zimmer. Zimmer, a leftist activist, has been dubbed a "social entrepreneur" and writes about “racial equity”.

During the 2020 race riots that murdered police officers and devastated communities, Zimmer declared that, "America is on a critical journey: from identifying racism, to deeper understanding – and finally to dismantling systemic racism.” Racist material aimed at teachers distributed by his organization quoted racist author Ta-Nehisi Coates and ranted about “white privilege”.

It’s not hard to understand what happened to Dr. Seuss.

What better way to get rid of whiteness than by replacing Dr. Seuss, recasting him like so many movie and television characters, and swapping him out for a more diverse Dr. Seuss.

Fictional characters have been racially recast before, but this may be the first time that a real human being was recast because he was too white and insufficiently diverse.

Dr. Seuss entertained millions and his brand is worth a fortune, so much so that the greedily litigious Dr. Seuss Enterprises decided to sue over a Star Trek parody comic, Oh The Places You'll Boldly Go, and spent 5 years battling it all the way to the Supreme Court until the comic publisher, who was suffering from Stage 3 cancer, decided to give in and settle.

(It’s not hard to imagine a Dr. Seuss parody about the sociopathic social justice monsters who did that, but if you dare to write it out, Dr. Seuss Enterprises will sue you until you’re dead.)

But despite how lucrative owning a human being as a brand may be, Seuss was too white and too old. To the Hollywood and toy people who own his name, he’s just another character to be recast, the way that Spider Man or Iron Man might be replaced to be more diverse.

And then the money will really come rolling in from the NFTs, the movie studios, the Kohl’s and Target deals, the Dr. Seuss Experience, and the newly diverse Seuss Studios.

Dr. Seuss is much too white to play himself. It’s time for a more diverse Dr. Seuss.

Goodbye Dr. Seuss, Hello Ibram X. Kendi.

 

Daniel Greenfield, a Shillman Journalism Fellow at the Freedom Center, is an investigative journalist and writer focusing on the radical Left and Islamic terrorism.

Source: https://www.frontpagemag.com/fpm/2022/03/goodbye-dr-seuss-hello-ibram-x-kendi-daniel-greenfield/

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Putin and the Law of Unintended Consequences - Amir Taheri

 

by Amir Taheri

The current crisis -- showed that the Europeans can take the lead in being much tougher than the Americans under the risk-averse Joe Biden.

  • The most striking illustration of this so far is the debunking of Putin's brazen claim that there is not and has never been a Ukrainian nation and that Ukraine is nothing but Russia misspelled. Putin insisted that Ukraine was nothing but a creation of Lenin, ignoring the fact that it was Lenin who signed away Ukraine to the Germans in the Treaty of Brest-Litovsk.

  • Ukrainians have suddenly realized that looking east towards Russia means suffering invasion and colonization, while looking west towards Europe could mean freedom and prosperity... Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky was reflecting his people's wishes when he asked for immediate membership in the European Union.

  • The current crisis, however, showed that the Europeans can take the lead in being much tougher than the Americans under the risk-averse Joe Biden.

  • For 20 years, the Putin wolf played grandmother in disguise. That disguise enabled him to get away with invading Georgia, dominating Belarus, massacring Syrians, propelling the mullahs of Tehran, annexing Crimea, taking joyrides in various parts of Africa, poisoning people in Europe, and trying to disrupt elections in several countries through cyber-attacks. All that time, almost a quarter of his income came from oil and gas sales to Western democracies -- oil and gas produced thanks to Western capital, technology, management and marketing.

Ukrainians have suddenly realized that looking east towards Russia means suffering invasion and colonization, while looking west towards Europe could mean freedom and prosperity. There were no lines of Ukrainians seeking asylum in Russia or Belarus; the long queues were at the Polish and Romanian borders. Pictured: Refugees from Ukraine line up to enter Poland at the Medyka border crossing on February 28, 2022. (Photo by Wojtek Radwanski/AFP via Getty Images)

As Russian President Vladimir Putin's war on Ukraine enters its third week, the naughty little law of unintended consequences is lifting its head above the parapet.

