by Tikvah
Now that Saudi Arabia does not perceive Iran as a threat, they are not so interested is "making nice" with Israel? Seems that way...
In June 2025, American B-2 bombers destroyed Iran's nuclear facilities in Operation Midnight Hammer. Five days before the strike, Middle East expert Hussein Aboubakr Mansour made a counterintuitive prediction: devastating Iran wouldn't lead Arabs to embrace Israel. And that’s exactly what’s happened.
Seven months later, Mansour sat down with Jonathan Silver to explain how he sees his prediction taking shape. Saudi Arabia hasn't just declined normalization—it's begun weaponizing anti-Zionism against the UAE, the first Abraham Accords signatory.
Mansour explains how a "dual vacuum"—the collapse of Iran's axis of resistance and America's retreat from regional leadership—has unleashed fierce competition among Middle Eastern states. Each now competes using distinct advantages: Saudi symbolic authority, UAE logistical power, Qatari narrative control, Turkish military force, and Israeli escalation dominance. This makes anti-Zionism strategically valuable and will intensify anti-Semitism in Western institutions as wealthy powers vie for influence. Mansour offers a sobering assessment of the Abraham Accords and how this may affect world Jewry.
Chapters:
00:00 - Introduction
04:19 - The Abraham Accords and Israel's Outsider Status
12:22 - The Shift to Post-Liberalism in U.S. Foreign Policy
15:50 - The Dual Vacuum: Iran's Collapse and America's Retreat
19:01 - Syria, Yemen, and the Saudi-Emirati Rivalry
21:41 - Comparative Advantages: How Middle Eastern States Compete
27:17 - Saudi Arabia's Symbolic Power and Palestinian Instrumentalization
29:38 - The Qatari Narrative Empire and Western Institutions
38:41 - Iran's Future: Two Scenarios for the Region
41:38 - Israel's Path Forward: Breaking Regional Assumptions
48:30 - The Growing Utility of Anti-Zionism in the U.S.
Tikvah
Source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q4wAW3mM6oo
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