The most striking illustration of this so far is the debunking of Putin's brazen claim that there is not and has never been a Ukrainian nation and that Ukraine is nothing but Russia misspelled. Putin insisted that Ukraine was nothing but a creation of Lenin, ignoring the fact that it was Lenin who signed away Ukraine to the Germans in the Treaty of Brest-Litovsk.

Putin also claimed that Ukraine has "always been part of Russia", although the principality of Kyiv appeared before any Russian identity took shape. Ukraine and Russia, along with numerous other ethnic groups and nations, had been parts of the Tsarist and then Soviet Empires, but neither had been a part of the other. For a while, much of Ukraine was part of the Austro-Hungarian Empire and, in fact, it was against Austrian rule that Ukrainian nationalism first took shape.

To be sure, the Russian and Ukrainian languages are as close to each other as are American English and British English. But although some of the greatest writers in Russian, notably Nikolai Gogol and Isaac Babel, were Ukrainians, Ukraine has had its distinct literature since the 18th Century. Putin's invasion has reminded many Ukrainians of their rich heritage. In the past few days, people in many parts of Ukraine have been reading, reciting and signing some of the patriotic poems written by Taras Shevchenko, Levko Borovykovsky and Tomasz Padura. Rather than burying Ukrainian identity under his bombs, Putin may have given it new vigor.

Putin wanted to nip Ukraine's European aspirations in the bud. There, too, he may have achieved the opposite. Ukrainians have suddenly realized that looking east towards Russia means suffering invasion and colonization, while looking west towards Europe could mean freedom and prosperity. There were no lines of Ukrainians seeking asylum in Russia or Belarus; the long queues were at the Polish and Romanian borders. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky was reflecting his people's wishes when he asked for immediate membership in the European Union.

It was only year ago when Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov mocked the European Union as a "sinking ship" from which people were trying to jump off, starting with Brexit. Last week, however, even "Brexit Boris" was conscious of a collective European responsibility to defend the rule of law.

For years, Putin had worked to "de-couple" the United States and the European Union, hoping that, without the American behemoth, the European "midgets" would be easily cowed. The current crisis, however, showed that the Europeans can take the lead in being much tougher than the Americans under the risk-averse Joe Biden.

Putin also wanted to destroy NATO's image as a protective shield for democratic nations. After all, Donald Trump had declared NATO to be "irrelevant" while French President Emmanuel Macron had pronounced it "brain dead". Inside Ukraine, many did not see why joining NATO would be in their nation's interest.

Now, all that has changed as the octogenarian alliance is experiencing a second youth.

Even Germany under a Social Democrat chancellor has suddenly decided to drop seven decades of anti-military posture with a whopping $100 billion rearmament project. Even non-NATO European nations such as Austria, Sweden and Finland have fallen into line to oppose the aggressor. In European countries not yet in NATO, the accelerator is pressed for faster membership. Unwittingly, perhaps, Putin has become a salesman for NATO insurance policies.

European popular reaction to Putin's invasion is in sharp contrast with how Europe reacted to Hitler's annexation (Anschluss) of Austria in 1938.

For 20 years, the Putin wolf played grandmother in disguise.

That disguise enabled him to get away with invading Georgia, dominating Belarus, massacring Syrians, propelling the mullahs of Tehran, annexing Crimea, taking joyrides in various parts of Africa, poisoning people in Europe, and trying to disrupt elections in several countries through cyber-attacks. All that time, almost a quarter of his income came from oil and gas sales to Western democracies -- oil and gas produced thanks to Western capital, technology, management and marketing.

Now, however, even the most naïve in the West know where that grandmother got her teeth.

Putin thought that wiping Ukraine off the map would put the whole world at his feet. The opposite has happened. Even China has refused to endorse his adventure. At the time of this writing, Putin is in a lonely-hearts club that includes Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in Tehran, President Alexander Lukashenko in Minsk, Burmese jackboots, Sudanese military rulers, and a couple of ageing Latin-American Marxists. In Western countries, Putin's long-time admirers on the right and left are trying to mumble a new narrative to obfuscate their past peccadillo.

Even once big politicians like former German Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder and former French Prime Minister François Fillon feel uneasy about riding in Putin's gravy train for oligarchs.

Putin's new version of the long-dead Warsaw Pact has attracted no more than a few fellow autocrats.

The Ukraine adventure was also designed to establish Putin as a successful empire-builder whose personal power and charisma would forever guarantee the safety of the ill-gained fortunes amassed by a couple of dozen oligarchs. Putin would fight and win while the oligarchs and their trophy wives basked in the sun of the French Riviera or bought football clubs across Europe. That equation, too, has been upset. The Ukraine adventure is now threatening the very system of international corruption that allowed such amazing rag-to-riches stories to shape.

For years, the average Russian has tolerated a good dose of repression from Putin because he seemed to keep the country out of big trouble while the economy improved thanks to energy exports.

The invasion could change all that. Russia is heading for big trouble while the golden goose of energy exports may lay fewer eggs. Worse still, proud Russia may find itself hat in hand in Beijing, offering to mortgage the farm to Chinese overlord Xi Jinping.

Putin has always boasted that he wants to secure a seat at the top table for Russia and revive the global leadership ambitions of the Tsars and their Bolshevik successors. Right now, however, he has lost even the side-chairs that Russia had been granted here and there, becoming an international pariah.

Putin may yet crush Ukraine with his far superior firepower. But he would do well to remember Sir Winston Churchill's note: "There are no certainties in war."

This article was originally published by Asharq al-Awsat

 

Amir Taheri was the executive editor-in-chief of the daily Kayhan in Iran from 1972 to 1979. He has worked at or written for innumerable publications, published eleven books, and has been a columnist for Asharq Al-Awsat since 1987.

Source: https://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/18304/putin-unintended-consequences

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Saturday, March 5, 2022

Crimea, International Law, and the West Bank - Eugene Kontorovich

 

by Eugene Kontorovich

Hat tip: Dr. Jean-Charles Bensoussan 

The same rules apply.

Secretary of State John Kerry spent the spring shuttling between his two major foreign-policy concerns—Russia’s control over Crimea and Israel’s control over the West Bank—entirely unaware that he was engaged in a world-historical irony. Both these situations turn on identical international-law principles. Indeed, the failure of the United States to apply these principles consistently has led to the long-standing failure of its Middle East initiatives, while inadvertently opening the door for Russian aggression.

The legal principle that explains why Crimea was and remains under Ukraine’s sovereignty also validates Israel’s presence in the West Bank.

Let us start with the less controversial case. The international community agrees that, despite Russia’s annexation, Crimea remains sovereign Ukrainian territory. On March 27, the UN General Assembly voted 100 to 11 to continue to recognize Crimea as part of Ukraine. Russia cannot rewrite Ukraine’s frontiers at will.

But, as many foreign-policy realists argued while Vladimir Putin was making his move, it is not all that clear why Crimea should belong to Ukraine in the first place. The substantial majority of the population is ethnically, linguistically, and religiously Russian. The majority of its population probably prefers to be ruled from Moscow rather than Kiev (though not by the 90-plus percent margin of the recent shotgun referendum). The territory is adjacent to Russia and has been part of Russia historically.

So why Ukrainian sovereignty over Crimea? The answer: Nikita Khrushchev’s caprice. In 1954, the first secretary of the Central Committee detached Crimea from the Russian Soviet Socialist Republic and gave it to the Ukrainian Soviet Socialist Republic. He did not consult the Crimeans, but it did not much matter, as everyone was ruled from the Kremlin anyway. From that moment on, official internal Soviet borders included Crimea in Ukraine.

Thus, all Ukraine has for its claim of title to Crimea is a dead dictator’s whim. But for international law, that is more than enough. When new countries emerge from old ones or from colonial empires, the last official international borders constitute the new boundary lines. This doctrine is known as uti possidetis iuris (meaning “you possess under law”). It has been applied to the borders of new states around the world and recognized as a basic principle of international law by the International Court of Justice. Even when several states emerge from one, as Russia and Ukraine did from the USSR, the prior internal administrative divisions become the new international frontiers.

Most striking, this principle applies in full when the old borders were colonial or otherwise undemocratically imposed. If it were not so, new countries would be born with all their borders in dispute, and endless frontier conflicts between neighbors would ensue. That is why international law sets the last official boundaries, even colonial provincial boundaries, as the permanent ones. Subsequent aggression cannot change them, as the reaction to Russia’s Crimean conquest shows.

Now let us apply these principles to Israel.

The disintegration of the Ottoman Empire in World War I led to the division of its territories in the Middle East. The core of the Ottoman Empire became the new country of Turkey, which, in turn, surrendered all Turkish sovereignty over Ottoman territory in the rest of the Middle East (not just Israel, but also modern-day Iraq, Syria, Lebanon, and Jordan). Instead of imposing their own sovereignty on the parts of the Ottoman Empire they conquered, Britain and France allowed the newly created League of Nations to transform these territories into “mandates.” The European states were committed to shepherding the mandates into new independent nation-states. The League did so pursuant to an explicit clause in its charter that authorized it to create such mandates out of the lands “formerly belonging to the Turkish Empire.”

In 1922, the League of Nations established a new “country” to serve as the Jewish national home. This was the Mandate for Palestine. Under certain provisions of the Mandate, Palestine was partitioned at the Jordan River to create the country of Transjordan (now called Jordan) on its eastern bank. After that, international frontiers of Mandatory Palestine ran from the river to the sea. The League of Nations Mandate for Palestine provides the legal basis not only for Israel’s borders, but for those of Jordan as well, and indeed for Jordan’s entire existence.

Israel is the state created in Mandatory Palestine. Thus under uti possidetis iuris, it inherits the Mandatory borders. The only question is whether anything has happened since the 1920s that legally modified these frontiers.

Three events are commonly cited as justifying the non-application of the uti possidetis doctrine. First was the UN General Assembly’s 1947 partition proposal, Resolution 181. Second was the partially successful 1948–49 Arab attempt to prevent the establishment of a Jewish state in Palestine, which led to the Green Line of 1949. Third was the UN Security Council’s response to Israel’s retaking of these territories in the Six-Day War.

The Partition Proposal

 Resolution 181 did not, as many seem to think, “create” the Jewish state. That had been done on paper 25 years earlier by the League of Nations Mandate, and later through Israel’s declaration of independence and War of Independence—a struggle in which the UN did nothing to promote the survival of the fledgling state.

Resolution 181 proposed an elaborate seven-sector division of Mandatory Palestine, an idea the Jewish leadership was willing to accept, but that the Arabs rejected. The General Assembly Resolution did nothing to alter the Mandatory borders because the GA is not a world legislature: It has no legal power to make any binding rules, let alone redraw the borders of nations.

Indeed, the resolution itself explicitly recognizes that the Assembly has no power to legislate its recommendations. If the GA were to vote today to “partition” Ukraine, it would be similarly ineffectual. The 1947 plan was a proposal for a compromise that, if accepted by both sides, would have been binding, but which had no force in itself.

Israel declared independence on May 14, 1948, with a document that “proclaim[ed] the establishment of the Jewish State in Palestine, to be called the Medinat Israel.” Under the uti possidetis iuris principle, the borders of the new state were those of Mandatory Palestine. The new state was immediately invaded by all its neighbors, who succeeded in occupying much of its territory. But the 19-year-long occupation of parts of the Mandate by Egypt and Jordan did no more to change its borders than has Russia’s equally unprovoked aggression against Ukraine today. Indeed, if Jordan’s occupation changed Israel’s borders, surely Russia’s 20 or so years of controlling Transnistria should change Moldova’s borders and Turkey’s 40-year occupation of Cyprus should change that country’s borders.

The Green Line

Israel concluded armistices with its neighbors in 1949. These were not peace treaties. They were temporary agreements to stop shooting. The “Green Line” of 1949 was simply the demarcation of the separation between Israeli and Arab forces. Without establishing any sovereign border, it thereby preserved the Mandatory boundary. All of Israel’s armistice agreements reflected this, including the Israeli-Jordanian one: “The provision of this Agreement shall not in any way prejudice the rights, claims and positions of either Party hereto in the ultimate peaceful settlement of the Palestine question, the provisions of this Agreement being dictated exclusively by military considerations.” Other provisions also made clear that both parties recognized the Mandatory boundaries as the only international borders for Palestine. The only dispute was who would ultimately control it.

Thus the very document that formalized the Green Line specifically said it was not to be construed as a border, or anything other than a temporary line of separation between Israeli and Arab forces. When Israel expelled the Jordanian occupation forces after King Hussein attacked across the Armistice line during the Six-Day War, the need for such a separation came to an end.

President Barack Obama and his secretary of state, like so many others, use the phrase “1967 borders” to describe the Green Line; but it was explicitly not a border, nor was it created in 1967. Indeed, with the exception of Britain, no nation recognized Jordanian sovereignty over the territory of Mandatory Palestine during its 19-year occupation. When Jordan and Egypt signed peace treaties with Israel in 1979 and 1994, both nations expressly referred to the Mandate boundary as the current international border of Israel, demonstrating its continued relevance.

Resolution 242

 The United Nations Security Council responded to the Six-Day War with its famous Resolution 242, which has set the basis for all subsequent action by the council. Before turning to the resolution’s text, we should note that, as was true of the General Assembly in 1947, the Security Council does not have the power to redraw preexisting national borders. Though the council has power under its charter to take certain “binding” decisions, those are limited to authorizing economic and military means to respond to breaches of the international peace; it cannot alter the underlying dimensions of UN member states.

No less important, Security Council practice requires the Council to refer explicitly to the textual source of its authority as Chapter VII of the UN Charter in order to make resolutions binding. The resolution does not include such a reference, showing that the Council understood its resolution to be nothing more than a recommendation.

Resolution 242 famously calls for “withdrawal of Israeli armed forces from territories occupied in the recent conflict.” This language was deliberately chosen by its drafters to reject demands that Israel withdraw from all territories it occupied, and instead leaves the scale of the withdrawal up to future diplomacy. The wording of 242 was drafted by the British delegation as a replacement for other versions that would have required leaving “all” the territories.

A vast literature has arisen to cope with the fact that the word the does not precede the word territories in that sentence, but like much discussion of the Arab–Israeli conflict, it puts questions concerning Israel in a unique legal universe. In fact, it is fairly easy to see whether using the language of territories would be a standard way for the Security Council to require complete withdrawal. I have identified 16 other resolutions demanding military pull-outs, of which four were prior to 1967. In each case, the demand for complete withdrawal is explicit, with language such as “withdraw from the whole territory” and “the territory” and with references to particular antebellum positions. The language of 242 is unique in the Security Council’s history, but consistent with its own drafting history and the document’s intentions. Thus reading 242 to require a complete withdrawal not only misreads the resolution, but also makes nonsense of 16 other important resolutions.

Some argue that 242 compels Israel to return to the Green Line, relying on the resolution’s preamble, which stresses the “inadmissibility of the acquisition of territory by war.” But that would be a strange way to require Israel to return their territorial seizures of 1949 to Jordan and Egypt. The next operative paragraph in 242, moreover, describes a withdrawal to “recognized boundaries.” The 1949 Armistice Lines were not “recognized boundaries” in any legal sense. They constituted nothing more than a stand-off.

So to recap: The League of Nations, acting pursuant to powers in its charter, established the territory of Mandatory Palestine in 1922, much as the Mandate system established the borders of most other Middle Eastern states. The UN General Assembly did not have the power to modify that territory with its 1947 Partition proposal. Nor did the pan-Arab aggression of 1948–49 and its subsequent reception by the international community.

To be sure, international sentiment has turned sharply against Israel’s control over much of this territory. But international law is not a popularity contest; if it were, Israel would have long ago been voted off the island.

None of this undercuts the common arguments for the creation of a Palestinian state. Those arguments are rooted in diplomatic and demographic considerations. But even if one accepts the idea that the Mandate gave Israel borders too large for the Jewish population, it does not therefore follow that the pan-Arab aggression of 1948–49 established presumptive or default borders. In fact, those can and should be defined only by mutual agreement between Israel and the Palestinians.

If one believes, moreover, that the vague doctrine of self-determination—which is generally not thought to entitle a people to an independent state—made an inarguable case for a Palestinian Arab state somewhere between the Jordan River and the Mediterranean Sea, uti possidetis would still be relevant. The doctrine make clear that the relevant boundaries have nothing to do with the 1949 Armistice Lines unless both parties agree they should.

Recall that when new states emerge, the doctrine dictates that their borders follow the last prior internal administrative division, such as state or provincial borders. Under the Mandate, Palestine was divided into six districts, no combination of which closely approximates the 1949 Armistice Lines. (For example, Gaza was lumped into one district with the entire Negev, while the area now called the West Bank straddled three different districts.) The 1993 Oslo Accords create three administrative divisions (Areas A, B, and C)—two under Palestinian jurisdiction and one under Israeli jurisdiction. Those lines make more sense under international law than the sum of the noncontiguous, illegal conquests by Egypt and Jordan in 1948–49.

The international community has, perhaps in sympathy with Palestinian claims, selectively forgotten the uti possidetis principle when it comes to Israel. Putin’s actions in Ukraine illustrate the dangers of such inconsistency. Once the world begins making exceptions to the uti possidetis doctrine, it opens the door to claims like Russia’s. After all, if an internationally established mandatory border does not continue to abide for a new country, why should the arbitrary frontier of a totalitarian dictator?

Russia’s quick takeover of Crimea—and, as of this writing, its incremental invasion of eastern Ukraine—also has significant political lessons for Israel about any potential agreement with the Palestinians. Russia’s dismemberment of Ukraine offers a frightening scenario of how a state of Palestine could continue effective activities against Israel in the wake of a peace treaty.

One of the main rewards promised to Israel for the creation of a Palestinian state in the West Bank and Gaza is that it would also give Israel internationally recognized borders. While these borders would be narrow, they would, it is said, enjoy the deep guarantee of international legitimacy. Nations would move their embassies to (West) Jerusalem. Israel would, as Tzipi Livni has said, be “put on the world map.” The perceived value of this deal stems from the view that in the 21st century, sovereign borders cannot simply be rewritten.

Crimea has proven that “19th-century acts,” as Kerry called them, are alive and well, and that the international community will do little to stop them. Consider Moscow’s methods for taking apart Ukraine.

First, it bided its time, waiting more than two decades. Of course, if a deal with the Palestinians lasts only that long before it is followed by new demands, it will have proved to be a disastrous bargain for Israel. Second, Russia focused on areas with significant concentrations of co-ethnic population. In those areas, it followed Hitler’s Sudetenland strategy of provoking riots and protests, and then protesting Ukraine’s response.

This is precisely Israel’s greatest fear: that after the euphoria of a peace deal, a newly emboldened Palestinian government, now with all the apparatus of a state, would begin stoking disorder among Israeli Arabs in the Galilee Triangle and Negev. Of course, Palestine would not be able to grab these territories in a single putsch, as Russia did with Crimea. Rather, it would seek to destabilize Israel, as Russia is now doing in Eastern Ukraine.

The Machiavellian goal would be to use Israel’s response to the fomented unrest in a kind of diplomatic jujitsu, to make the case that the Jewish state cannot be permitted to maintain sovereignty over its non-Jewish populace. Then would come the kinds of demands that have been afforded far too much respect when it comes to Russian claims in Ukraine—greater federalism, decentralization of power, all of which would be designed to empower disgruntled minorities who show greater fealty to the neighboring aggressor than to the state of which they are citizens. In such a situation, would the world rally to defend the internationally mandated borders when it showed so little appreciation for them in Israel’s case throughout so many decades?

No one with a serious understanding of international law asks if it is fair or just for Crimea to remain part of Ukraine, no matter the wishes of Crimea’s population. Entertaining such a question and making it part of the discussion would eventually lead to redrawing many of the world’s borders. As we have seen, the same principles that justify Ukraine’s claims to Crimea justify Israel’s claims to the West Bank.

Israel should not be too put out by the international community’s failure to apply its general rules to the Jewish state’s rights, for the Ukrainian crisis also shows the limits of those rules. Ukraine may enjoy international backing for its claims while Israel does not. But the Ukrainian crisis also shows that when it comes to action, the international community will be driven primarily by the exigencies and conveniences of the moment, not by considerations of legality or past promises. In the end, as has been the case since 1948, Israel will have to rely on itself.

 

Eugene Kontorovich teaches constitutional law at Northwestern University and heads the international law department of the Kohelet Policy Forum in Jerusalem.

Source: https://www.commentary.org/articles/eugene-kontorovich/crimea-international-law-and-the-west-bank/

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